Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.60 · now $10.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FUBO has typically landed between $6.75 and $15.25 — a range of −36.3% to +43.8% from the issuance price $10.60.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,366 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FUBO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.6 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.91 (-6.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.43–$11.4
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.75–$15.25
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-11-11 | −92.2% | −94.8% | +0.0% |
| 2015-11-12 | −91.0% | −94.0% | +0.0% |
| 2016-01-08 | −90.0% | −90.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-09-13 | +1200.0% | +0.0% | +1200.0% |
| 2016-09-14 | +1000.0% | +0.0% | +1200.0% |
| 2016-09-15 | +800.0% | +0.0% | +1200.0% |
2,366 overlapping windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Sale | 141,074 @ $10.38 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 170,279 @ $2.55 | $435K | −23.3% of holding | −35.7% | −77.5% | 561,428 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Janedis John | officer | Sale | 130,478 @ $3.12 | $407K | −100.0% of holding | −17.1% | −85.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Sale | 170,585 @ $3.16 | $539K | −56.7% of holding | −19.3% | −88.5% | 130,478 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Sale | 138,753 @ $3.16 | $439K | −8.1% of holding | −19.3% | −88.5% | 1,563,830 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 64,661 @ $3.68 | $238K | −14.2% of holding | +15.4% | −70.1% | 391,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $3.69 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +15.4% | −70.1% | 390,427 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 38,266 @ $3.67 | $141K | −2.2% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 1,715,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 38,266 @ $3.67 | $141K | −2.2% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 1,715,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 12,755 @ $3.67 | $47K | −2.2% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 571,428 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 12,755 @ $3.67 | $47K | −2.2% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 571,428 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 8,673 @ $3.67 | $32K | −100.0% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 8,673 @ $3.67 | $32K | −100.0% of holding | +11.6% | −70.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 38,265 @ $3.62 | $139K | −2.1% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 1,754,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 38,265 @ $3.62 | $139K | −2.1% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 1,754,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 12,755 @ $3.62 | $46K | −2.1% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 584,183 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 12,755 @ $3.62 | $46K | −2.1% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 584,183 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | BRONFMAN EDGAR JR | director | Sale | 8,674 @ $3.62 | $31K | −50.0% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 8,673 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 8,674 @ $3.62 | $31K | −50.0% of holding | +12.0% | −70.4% | 8,673 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Onopchenko Laura Diane | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.92 | $392K | −26.1% of holding | −18.6% | −54.5% | 283,070 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Figueras Ignacio | director | Sale | 66,061 @ $4.26 | $281K | −14.1% of holding | −18.6% | −54.5% | 402,009 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 57,172 @ $4.11 | $235K | −12.7% of holding | −18.6% | −54.5% | 393,562 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 16,667 @ $4.22 | $70K | −4.2% of holding | −18.6% | −54.5% | 376,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $4.22 | $6K | −0.4% of holding | −18.6% | −54.5% | 375,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Janedis John | officer | Sale | 25,823 @ $4.16 | $107K | −100.0% of holding | −9.0% | −15.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Sale | 5,868 @ $5.98 | $35K | −0.4% of holding | −31.5% | −41.3% | 1,446,730 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Sale | 29,358 @ $6.00 | $176K | −2.0% of holding | −30.6% | −42.9% | 1,447,351 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 1,649,442 @ $5.53 | $9.1M | −84.7% of holding | −29.7% | −46.0% | 296,817 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Sale | 403,847 @ $6.03 | $2.4M | −21.8% of holding | −29.7% | −46.0% | 1,449,751 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 1,425,888 @ $5.01 | $7.1M | −80.4% of holding | +178.1% | +134.6% | 346,817 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 653,255 @ $5.01 | $3.3M | −100.0% of holding | +178.1% | +134.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 293,256 @ $5.01 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | +178.1% | +134.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Gandler David | director | Sale | 293,255 @ $5.01 | $1.5M | −100.0% of holding | +178.1% | +134.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
181 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Janedis John | officer | Award / grant | 291,770 | 291,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Bowen Alisa Anne | director | Award / grant | 848,786 | 848,786 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Bird Andrew Peter | director | Award / grant | 21,291 | 21,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Award / grant | 291,770 | 291,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Figueras Ignacio | director | Award / grant | 24,272 | 24,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Bird Andrew Peter | director | Award / grant | 24,272 | 24,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Award / grant | 24,272 | 24,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Headley Jonathan Scott | director | Award / grant | 24,272 | 24,272 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Bowen Alisa Anne | director | Award / grant | 381,264 | 381,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 10,756 | 141,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 10,756 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Gandler David | director | Option exercise | 434,890 | 869,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Gandler David | director | Option exercise | 434,890 | 731,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Gandler David | director | Option exercise | 434,890 | 731,707 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 449,910 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 56,180 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 189,826 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 189,826 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 449,910 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 56,180 | 56,180 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 56,180 | 56,180 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 151,093 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 301,063 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 1,552,613 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 1,702,583 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 151,093 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Janedis John | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 301,063 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 94,913 | 1,552,613 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Horihuela Alberto | officer | Option exercise | 149,970 | 1,702,583 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Figueras Ignacio | director | Award / grant | 86,773 | 86,773 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Bird Andrew Peter | director | Award / grant | 86,773 | 86,773 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Award / grant | 86,773 | 86,773 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Headley Jonathan Scott | director | Award / grant | 86,773 | 86,773 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Haddon Julie | director | Option exercise | 71,146 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | LEFF DANIEL V | director | Option exercise | 71,146 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Glat Neil | director | Option exercise | 98,287 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Glat Neil | director | Option exercise | 71,146 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Janedis John | officer | Award / grant | 299,940 | 299,940 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Gandler David | director | Award / grant | 248,314 | 248,314 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Gandler David | director | Award / grant | 1,088,391 | 1,088,391 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.