FTK · TickerCove

FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $28.13 · now $28.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FTK has typically landed between $21.36 and $40.68 — a range of −24.1% to +44.6% from the issuance price $28.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($28.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$28.13 · 60% of range

$11.78 low$38.82 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 22.3%

−24.1%worst (p90)+44.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FTK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $28.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $28.13 (+0.0%)
typical $28.13 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $24.99–$31.27
90% range $21.36–$40.68

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−75.5%	−75.5%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−70.7%	−70.7%	+0.0%
2008-09-29	−68.9%	−70.9%	+6.2%
3 best
2010-11-03	+163.1%	+0.0%	+163.1%
2019-01-03	+158.5%	+0.0%	+158.5%
2019-01-02	+152.4%	+0.0%	+152.4%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+4.5%

n=20

Feb

55%

+5.3%

n=20

Mar

55%

−4.6%

n=20

Apr

55%

+7.0%

n=20

May

50%

+6.8%

n=20

Jun

65%

+3.5%

n=20

Jul

50%

+1.7%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.4%

n=20

Sep

50%

+0.5%

n=20

Oct

40%

−0.5%

n=20

Nov

35%

−1.4%

n=20

Dec

60%

+6.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	ProFrac GDM, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	2,306,806 @ $26.01	$60.0M	−38.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	3,693,194	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	1,319,493 @ $26.01	$34.3M	+836.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,477,285	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-18	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Sale	12,554 @ $20.08	$252K	−9.8% of holding	+12.8%	not yet — horizon still open	115,324	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Sale	6,299 @ $16.02	$101K	−4.9% of holding	+14.2%	+37.8%	122,837	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-13	Agadi Harshavardhan V	director	Sale	66,956 @ $14.71	$985K	−25.3% of holding	+3.5%	+23.4%	197,265	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Sale	87,187 @ $12.26	$1.1M	−35.7% of holding	−4.7%	+37.7%	156,855	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Sale	45,732 @ $12.74	$583K	−32.4% of holding	−11.7%	+25.1%	95,439	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	402 @ $14.99	$6K	+0.3% of holding	+2.3%	−17.8%	157,792	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	13,040 @ $14.15	$185K	+9.0% of holding	+7.1%	−13.0%	157,390	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	72,344 @ $12.25	$886K	+100.5% of holding	+27.9%	+3.0%	144,350	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	31,170 @ $12.20	$380K	+169.7% of holding	+27.9%	+3.0%	49,542	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	18,372 @ $11.75	$216K	ownership Δ n/a	+21.3%	+11.8%	18,372	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	10,458 @ $11.62	$121K	+56.9% of holding	+21.3%	+11.8%	28,830	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Wilks Matthew	director	Purchase	3,980 @ $11.73	$47K	+5.9% of holding	+21.3%	+11.8%	72,006	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-28	ProFrac Holding Corp.	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	6,000,000 @ $0.00	$600	ownership Δ n/a	+97.5%	+102.6%	6,000,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-15	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Withheld for tax	4,780	267,956	Form 4
2026-05-15	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Withheld for tax	3,187	127,878	Form 4
2026-05-15	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	12,146	272,736	Form 4
2026-05-15	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	8,097	131,065	Form 4
2026-05-15	Agadi Harshavardhan V	director	Award / grant	5,099	202,364	Form 4
2026-05-15	Fucci Michael	director	Award / grant	5,099	88,243	Form 4
2026-05-15	Farber Evan R	director	Award / grant	5,099	65,994	Form 4
2026-05-15	Hill Kathryn Anne	director	Award / grant	5,099	5,099	Form 4
2026-05-15	McDonald Kevin M	director	Award / grant	5,099	5,099	Form 4
2026-03-13	ProFrac GDM, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Exercise	6,000,000	6,000,000	Form 4
2026-03-13	ProFrac GDM, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Exercise	6,000,000	0	Form 4
2026-03-10	Ibrahim Christina M	officer	Award / grant	8,357	11,520	Form 4
2026-03-10	Ibrahim Christina M	officer	Award / grant	8,357	8,357	Form 4
2026-03-02	Ibrahim Christina M	officer	Award / grant	3,163	3,163	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Withheld for tax	12,126	223,542	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	36,595	36,595	Form 4
2026-02-24	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	16,635	16,635	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	30,263	235,668	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	36,595	260,137	Form 4
2026-02-24	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	15,151	129,136	Form 4
2026-02-24	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	16,635	139,472	Form 4
2025-12-19	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Withheld for tax	3,252	113,985	Form 4
2025-12-05	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Withheld for tax	1,833	205,405	Form 4
2025-12-05	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Withheld for tax	1,333	117,237	Form 4
2025-11-19	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	17,969	118,570	Form 4
2025-11-19	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	59,298	59,298	Form 4
2025-11-19	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Award / grant	39,532	207,238	Form 4
2025-11-19	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Award / grant	26,953	26,953	Form 4
2025-10-30	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Withheld for tax	11,805	167,706	Form 4
2025-10-30	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Withheld for tax	7,870	149,511	Form 4
2025-10-30	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Withheld for tax	5,903	100,601	Form 4
2025-10-30	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Withheld for tax	3,935	91,504	Form 4
2025-10-30	Blakeway Amy E.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,361	20,950	Form 4
2025-10-30	Blakeway Amy E.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,574	17,311	Form 4
2025-10-30	Blakeway Amy E.	officer	Option exercise	6,000	23,311	Form 4
2025-10-30	Blakeway Amy E.	officer	Option exercise	6,000	23,311	Form 4
2025-10-30	Blakeway Amy E.	officer	Option exercise	6,000	0	Form 4
2025-10-30	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Option exercise	30,000	179,511	Form 4
2025-10-30	Ezell Ryan Gillis	director	Option exercise	30,000	0	Form 4
2025-10-30	CLEMENT JAMES BOND	officer	Option exercise	15,000	106,504	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i