FTH · TickerCove

FTHFaeth Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.24 · now $34.24 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FTH has typically landed between $23.28 and $49.36 — a range of −32.0% to +44.2% from the issuance price $34.24.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,387 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.24) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$34.24 · 82% of range

$7.89 low$40.05 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−4.4%

typical move · IQR 26.2%

−32.0%worst (p90)+44.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.24 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $34.24 (+0.0%)
typical $32.72 (-4.4%)
middle 50% $28.24–$37.2
90% range $23.28–$49.36

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,387 windows spanning 2021-02-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-05-08	−64.6%	−64.6%	+0.0%
2024-05-07	−63.4%	−63.4%	+1.7%
2024-05-03	−62.4%	−62.4%	+2.8%
3 best
2026-02-10	+266.0%	+0.0%	+297.6%
2026-02-09	+254.1%	+0.0%	+298.1%
2026-01-20	+248.6%	−8.9%	+248.6%

1,387 overlapping windows · 2021-02-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

20%

−4.0%

n=5

Feb

60%

+42.3%

n=5

Mar

33%

−6.8%

n=6

Apr

17%

−9.8%

n=6

May

17%

−9.8%

n=6

Jun

50%

+3.4%

n=6

Jul

50%

−3.7%

n=6

Aug

50%

+6.6%

n=6

Sep

33%

−4.2%

n=6

Oct

−11.7%

n=5

Nov

40%

−3.2%

n=5

Dec

40%

+0.5%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	4,400 @ $23.40	$103K	+10.6% of holding	+15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	46,088	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-01	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	600 @ $24.22	$15K	+1.3% of holding	+15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	46,688	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	4,255 @ $24.98	$106K	+11.4% of holding	+16.0%	not yet — horizon still open	41,688	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,910 @ $22.95	$44K	+5.6% of holding	+16.0%	not yet — horizon still open	35,795	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,638 @ $23.88	$39K	+4.6% of holding	+16.0%	not yet — horizon still open	37,433	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	831 @ $23.34	$19K	+2.5% of holding	+26.1%	not yet — horizon still open	33,885	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-26	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	4,212 @ $24.90	$105K	+15.4% of holding	+25.7%	not yet — horizon still open	31,596	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-26	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,358 @ $25.55	$35K	+4.3% of holding	+25.7%	not yet — horizon still open	32,954	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-26	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	580 @ $23.61	$14K	+2.2% of holding	+25.7%	not yet — horizon still open	27,384	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-26	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	100 @ $26.39	$3K	+0.3% of holding	+25.7%	not yet — horizon still open	33,054	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-24	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	3,400 @ $26.98	$92K	+14.6% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	26,704	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-24	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	3,000 @ $25.98	$78K	+14.8% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	23,304	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-24	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	2,891 @ $25.22	$73K	+16.6% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	20,304	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-24	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	100 @ $27.77	$3K	+0.4% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	26,804	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-23	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	6,836 @ $24.12	$165K	+83.5% of holding	+15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	15,019	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-23	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,969 @ $24.84	$49K	+13.1% of holding	+15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	16,988	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-23	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	425 @ $25.91	$11K	+2.5% of holding	+15.0%	not yet — horizon still open	17,413	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	3,329 @ $23.28	$77K	+74.0% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	7,827	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Purchase	2,806 @ $19.76	$55K	+0.4% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	764,234	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,797 @ $20.23	$36K	ownership Δ n/a	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,797	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,583 @ $22.40	$35K	+54.3% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	4,498	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	1,118 @ $20.82	$23K	+62.2% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	2,915	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-22	STEPHENSON BRIAN C	officer	Purchase	356 @ $23.95	$9K	+4.5% of holding	+23.2%	not yet — horizon still open	8,183	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

17 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Vousden Karen H	director	Award / grant	25,000	25,000	Form 4
2026-07-21	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Award / grant	398,018	398,018	Form 4
2026-07-21	Craver Josiah	officer	Award / grant	30,824	30,824	Form 4
2026-06-22	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Option exercise	45,252	809,486	Form 4
2026-06-22	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Option exercise	8,213	817,699	Form 4
2026-06-22	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Option exercise	8,213	4,107	Form 4
2026-06-22	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Option exercise	45,252	91,632	Form 4
2026-06-15	Hahn Stephen M.	director	Conversion	44,763	44,763	Form 4
2026-06-15	Hahn Stephen M.	director	Conversion	45	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Conversion	761,428	761,428	Form 4
2026-06-15	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Conversion	761	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Hahn Stephen M.	director	Conversion	44,763	44,763	Form 4
2026-06-15	Hahn Stephen M.	director	Conversion	45	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Conversion	761,428	761,428	Form 4
2026-06-15	Parikh Anand Kiran	director	Conversion	761	0	Form 4
2026-06-12	Ramasastry Saira	director	Award / grant	25,000	25,000	Form 4
2026-06-12	Hahn Stephen M.	director	Award / grant	25,000	25,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i