FRVOFervo Energy CompanyUtilities · Renewable Utilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.40 · now $15.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FRVO has typically landed between $9.43 and $18.05 — a range of −38.7% to +17.2% from the issuance price $15.40.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

68 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FRVO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.43worst · -38.7%$18.05best · +17.2%
  • now $15.4 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.96 (-22.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.95–$12.98
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.43–$18.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 68 windows spanning 2026-05-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-06-29−46.2%−46.2%+0.0%
2026-07-22−39.1%−39.1%+0.0%
2026-06-04−38.8%−38.8%+0.0%
3 best
2026-05-12+28.3%+0.0%+57.4%
2026-05-11+22.5%+0.0%+57.4%
2026-07-08−2.4%−27.5%+18.4%

68 overlapping windows · 2026-05-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$43$15↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-14Keehan II Robert RicharddirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14WHITMAN MARGARET CdirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14DEVON ENERGY CORP/DEdirectorConversion6,118,7520Form 4
2026-05-14Cleary Anne MdirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14Lowe Robert Ferrall IIIdirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14Jessica Rodgers UhldirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14DEVON ENERGY CORP/DEdirectorConversion3,237,9000Form 4
2026-05-14Yadigaroglu IondirectorAward / grant9,2599,259Form 4
2026-05-14DEVON ENERGY CORP/DEdirectorConversion35,540,8120Form 4
2026-05-14DEVON ENERGY CORP/DEdirectorConversion4,766,5570Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion14,962,43014,962,430Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion6,368,0280Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,420,4470Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,840,8940Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,724,3800Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion5,448,7610Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion873,7630Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion5,448,7615,448,761Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,760,7321,760,732Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion8,523,3930Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion4,266,9920Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,840,8940Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,724,3800Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion5,448,7610Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion873,7630Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,760,7320Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion14,962,43014,962,430Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion5,448,7615,448,761Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,760,7321,760,732Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion6,368,0280Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion8,523,3930Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion4,266,9920Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,420,4470Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,840,8940Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion2,724,3800Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion12,055,46712,055,467Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,760,7320Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion5,448,7610Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion873,7630Form 4
2026-05-14TIF Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion8,523,3930Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.