Issued 2026-09-16 at $62.03 · now $62.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FRPT has typically landed between $48.83 and $76.26 — a range of −21.3% to +22.9% from the issuance price $62.03.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,959 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-11-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($62.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FRPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $62.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $62.03 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $62.88 (+1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $56.51–$69.25
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $48.83–$76.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,959 windows spanning 2014-11-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −44.2% | −44.2% | +11.4% |
| 2022-04-07 | −43.9% | −43.9% | +11.2% |
| 2022-04-25 | −43.6% | −46.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +61.8% | +0.0% | +61.8% |
| 2022-09-08 | +55.2% | +0.0% | +55.6% |
| 2022-09-07 | +54.9% | −0.5% | +54.9% |
2,959 overlapping windows · 2014-11-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+1.8%
n=12
Feb
75%
+7.0%
n=12
Mar
67%
−2.4%
n=12
Apr
75%
+6.8%
n=12
May
58%
+1.9%
n=12
Jun
50%
+0.2%
n=12
Jul
58%
+0.4%
n=12
Aug
58%
+2.4%
n=12
Sep
33%
−3.2%
n=12
Oct
45%
+0.2%
n=11
Nov
73%
+6.0%
n=11
Dec
50%
+1.2%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | GEORGE WALTER N. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $64.92 | $65K | +2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 51,746 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 37,007 @ $74.67 | $2.8M | −9.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 350,744 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,110 @ $75.40 | $84K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 106,530 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 979 @ $75.40 | $74K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 568 @ $75.40 | $43K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,044 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 40,398 @ $76.01 | $3.1M | −10.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 331,876 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,250 @ $74.03 | $93K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 99,470 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,105 @ $74.03 | $82K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 90,447 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 640 @ $74.03 | $47K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 45,432 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 567 @ $74.03 | $42K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 331,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 40,957 @ $73.87 | $3.0M | −11.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 309,905 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,247 @ $74.34 | $93K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,690 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,102 @ $74.34 | $82K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 83,571 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 639 @ $74.34 | $48K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 41,452 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 41,028 @ $74.80 | $3.1M | −12.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 288,493 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,273 @ $73.58 | $94K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 83,907 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,125 @ $73.58 | $83K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 76,692 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 652 @ $73.58 | $48K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 37,471 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 41,022 @ $72.86 | $3.0M | −13.3% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 267,152 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,271 @ $72.41 | $92K | −1.6% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,150 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,123 @ $72.41 | $81K | −1.6% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,836 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 651 @ $72.41 | $47K | −1.9% of holding | −12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 41,023 @ $72.91 | $3.0M | −14.3% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 245,805 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,271 @ $72.82 | $93K | −1.8% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,391 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,124 @ $72.82 | $82K | −1.8% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,978 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 651 @ $72.82 | $47K | −2.2% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,534 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 29,280 @ $51.26 | $1.5M | −11.5% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 224,459 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 13,215 @ $50.51 | $667K | −5.0% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 253,739 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,803 @ $51.18 | $92K | −2.9% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,632 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,593 @ $51.18 | $82K | −2.8% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,121 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 923 @ $51.18 | $47K | −3.5% of holding | +3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,565 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 42,907 @ $47.92 | $2.1M | −17.3% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 204,585 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Steeneck Craig D. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $47.83 | $96K | +5.6% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,951 @ $47.52 | $93K | −3.5% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,405 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,725 @ $47.52 | $82K | −3.4% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,733 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 999 @ $47.52 | $47K | −4.4% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,868 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | BREWSTER DARYL G | director | Purchase | 211 @ $47.52 | $10K | +0.4% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,545 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 32,344 @ $48.46 | $1.6M | −14.2% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 195,471 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 7,513 @ $50.36 | $378K | −3.9% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 186,432 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | MCLEVISH TIMOTHY R | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $48.67 | $146K | +8.1% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,874 @ $50.04 | $94K | −3.9% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,326 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,656 @ $50.04 | $83K | −3.7% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,477 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,526 @ $49.09 | $75K | −0.8% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 193,945 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,309 @ $51.32 | $67K | −0.7% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 185,123 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Kelley Jacki Sue | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $48.05 | $48K | +7.4% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,496 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 959 @ $50.04 | $48K | −5.0% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,247 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Biegger David | director | Purchase | 690 @ $48.50 | $33K | +9.2% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,178 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Biegger David | director | Purchase | 172 @ $50.06 | $9K | +2.1% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,350 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Biegger David | director | Purchase | 138 @ $51.21 | $7K | +1.7% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,488 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 36,289 @ $49.46 | $1.8M | −18.0% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,746 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 6,104 @ $48.44 | $296K | −2.9% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 202,035 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,874 @ $49.09 | $92K | −4.6% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,657 @ $49.09 | $81K | −4.3% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,152 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 959 @ $49.09 | $47K | −6.2% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,586 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 300 @ $49.85 | $15K | −0.2% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,446 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 31,178 @ $48.51 | $1.5M | −16.6% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 157,089 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 7,433 @ $49.26 | $366K | −4.7% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 149,656 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 3,691 @ $50.32 | $186K | −2.5% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 145,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,804 @ $50.63 | $91K | −5.3% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,014 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Cyr William B. | director | Sale | 1,594 @ $50.63 | $81K | −4.9% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,828 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
183 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Baty Nicola J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,687 | 36,611 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Baty Nicola J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 395 | 36,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 56,442 | 387,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 8,170 | 107,640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,209 | 97,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,180 | 49,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,209 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 56,442 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,180 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 8,170 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 372,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 100,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 91,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 46,072 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 7,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 4,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 8,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 56,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 350,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 92,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 84,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 42,091 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 8,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 118,810 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 17,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 15,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 329,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 85,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 77,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 38,123 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 13,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 181,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 26,230 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 23,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 308,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 9,030 | 77,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 70,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 4,620 | 34,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 62,369 | 243,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cyr William B. | director | Option exercise | 7,981 | 31,152 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.