Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.46 · now $4.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FRMM has typically landed between $2.47 and $7.08 — a range of −44.5% to +58.8% from the issuance price $4.46.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,291 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-06-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FRMM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.46 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.71 (-16.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.06–$4.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.47–$7.08
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-11-23 | −86.0% | −86.0% | +1.6% |
| 2022-11-22 | −82.0% | −82.0% | +2.5% |
| 2022-11-28 | −81.6% | −86.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-07-11 | +1081.0% | −2.9% | +1081.0% |
| 2025-07-14 | +745.6% | −2.2% | +1088.9% |
| 2025-07-16 | +742.0% | +0.0% | +1115.9% |
2,291 overlapping windows · 2017-06-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Lomashuk Konstantin | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 250,000 @ $6.00 | $1.5M | −16.9% of holding | −7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,226,638 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Lomashuk Konstantin | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,562 @ $6.30 | $16K | −0.2% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,476,638 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Lomashuk Konstantin | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,387 @ $6.15 | $21K | −0.2% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,479,200 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Lomashuk Konstantin | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,100 @ $6.13 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,482,587 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Lomashuk Konstantin | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,702 @ $6.41 | $24K | −0.2% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,483,687 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
10 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Rudisill McAndrew | director | Withheld for tax | 98,174 | 1,786,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saunders John Tazewell | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,151 | 342,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | SUCKLING ANDREW P | director | Award / grant | 241,918 | 241,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Dalton Angela | director | Award / grant | 203,562 | 203,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Edwards Michael A | director | Award / grant | 203,562 | 203,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Rudisill McAndrew | director | Award / grant | 1,884,979 | 1,884,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Heter Crystal Jane | director | Award / grant | 241,918 | 241,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | New Jason Griffin | director | Award / grant | 241,918 | 241,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Saunders John Tazewell | officer | Award / grant | 358,592 | 358,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Smith Ryan Lewis | director | Award / grant | 241,918 | 241,918 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.