Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.77 · now $4.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FRMI has typically landed between $2.50 and $6.87 — a range of −47.6% to +43.9% from the issuance price $4.77.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
220 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-10-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FRMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.77 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.22 (-11.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.35–$5.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.5–$6.87
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-11-18 | −55.2% | −55.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | −53.6% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | −52.4% | −52.4% | +4.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-19 | +61.8% | −4.3% | +61.8% |
| 2026-05-20 | +47.5% | −7.6% | +56.3% |
| 2026-05-27 | +44.2% | −14.6% | +44.4% |
220 overlapping windows · 2025-10-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Perry James Richard | director | Sale | 863,637 @ $7.31 | $6.3M | −5.2% of holding | −25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,827,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Uzman Mesut | officer | Sale | 79,509 @ $6.31 | $502K | −10.6% of holding | +34.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 670,491 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Uzman Mesut | officer | Sale | 79,032 @ $6.31 | $499K | −10.5% of holding | +34.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 670,968 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Ortiz Blanes Jacobo | officer | Sale | 427,363 @ $4.58 | $2.0M | −7.2% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,469,092 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Everson Miles E. | director | Sale | 427,004 @ $4.58 | $2.0M | −4.1% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,969,791 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Hamilton Charles Lynn | officer | Sale | 398,140 @ $4.58 | $1.8M | −6.7% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,525,910 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Ortiz Blanes Jacobo | officer | Sale | 403,545 @ $4.91 | $2.0M | −6.4% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,896,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Everson Miles E. | director | Sale | 403,205 @ $4.91 | $2.0M | −3.7% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,396,795 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Hamilton Charles Lynn | officer | Sale | 375,950 @ $4.91 | $1.8M | −6.0% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,924,050 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Perry Griffin | director | Sale | 2,000,000 @ $5.54 | $11.1M | −3.2% of holding | −22.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,946,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Perry Griffin | director | Sale | 9,000,000 @ $5.02 | $45.2M | −12.5% of holding | −18.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,946,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
9 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Ortiz Blanes Jacobo | officer | Award / grant | 147,059 | 5,616,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | MCINTIRE LEE A | director | Award / grant | 468,750 | 784,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Robbin-Coker Cordel | director | Award / grant | 175,094 | 175,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Stein Jeffrey Scott | director | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Haas Marius | director | Award / grant | 175,094 | 1,075,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Everson Miles E. | director | Award / grant | 35,818 | 10,005,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Perry James Richard | director | Award / grant | 175,094 | 16,691,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Kellerman Lawrence M. | director | Award / grant | 35,818 | 35,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | MCINTIRE LEE A | director | Award / grant | 175,094 | 316,163 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.