FPIFarmland Partners Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.79 · now $10.79 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FPI has typically landed between $9.58 and $12.26 — a range of −11.2% to +13.6% from the issuance price $10.79.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,105 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-04-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FPI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.58worst · -11.2%$12.26best · +13.6%
  • now $10.79 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.79 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.23–$11.35
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.58–$12.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,105 windows spanning 2014-04-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2018-06-11−38.5%−38.5%+5.1%
2018-06-14−31.2%−40.4%+1.8%
2018-06-15−29.3%−40.1%+2.3%
3 best
2020-12-22+43.0%+0.0%+43.0%
2020-12-30+32.0%−1.2%+39.2%
2020-12-21+31.5%−0.9%+31.5%

3,105 overlapping windows · 2014-04-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+3.3%
n=12
Feb
67%
+0.5%
n=12
Mar
50%
+2.8%
n=12
Apr
50%
+0.7%
n=12
May
54%
+0.2%
n=13
Jun
69%
+2.0%
n=13
Jul
31%
−4.7%
n=13
Aug
23%
−0.4%
n=13
Sep
46%
−0.8%
n=13
Oct
42%
−0.9%
n=12
Nov
67%
+5.6%
n=12
Dec
58%
−1.7%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$13$92026-06-25: 1 insider purchase, $19K — Sherrick Bruce J2026-02-24: 1 insider purchase, $20K — Grafton Jennifer S2025-12-15: 1 insider purchase, $31K — Good John A2025-11-10: 1 insider purchase, $40K — Good John A2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $86K — Sherrick Bruce J2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $86K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $40K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $31K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $20K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $19K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Sherrick Bruce J — Purchase on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grafton Jennifer S — Purchase on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector Good John A — Purchase on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Good John A — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sherrick Bruce J — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-25Sherrick Bruce JdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $9.65$19K+6.3% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open33,726Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Grafton Jennifer SdirectorPurchase1,600 @ $12.36$20K+13.3% of holding−8.4%−29.3%13,600Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-15Good John AdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $10.20$31K+24.8% of holding+5.8%−10.0%15,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Good John AdirectorPurchase4,100 @ $9.69$40K+51.2% of holding+1.6%+0.8%12,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-14Sherrick Bruce JdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $10.76$86K+40.0% of holding−0.7%+9.0%28,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-19Sherrick Bruce JdirectorPurchase7,000 @ $10.47$73K+53.8% of holding+7.6%−20.6%20,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-19Good John AdirectorPurchase15,000 @ $12.23$184K+17.3% of holding+0.2%−0.9%101,465Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-28Good John AdirectorAward / grant3,98619,086Form 4
2026-04-28Sherrick Bruce JdirectorAward / grant3,72631,726Form 4
2026-04-28Moore Danny D.directorAward / grant3,72627,433Form 4
2026-03-04Pittman Paul AdirectorWithheld for tax7,0101,648,223Form 4
2026-03-04Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax3,903373,521Form 4
2026-03-04Garrison Christine M.officerWithheld for tax89240,406Form 4
2026-02-24Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax4,483377,424Form 4
2026-02-24Pittman Paul AdirectorWithheld for tax2,1421,655,233Form 4
2026-02-24Garrison Christine M.officerWithheld for tax2,04941,298Form 4
2026-02-18Pittman Paul AdirectorWithheld for tax1,6941,657,375Form 4
2026-02-18Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax4,497381,907Form 4
2026-02-18Garrison Christine M.officerWithheld for tax1,20043,347Form 4
2026-02-18Landi Susan M.officerWithheld for tax42913,800Form 4
2026-02-17Pittman Paul AdirectorAward / grant3,80619,895Form 4
2026-02-17Pittman Paul AdirectorAward / grant26,5191,659,069Form 4
2026-02-17Garrison Christine M.officerAward / grant10,95844,547Form 4
2026-02-17Garrison Christine M.officerAward / grant1,5724,391Form 4
2026-02-17Fabbri LucadirectorAward / grant39,304386,404Form 4
2026-02-17Fabbri LucadirectorAward / grant5,64117,047Form 4
2026-02-17Landi Susan M.officerAward / grant3,65214,229Form 4
2026-02-17Landi Susan M.officerAward / grant5241,056Form 4
2025-04-30Good John AdirectorOther acquisition97,4658,000Form 4
2025-03-04Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax5,940347,100Form 4
2025-03-04Garrison Christine M.officerWithheld for tax89333,589Form 4
2025-03-03Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax4,646353,040Form 4
2025-02-24Fabbri LucadirectorWithheld for tax6,830357,686Form 4
2025-02-24Garrison Christine M.officerWithheld for tax69034,482Form 4
2025-02-18Sherrick Bruce JdirectorAward / grant4,00013,000Form 4
2025-02-18Moore Danny D.directorAward / grant4,00023,707Form 4
2025-02-18Good John AdirectorAward / grant4,000105,465Form 4
2025-02-18Grafton Jennifer SdirectorAward / grant4,00012,000Form 4
2025-02-18Garrison Christine M.officerAward / grant10,43435,172Form 4
2025-02-18Garrison Christine M.officerAward / grant1,4902,819Form 4
2025-02-18Landi Susan M.officerAward / grant532532Form 4
2025-02-18Fabbri LucadirectorAward / grant39,129360,473Form 4
2025-02-18Fabbri LucadirectorAward / grant5,58911,406Form 4
2025-02-18Landi Susan M.officerAward / grant3,72610,577Form 4
2025-02-18Pittman Paul AdirectorAward / grant45,6871,632,550Form 4
2025-02-18Pittman Paul AdirectorAward / grant6,52616,089Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.