FOXFox CorporationCommunication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $59.15 · now $59.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FOX has typically landed between $52.80 and $66.39 — a range of −10.7% to +12.2% from the issuance price $59.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,302 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-07-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($59.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FOX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $59.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$52.8worst · -10.7%$66.39best · +12.2%
  • now $59.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $60.14 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $57.25–$63.03
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $52.8–$66.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,302 windows spanning 2013-07-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−44.8%−44.8%+0.0%
2020-02-21−43.8%−43.8%+0.0%
2020-02-18−42.1%−42.1%+0.8%
3 best
2021-02-04+36.4%+0.0%+36.4%
2021-02-03+33.9%+0.0%+33.9%
2021-02-09+33.5%+0.0%+34.8%

3,302 overlapping windows · 2013-07-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$21.7B
market cap
$3.79
EPS (TTM)
13.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$16.3B
'20'25
Net income$2.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.0B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr13.9%
'20'25
ROE · by yr18.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.62
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $59.15$53.85$130.75
  • DCF (intrinsic)$125.45
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$60.74
  • Analyst target · range $71.00–$71.00$71.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$59.15

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
69%
+3.0%
n=13
Feb
62%
−1.1%
n=13
Mar
38%
−3.0%
n=13
Apr
62%
+0.7%
n=13
May
54%
+1.6%
n=13
Jun
46%
+0.1%
n=13
Jul
46%
+0.3%
n=13
Aug
64%
+1.1%
n=14
Sep
43%
−0.4%
n=14
Oct
38%
+0.5%
n=13
Nov
62%
+5.8%
n=13
Dec
62%
+1.4%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$67$442026-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $10.3M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K2026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $10.3M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K2026-03-13: 6 insider sales, $37.1M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K …2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $10.6M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K2026-03-12: 4 insider sales, $26.8M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K, NALLEN JOHN …2026-03-11: 4 insider sales, $28.0M — MURDOCH LACHLAN K, NALLEN JOHN …2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $2.1M — Ciongoli Adam G.2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $5.9M — MURDOCH KEITH RUPERT2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $9.2M — Tomsic Steven2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $11.1M — MURDOCH KEITH RUPERT2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Ryan Paul D2025-09-10: 3 insider sales, $2.1B — MFT SH Family Trust …2025-09-10: 4 insider purchases, $0 — LGC Holdco, LLC …2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $2.1B2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $26.3M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $2.1M2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $10.6M2026-03: 14 open-market sales, $91.9M2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $10.3M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $10.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer NALLEN JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer NALLEN JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer NALLEN JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer NALLEN JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MURDOCH LACHLAN K — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ciongoli Adam G. — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed same dayother MURDOCH KEITH RUPERT — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Tomsic Steven — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed same dayother MURDOCH KEITH RUPERT — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed same daydirector Ryan Paul D — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed same daytenPercentOwner MFT SH Family Trust — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed same daytenPercentOwner MFT SH Family Trust — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed same daytenPercentOwner MFT SH Family Trust — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed same daytenPercentOwner LGC Holdco, LLC — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner LGC Holdco, LLC — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner LGC Holdco, LLC — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner LGC Holdco, LLC — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorPurchase149,934 @ $68.53$10.3M+12.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,401,713Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale149,934 @ $68.53$10.3M−99.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open152Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale295,677 @ $57.51$17.0M−60.8% of holding+4.1%+2.0%190,962Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorPurchase175,372 @ $60.63$10.6M+16.3% of holding+4.1%+2.0%1,251,779Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale175,372 @ $60.63$10.6M−99.9% of holding+4.1%+2.0%152Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale151,265 @ $56.65$8.6M−23.7% of holding+4.1%+2.0%486,639Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale9,438 @ $58.45$552K−4.9% of holding+4.1%+2.0%181,524Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale5,100 @ $59.68$304K−2.8% of holding+4.1%+2.0%176,424Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-13MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale900 @ $60.44$54K−0.5% of holding+4.1%+2.0%175,524Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale239,357 @ $57.68$13.8M−56.6% of holding+3.9%−4.0%183,424Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12NALLEN JOHNofficerSale212,253 @ $57.67$12.2M−36.9% of holding+3.9%−4.0%362,206Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale7,900 @ $58.06$459K−4.3% of holding+3.9%−4.0%175,524Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12NALLEN JOHNofficerSale4,553 @ $58.08$264K−1.2% of holding+3.9%−4.0%383,066Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale240,404 @ $57.73$13.9M−57.5% of holding+3.4%−2.6%177,867Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11NALLEN JOHNofficerSale239,907 @ $57.73$13.8M−40.0% of holding+3.4%−2.6%360,055Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11NALLEN JOHNofficerSale2,402 @ $58.32$140K−0.7% of holding+3.4%−2.6%357,653Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorSale2,343 @ $58.31$137K−1.3% of holding+3.4%−2.6%175,524Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-09Ciongoli Adam G.officerSale29,897 @ $69.55$2.1M−45.4% of holding+4.9%−9.4%35,978Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-21MURDOCH KEITH RUPERTotherSale100,000 @ $59.26$5.9M−8.3% of holding+4.4%−14.9%1,100,862Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-10Tomsic StevenofficerSale138,397 @ $66.54$9.2M−43.4% of holding+4.7%−10.0%180,556Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07MURDOCH KEITH RUPERTotherSale168,756 @ $65.97$11.1M−100.0% of holding+2.8%−10.1%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-31Ryan Paul DdirectorSale17,767 @ $64.36$1.1M−100.0% of holding+1.5%−10.5%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10MFT SH Family TrusttenPercentOwnerSale34,268,895 @ $33.99$1.2B−100.0% of holding−1.5%−0.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10MFT SH Family TrusttenPercentOwnerSale16,835,016 @ $53.46$900.0M−100.0% of holding−1.5%−0.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10MFT SH Family TrusttenPercentOwnerSale9,498 @ $33.99$323K−100.0% of holding−1.5%−0.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10LGC Holdco, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase9,498—+100.0% of holding−1.5%−0.8%19,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10LGC Holdco, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase34,268,895—+67.1% of holding−1.5%−0.8%85,372,810Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10LGC Holdco, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase34,268,895—+67.1% of holding−1.5%−0.8%85,372,810Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10LGC Holdco, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase9,498—+100.0% of holding−1.5%−0.8%19,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-04Tomsic StevenofficerSale5,607 @ $55.37$310K−4.0% of holding−2.8%+4.9%133,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

270 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorWithheld for tax71,885150,086Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerWithheld for tax32,592254,913Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorWithheld for tax27,86529,365Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorWithheld for tax26,64957,636Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerWithheld for tax20,481220,406Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH KEITH RUPERTotherWithheld for tax19,44716,394Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorWithheld for tax16,54874,724Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerWithheld for tax12,92665,153Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerWithheld for tax12,025196,987Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerWithheld for tax11,569210,379Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerWithheld for tax9,678220,575Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerWithheld for tax7,575188,550Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerWithheld for tax7,52072,608Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerWithheld for tax7,286196,239Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerWithheld for tax4,678200,732Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerWithheld for tax4,60677,173Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise9,17118,348Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise40,1550Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise14,97514,982Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise15,5690Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerOption exercise25,7410Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerOption exercise14,97514,982Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerOption exercise9,17118,348Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH KEITH RUPERTotherOption exercise35,8410Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorOption exercise57,0780Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorOption exercise54,92054,921Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorOption exercise33,63667,272Form 4
2026-08-15MURDOCH LACHLAN KdirectorOption exercise147,2470Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise25,9460Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise24,96124,965Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise19,87439,753Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise66,9300Form 4
2026-08-15Ciongoli Adam G.officerOption exercise25,74178,079Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise40,155240,887Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise9,171205,410Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise14,975203,525Form 4
2026-08-15Tomsic StevenofficerOption exercise15,569196,125Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise66,930287,505Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise19,874230,253Form 4
2026-08-15NALLEN JOHNofficerOption exercise24,961221,948Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-02-052024-01-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-12-062023-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-12-062022-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-12-062022-11-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-12-062022-11-03$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-10-072022-09-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-10-072022-09-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.