Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.84 · now $42.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FNWD has typically landed between $37.50 and $48.94 — a range of −12.5% to +14.2% from the issuance price $42.84.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FNWD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $42.84 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $42.79 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $40.55–$45.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.5–$48.94
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-05-05 | −29.2% | −29.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | −28.9% | −28.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-25 | −28.9% | −28.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2012-01-17 | +42.8% | +0.0% | +42.8% |
| 2012-01-13 | +42.8% | +0.0% | +42.8% |
| 2012-01-09 | +42.8% | −1.8% | +42.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+1.2%
n=20
Feb
45%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
60%
−0.6%
n=20
Apr
55%
−0.6%
n=20
May
35%
−2.2%
n=20
Jun
65%
+1.5%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Aug
30%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Oct
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Nov
65%
+1.3%
n=20
Dec
70%
+2.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Purchase | 51 @ $36.00 | $2K | +0.3% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,244 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Purchase | 39 @ $36.00 | $1K | +0.3% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,727 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Puntillo Anthony | director | Purchase | 7 @ $35.75 | $233 | +0.3% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,321 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 6 @ $36.00 | $223 | +0.3% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,868 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Johnson Robert E. III | director | Purchase | 5 @ $35.75 | $195 | +0.1% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,753 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Han Amy Wong | director | Purchase | 4 @ $35.75 | $128 | +0.0% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,560 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Purchase | 50 @ $36.50 | $2K | +0.3% of holding | −21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,194 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Purchase | 38 @ $36.50 | $1K | +0.3% of holding | −21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 6 @ $36.50 | $223 | +0.3% of holding | −21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,862 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-30 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Purchase | 51 @ $35.56 | $2K | +0.3% of holding | +2.7% | −4.4% | 15,144 | Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-30 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Purchase | 39 @ $35.56 | $1K | +0.3% of holding | +2.7% | −4.4% | 11,649 | Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-30 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 6 @ $35.56 | $222 | +0.3% of holding | +2.7% | −4.4% | 1,856 | Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $28.98 | $14K | +9.8% of holding | −9.5% | +21.4% | 5,577 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 100 @ $29.00 | $3K | +0.3% of holding | −9.5% | +21.4% | 29,989 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 260 @ $29.75 | $8K | +0.9% of holding | −10.7% | +20.7% | 29,889 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Purchase | 59 @ $30.52 | $2K | +0.4% of holding | −7.4% | −6.3% | 15,037 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Purchase | 45 @ $30.52 | $1K | +0.4% of holding | −7.4% | −6.3% | 11,567 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 7 @ $30.52 | $220 | +0.4% of holding | −7.4% | −6.3% | 1,843 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-27 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Sale | 375 @ $30.92 | $12K | −5.4% of holding | −10.6% | −15.9% | 6,549 | Form 4 · filed 17 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $28.70 | $29K | +3.5% of holding | +4.5% | −9.2% | 29,629 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-11 | Youman Robert W. | director | Purchase | 1,400 @ $27.76 | $39K | +6.6% of holding | +6.4% | −3.3% | 22,773 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 400 @ $27.82 | $11K | +8.6% of holding | +6.4% | −3.3% | 5,077 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 579 @ $27.98 | $16K | +2.1% of holding | +15.0% | −0.1% | 28,629 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 160 @ $27.95 | $4K | +0.6% of holding | +15.1% | +3.4% | 28,050 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Alwin Martin P | director | Purchase | 817 @ $26.71 | $22K | +81.7% of holding | +13.4% | +10.3% | 1,817 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-28 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $26.56 | $13K | +12.0% of holding | +13.4% | +10.3% | 4,677 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-28 | Alwin Martin P | director | Purchase | 94 @ $26.70 | $3K | +5.2% of holding | +13.4% | +10.3% | 1,911 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-27 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Purchase | 550 @ $26.45 | $15K | +20.8% of holding | +14.1% | +8.8% | 3,200 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Purchase | 350 @ $26.50 | $9K | +15.2% of holding | +13.4% | +6.3% | 2,650 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Purchase | 800 @ $26.50 | $21K | +53.3% of holding | +13.5% | +2.2% | 2,300 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $27.00 | $14K | −11.1% of holding | +13.5% | +2.2% | 4,001 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-06 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Purchase | 500 @ $26.85 | $13K | +50.0% of holding | +11.8% | +1.5% | 1,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.80 | $27K | ownership Δ n/a | +2.7% | −1.9% | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 200 @ $26.75 | $5K | +0.7% of holding | +2.7% | −1.9% | 28,844 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $31.13 | $16K | +16.7% of holding | −11.6% | −6.7% | 3,490 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-05 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 233 @ $31.01 | $7K | +0.8% of holding | −5.7% | −3.6% | 28,644 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-14 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 37 @ $26.65 | $986 | +0.1% of holding | −3.5% | +2.6% | 28,881 | Form 4 · filed 366 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-03 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Purchase | 66 @ $27.02 | $2K | +0.4% of holding | −7.1% | +11.7% | 14,978 | Form 4 · filed 369 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-03 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Purchase | 51 @ $27.02 | $1K | +0.4% of holding | −7.1% | +11.7% | 11,522 | Form 4 · filed 369 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-03 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Purchase | 11 @ $27.10 | $299 | +0.3% of holding | −7.1% | +11.7% | 3,501 | Form 4 · filed 369 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-03 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Purchase | 8 @ $27.02 | $219 | +0.4% of holding | −7.1% | +11.7% | 1,836 | Form 4 · filed 369 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Han Amy Wong | director | Award / grant | 372 | 8,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Johnson Robert E. III | director | Award / grant | 372 | 3,747 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Evans Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 372 | 806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Alwin Martin P | director | Award / grant | 372 | 806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | GORELICK JOEL | director | Award / grant | 372 | 2,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Puntillo Anthony | director | Award / grant | 372 | 2,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Youman Robert W. | director | Award / grant | 372 | 806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Award / grant | 697 | 30,686 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Award / grant | 529 | 7,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Award / grant | 419 | 5,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 11,216 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Han Amy Wong | director | Award / grant | 434 | 8,178 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Evans Jennifer | director | Award / grant | 434 | 434 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Garza Danette | director | Award / grant | 434 | 6,453 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Alwin Martin P | director | Award / grant | 434 | 434 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | BURKE CAROLYN M. | director | Award / grant | 434 | 4,384 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Johnson Robert E. III | director | Award / grant | 434 | 3,363 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Youman Robert W. | director | Award / grant | 434 | 434 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Puntillo Anthony | director | Award / grant | 434 | 1,927 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | GORELICK JOEL | director | Award / grant | 434 | 2,120 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-14 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Award / grant | 257 | 6,924 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-14 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Award / grant | 197 | 10,847 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-14 | Schmitt Benjamin Louis | officer | Award / grant | 176 | 4,177 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-11 | Bochnowski Benjamin J | director | Disposition | 991 | 27,890 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-11 | Scheub Todd M. | officer | Disposition | 427 | 6,667 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-11 | Lowry Robert T | officer | Disposition | 411 | 10,650 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.