FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc.Financial Services · Insurance - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.02 · now $43.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FNF has typically landed between $38.02 and $47.93 — a range of −11.6% to +11.4% from the issuance price $43.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FNF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$38.02worst · -11.6%$47.93best · +11.4%
  • now $43.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.48 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.3–$45.65
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $38.02–$47.93
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−52.7%−52.7%+0.0%
2020-02-18−51.6%−51.6%+0.0%
2020-02-21−50.9%−50.9%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+134.5%+0.0%+134.5%
2008-11-21+123.1%+0.0%+123.1%
2008-11-24+103.4%+0.0%+103.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+2.8%
n=20
Feb
60%
+0.6%
n=20
Mar
80%
+0.5%
n=20
Apr
60%
+1.0%
n=20
May
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Jun
40%
−2.5%
n=20
Jul
90%
+4.7%
n=20
Aug
60%
+0.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
+0.6%
n=20
Oct
45%
−3.3%
n=20
Nov
95%
+6.1%
n=20
Dec
50%
+3.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$59$432026-06-26: 1 insider sale, $3.2M — SADOWSKI PETER T2026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $4.0M — Dhanidina Halim2026-04-08: 1 insider sale, $23K — SADOWSKI PETER T2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $335K — Dhanidina Halim2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $367K — LANE DANIEL D2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $367K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $335K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $23K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $7.2M↑ buys↓ salesofficer SADOWSKI PETER T — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Dhanidina Halim — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SADOWSKI PETER T — Sale on 2026-04-08, filed 20 days after the tradedirector Dhanidina Halim — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANE DANIEL D — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-26SADOWSKI PETER TofficerSale69,196 @ $45.70$3.2M−92.4% of holding+14.2%not yet — horizon still open5,702Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-24Dhanidina HalimdirectorSale9,543 @ $418.25$4.0M−72.4% of holding+10.6%not yet — horizon still open3,643Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-08SADOWSKI PETER TofficerSale473 @ $47.67$23K−100.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade
2026-01-05Dhanidina HalimdirectorSale6,000 @ $55.90$335K−31.3% of holding+0.9%−19.3%13,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17LANE DANIEL DdirectorSale6,367 @ $57.63$367K−2.3% of holding−2.2%−24.3%276,308Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05Rood John DdirectorSale10,000 @ $53.96$540K−4.2% of holding−1.9%−6.2%230,569Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24Dhanidina HalimdirectorSale2,400 @ $64.76$155K−14.4% of holding+2.3%−23.3%14,316Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-10Dhanidina HalimdirectorSale2,800 @ $54.85$154K−14.3% of holding+1.3%−9.2%16,716Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-24Morgan Sandra DouglassdirectorSale2,092 @ $56.33$118K−6.1% of holding+1.6%−3.1%32,386Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant1,07114,112Form 4
2026-06-30Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant34225,491Form 4
2026-05-08Nolan Michael JosephdirectorAward / grant39,542601,672Form 4
2026-03-31Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant1,07713,040Form 4
2026-03-31Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant34425,149Form 4
2025-12-31Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant90711,963Form 4
2025-12-31Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant29024,805Form 4
2025-11-15Nolan Michael JosephdirectorWithheld for tax15,644561,358Form 4
2025-11-15QUIRK RAYMOND RdirectorWithheld for tax11,807188,580Form 4
2025-11-15PARK ANTHONYofficerWithheld for tax4,826135,501Form 4
2025-11-15SADOWSKI PETER TofficerWithheld for tax4,561190,466Form 4
2025-11-15Gravelle Michael LofficerWithheld for tax4,561302,844Form 4
2025-11-10QUIRK RAYMOND RdirectorWithheld for tax15,582144,734Form 4
2025-11-10Nolan Michael JosephdirectorWithheld for tax13,814477,002Form 4
2025-11-10PARK ANTHONYofficerWithheld for tax4,852109,283Form 4
2025-11-10SADOWSKI PETER TofficerWithheld for tax4,643165,809Form 4
2025-11-10Gravelle Michael LofficerWithheld for tax4,643279,578Form 4
2025-11-10Nolan Michael JosephdirectorAward / grant100,000577,002Form 4
2025-11-10Dhanidina HalimdirectorAward / grant4,87019,186Form 4
2025-11-10Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant4,870149,341Form 4
2025-11-10LANE DANIEL DdirectorAward / grant4,870282,675Form 4
2025-11-10Morgan Sandra DouglassdirectorAward / grant4,87017,545Form 4
2025-11-10Murren Heather HaydirectorAward / grant4,87041,620Form 4
2025-11-10THOMPSON CARY HdirectorAward / grant4,87051,497Form 4
2025-11-10PARK ANTHONYofficerAward / grant31,044140,327Form 4
2025-11-10Gravelle Michael LofficerAward / grant27,827307,405Form 4
2025-11-10HAGERTY THOMAS MdirectorAward / grant4,870349,512Form 4
2025-11-10Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant4,870224,614Form 4
2025-11-10QUIRK RAYMOND RdirectorAward / grant55,653200,387Form 4
2025-11-10SADOWSKI PETER TofficerAward / grant29,218195,027Form 4
2025-11-10Rood John DdirectorAward / grant4,870235,439Form 4
2025-11-08Nolan Michael JosephdirectorWithheld for tax11,978490,816Form 4
2025-11-08QUIRK RAYMOND RdirectorWithheld for tax8,711160,316Form 4
2025-11-08PARK ANTHONYofficerWithheld for tax3,703114,135Form 4
2025-11-08Gravelle Michael LofficerWithheld for tax3,485284,221Form 4
2025-11-08SADOWSKI PETER TofficerWithheld for tax3,485170,452Form 4
2025-09-30Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant80811,056Form 4
2025-09-30Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant25124,515Form 4
2025-06-30Shea Peter O JrdirectorAward / grant86410,248Form 4
2025-06-30Ammerman Douglas KdirectorAward / grant26924,264Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.