Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.72 · now $2.72 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FLWS has typically landed between $2.03 and $3.41 — a range of −25.3% to +25.4% from the issuance price $2.72.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.72) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FLWS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.72 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.72 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.65 (-2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.38–$2.92
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.03–$3.41
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-30 | −64.5% | −64.5% | +0.8% |
| 2009-01-28 | −64.0% | −64.0% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-27 | −61.2% | −61.2% | +7.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-03 | +136.0% | +0.0% | +155.1% |
| 2009-03-11 | +129.1% | +0.0% | +129.1% |
| 2009-03-09 | +97.7% | +0.0% | +104.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Feb
55%
+1.7%
n=20
Mar
70%
+4.7%
n=20
Apr
60%
+5.6%
n=20
May
35%
−1.8%
n=20
Jun
40%
−2.4%
n=20
Jul
65%
+5.9%
n=20
Aug
40%
−6.0%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.8%
n=20
Oct
60%
+1.4%
n=20
Nov
45%
−2.6%
n=20
Dec
70%
+5.3%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 190,098 @ $4.46 | $849K | −5.0% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,607,004 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 156,640 @ $3.91 | $612K | −3.8% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,939,602 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 95,000 @ $4.03 | $383K | −2.4% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,844,602 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 46,300 @ $4.11 | $190K | −1.2% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,797,102 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,200 @ $4.08 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,843,402 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 288,651 @ $4.05 | $1.2M | −6.3% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,270,566 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 229,486 @ $4.03 | $924K | −4.8% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,586,756 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 138,799 @ $4.52 | $628K | −3.3% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,096,242 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,525 @ $4.71 | $167K | −0.8% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,235,041 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,539 @ $4.72 | $130K | −0.6% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,559,217 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 434,606 @ $4.54 | $2.0M | −8.2% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,842,529 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 82,302 @ $4.86 | $400K | −1.5% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,277,135 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 26,287 @ $4.85 | $127K | −0.5% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,816,242 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Sale | 7,259 @ $3.10 | $23K | −12.4% of holding | +28.0% | +25.3% | 51,129 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,964,681 @ $5.64 | $11.1M | −26.8% of holding | −26.6% | −25.3% | 5,362,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,159,139 @ $6.17 | $7.2M | −13.7% of holding | −26.6% | −25.3% | 7,326,931 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 841,180 @ $6.24 | $5.2M | −9.0% of holding | −26.6% | −25.3% | 8,486,070 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $6.30 | $1.3M | −2.1% of holding | −26.6% | −25.3% | 9,327,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,813 @ $4.84 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | −26.6% | −25.3% | 5,359,437 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-24 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 19,920 @ $5.06 | $101K | +0.2% of holding | +19.2% | −36.2% | 9,527,250 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 27,657 @ $5.02 | $139K | +0.3% of holding | +32.8% | −31.4% | 9,507,330 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $4.97 | $199K | +0.4% of holding | +3.8% | −36.2% | 9,479,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 16,320 @ $5.01 | $82K | +0.2% of holding | +9.3% | −45.2% | 9,439,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.08 | $25K | +0.1% of holding | +9.3% | −45.2% | 9,423,353 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 30,000 @ $4.81 | $144K | +0.3% of holding | +8.9% | −44.5% | 9,418,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 49,576 @ $4.93 | $244K | +0.5% of holding | +3.8% | −47.3% | 9,388,353 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 15,000 @ $4.92 | $74K | +0.2% of holding | −5.4% | −47.0% | 9,338,777 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-28 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $4.80 | $96K | +0.2% of holding | +2.2% | −47.5% | 9,313,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $4.79 | $48K | +0.1% of holding | +2.2% | −47.5% | 9,323,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Sale | 6,864 @ $4.80 | $33K | −10.8% of holding | +2.2% | −47.5% | 56,805 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $4.67 | $47K | +0.1% of holding | +0.2% | −48.3% | 9,293,777 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,000 @ $4.65 | $233K | +0.5% of holding | +9.5% | −45.1% | 9,283,777 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $4.68 | $47K | +0.1% of holding | +9.5% | −45.1% | 9,233,777 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 80,000 @ $4.55 | $364K | +0.9% of holding | +5.7% | −49.2% | 9,198,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 25,000 @ $4.61 | $115K | +0.3% of holding | +5.7% | −49.2% | 9,223,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Leap Arnold P | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $4.91 | $25K | −5.2% of holding | +1.1% | −50.9% | 90,795 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.26 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | −5.6% | −55.2% | 9,118,777 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 75,000 @ $5.02 | $377K | +0.8% of holding | −4.9% | −54.2% | 9,113,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 251,567 @ $4.61 | $1.2M | +2.9% of holding | −0.7% | −47.8% | 8,963,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 75,000 @ $4.75 | $356K | +0.8% of holding | −0.7% | −47.8% | 9,038,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 24,296 @ $3.90 | $95K | +0.3% of holding | −0.7% | −47.8% | 8,712,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 35,000 @ $5.42 | $190K | +0.4% of holding | −18.3% | −53.3% | 8,687,914 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-25 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100,000 @ $5.46 | $546K | +1.2% of holding | −21.2% | −35.2% | 8,652,914 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 16,847 @ $5.42 | $91K | +0.2% of holding | −19.8% | −35.8% | 8,552,914 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 16,000 @ $5.36 | $86K | +0.2% of holding | −19.8% | −35.8% | 8,536,067 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-23 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 30,000 @ $5.42 | $162K | +0.4% of holding | −15.8% | −41.3% | 8,520,067 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 15,000 @ $5.36 | $80K | +0.2% of holding | −27.1% | −32.3% | 8,490,067 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $5.37 | $54K | +0.1% of holding | −27.1% | −32.3% | 8,475,067 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-21 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.17 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | −25.8% | −43.9% | 8,465,067 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-17 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 74,500 @ $5.22 | $389K | +0.9% of holding | −25.6% | −42.4% | 8,455,067 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-17 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.27 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | −25.6% | −42.4% | 8,460,067 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-16 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $5.22 | $104K | +0.2% of holding | −24.0% | −42.3% | 8,380,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $5.27 | $211K | +0.5% of holding | −18.0% | −42.3% | 8,360,567 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-11 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 47,598 @ $5.28 | $251K | +0.6% of holding | −10.7% | −43.3% | 8,320,567 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $5.32 | $213K | +0.5% of holding | −13.8% | −46.0% | 8,272,969 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 40,000 @ $5.31 | $212K | +1.1% of holding | −13.8% | −46.0% | 3,831,566 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 30,000 @ $5.71 | $171K | +0.4% of holding | −17.3% | −44.7% | 8,232,969 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-07 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 90,000 @ $5.31 | $478K | +2.4% of holding | −4.3% | −50.4% | 3,791,566 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-07 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,500 @ $5.79 | $14K | +0.0% of holding | −4.3% | −50.4% | 8,202,969 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $5.95 | $119K | +0.2% of holding | −5.4% | −43.4% | 8,200,469 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
80 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Award / grant | 59,146 | 334,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Villagomez Adolfo | director | Award / grant | 134,423 | 384,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Manley Michael R | officer | Award / grant | 7,492 | 231,350 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Manley Michael R | officer | Award / grant | 39,319 | 270,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Langrock James M | officer | Award / grant | 18,314 | 375,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Award / grant | 4,995 | 124,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Langrock James M | officer | Award / grant | 62,843 | 438,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | MCCANN JAMES F | director | Award / grant | 16,233 | 385,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Award / grant | 30,245 | 154,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Tejada Nelson Niviades Jr | officer | Award / grant | 7,659 | 167,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Zelikovsky Alexander | officer | Award / grant | 23,944 | 78,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Zelikovsky Alexander | officer | Award / grant | 7,908 | 54,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Tejada Nelson Niviades Jr | officer | Award / grant | 30,917 | 198,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Award / grant | 12,209 | 275,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,087 | 119,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Villagomez Adolfo | director | Withheld for tax | 36,533 | 249,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,643 | 263,222 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | MCCANN CHRISTOPHER G | director | Withheld for tax | 7,012 | 603,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Manley Michael R | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,288 | 223,858 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,440 | 134,201 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | MCCANN CHRISTOPHER G | director | Withheld for tax | 5,024 | 610,963 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Langrock James M | officer | Award / grant | 108,368 | 140,763 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Manley Michael R | officer | Award / grant | 44,333 | 137,481 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Palmer Shelton Leigh | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 20,964 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Palmer Shelton Leigh | director | Award / grant | 13,210 | 34,174 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | MCCANN CHRISTOPHER G | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 615,987 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Manley Michael R | officer | Award / grant | 88,665 | 226,146 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | DeMark Eugene F | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 79,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Shim Christina | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 40,517 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Hanft Adam | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 58,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Award / grant | 72,246 | 123,375 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Feldman Jonathan J. | officer | Award / grant | 144,490 | 267,865 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Award / grant | 29,555 | 76,531 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kasenchak Priscilla | officer | Award / grant | 59,110 | 135,641 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Colombo Dina M. | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 52,244 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Langrock James M | officer | Award / grant | 216,736 | 357,499 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | MCCANN JAMES F | director | Award / grant | 96,054 | 369,555 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Zarin Larry | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 91,198 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Zelikovsky Alexander | officer | Award / grant | 46,795 | 46,795 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Brown Celia | director | Award / grant | 20,964 | 67,289 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.