Issued 2026-09-16 at $97.56 · now $97.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FLUT has typically landed between $80.66 and $113.61 — a range of −17.3% to +16.5% from the issuance price $97.56.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($97.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FLUT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $97.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $97.56 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $97.44 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $89.7–$105.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $80.66–$113.61
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-16 | −57.1% | −57.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-17 | −57.1% | −57.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-18 | −57.1% | −57.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-06-04 | +79.8% | +0.0% | +79.8% |
| 2009-06-03 | +79.8% | +0.0% | +79.8% |
| 2009-06-02 | +79.8% | +0.0% | +79.8% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
35%
−0.3%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.8%
n=20
Mar
40%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
35%
+4.5%
n=20
May
35%
+1.7%
n=20
Jun
30%
+2.8%
n=20
Jul
45%
+2.3%
n=20
Aug
25%
+0.9%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Oct
35%
+0.3%
n=20
Nov
50%
+3.9%
n=20
Dec
45%
+3.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Sale | 1,762 @ $97.86 | $172K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,452 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Sale | 791 @ $97.86 | $77K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 52,467 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Bishop James Philip | officer | Sale | 741 @ $97.86 | $73K | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,864 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Sale | 710 @ $97.86 | $69K | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,778 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | LIU DON H | director | Sale | 565 @ $97.86 | $55K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 20,441 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Sale | 2,112 @ $93.32 | $197K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 85,899 @ $97.24 | $8.4M | +0.4% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,883,047 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 29,175 @ $96.85 | $2.8M | +0.1% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,797,148 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 51,595 @ $97.20 | $5.0M | +0.2% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,767,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 6,294 @ $99.02 | $623K | +0.0% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,716,378 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 150,000 @ $94.85 | $14.2M | +0.7% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,710,084 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 332,237 @ $94.53 | $31.4M | +1.6% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,560,084 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 499,874 @ $92.83 | $46.4M | +2.4% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,227,847 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 885,900 @ $93.58 | $82.9M | +4.7% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,910,158 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 817,815 @ $91.41 | $74.8M | +4.1% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,727,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 118,128 @ $99.68 | $11.8M | +0.6% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,024,258 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 306,300 @ $99.37 | $30.4M | +1.6% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,906,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 35,891 @ $97.76 | $3.5M | +0.2% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,599,830 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 430,612 @ $96.75 | $41.7M | +2.4% of holding | +9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,563,939 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 302,400 @ $98.29 | $29.7M | +1.7% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,133,327 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 350,000 @ $98.58 | $34.5M | +2.0% of holding | +2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,830,927 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 350,000 @ $99.12 | $34.7M | +2.0% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,480,927 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 9,426 @ $100.00 | $943K | +0.1% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,130,927 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,000 @ $99.94 | $5.0M | +0.3% of holding | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,121,501 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 94,616 @ $99.96 | $9.5M | +0.6% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,071,501 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Lennon Carolan | director | Sale | 439 @ $94.63 | $42K | −20.6% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | BRYANT JOHN A | director | Sale | 214 @ $94.63 | $20K | −2.3% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,021 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Bomhard Stefan Andreas | director | Sale | 177 @ $94.63 | $17K | −15.0% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Cruickshank Nancy | director | Sale | 152 @ $94.63 | $14K | −5.8% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,483 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | McCarthy Christine M | director | Sale | 135 @ $94.63 | $13K | −9.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,262 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | BENNETT ROBERT R | director | Sale | 135 @ $94.63 | $13K | −9.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,262 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Dubuc Nancy | director | Sale | 135 @ $94.63 | $13K | −9.7% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,261 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | KOEPPEL HOLLY K | director | Sale | 135 @ $94.63 | $13K | −4.0% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,259 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Hurley Alfred F Jr | director | Sale | 135 @ $94.63 | $13K | −3.1% of holding | +10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,221 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 190,800 @ $95.60 | $18.2M | +1.1% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,976,885 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 322,567 @ $95.00 | $30.6M | +2.0% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,786,085 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 150,000 @ $98.53 | $14.8M | +0.9% of holding | +2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,463,518 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 41,806 @ $95.97 | $4.0M | +0.3% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,313,518 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 279,160 @ $96.85 | $27.0M | +1.7% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,271,712 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 171,649 @ $97.93 | $16.8M | +1.1% of holding | +2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,992,552 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,633 @ $95.56 | $4.8M | +0.3% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,820,903 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 512,615 @ $92.92 | $47.6M | +3.4% of holding | +16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,770,270 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 659,049 @ $93.63 | $61.7M | +4.5% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,257,655 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 418,077 @ $94.72 | $39.6M | +2.9% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,598,606 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | LIU DON H | director | Sale | 1,259 @ $93.37 | $118K | −5.7% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 700,000 @ $97.79 | $68.5M | +5.2% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,180,529 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Purchase | 1,611 @ $94.29 | $152K | +4.9% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Lennon Carolan | director | Purchase | 520 @ $92.30 | $48K | +32.4% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,127 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Sale | 3,084 @ $98.13 | $303K | −4.0% of holding | +22.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,326 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Bishop James Philip | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $99.75 | $100K | +6.0% of holding | +22.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,605 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Purchase | 1,013 @ $98.41 | $100K | +3.2% of holding | +22.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Purchase | 2,400 @ $101.94 | $245K | +3.5% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | BRYANT JOHN A | director | Purchase | 1,950 @ $102.86 | $201K | +26.8% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,235 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | LIU DON H | director | Purchase | 1,459 @ $102.78 | $150K | +7.0% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,265 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Bomhard Stefan Andreas | director | Purchase | 500 @ $102.00 | $51K | +73.9% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,177 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Sale | 129 @ $101.40 | $13K | −0.5% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,488 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 145,375 @ $107.13 | $15.6M | +1.1% of holding | −8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,480,529 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 21,706 @ $107.90 | $2.3M | +0.2% of holding | −18.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,335,154 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 51,244 @ $109.03 | $5.6M | +0.4% of holding | −21.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,313,448 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | DART KENNETH BRYAN | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 134,234 @ $105.64 | $14.2M | +1.0% of holding | −13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,262,204 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
116 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 5,639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 7,902 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 5,639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 7,902 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 5,639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 7,902 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 13,541 | 13,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 13,541 | 13,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 7,902 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Disposition | 5,639 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 13,541 | 13,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 13,541 | 13,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | BENNETT ROBERT R | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 3,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Dubuc Nancy | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 3,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Cruickshank Nancy | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 4,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Bomhard Stefan Andreas | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 3,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | BRYANT JOHN A | director | Award / grant | 3,284 | 12,305 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Lennon Carolan | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 3,759 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | McCarthy Christine M | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 3,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | SUSMAN SALLY | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 2,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | KOEPPEL HOLLY K | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 5,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | KENNY DAVID W | director | Award / grant | 2,071 | 2,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 6,604 | 41,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 12,070 | 53,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Option exercise | 6,538 | 77,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Option exercise | 6,538 | 36,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Option exercise | 272 | 23,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Option exercise | 272 | 3,599 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Howe Amy | officer | Option exercise | 4,179 | 21,641 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Bishop James Philip | officer | Award / grant | 11,893 | 16,605 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Taylor Daniel Mark | officer | Award / grant | 15,371 | 31,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Option exercise | 9,779 | 14,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Award / grant | 13,339 | 23,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Coldrake Robert | officer | Option exercise | 9,779 | 3,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Howe Amy | officer | Option exercise | 13,755 | 83,605 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Howe Amy | officer | Option exercise | 4,179 | 87,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Howe Amy | officer | Award / grant | 14,949 | 93,838 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Howe Amy | officer | Option exercise | 13,755 | 25,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Award / grant | 31,684 | 68,472 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Jackson Jeremy Peter | director | Option exercise | 7,081 | 45,601 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.