FLSFlowserve Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $72.31 · now $72.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FLS has typically landed between $62.08 and $84.81 — a range of −14.1% to +17.3% from the issuance price $72.31.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($72.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FLS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $72.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$62.08worst · -14.1%$84.81best · +17.3%
  • now $72.31 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $74.03 (+2.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $69.56–$78.5
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $62.08–$84.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−58.2%−58.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−55.9%−56.2%+0.0%
2020-02-18−55.8%−55.8%+0.8%
3 best
2008-12-04+47.3%+0.0%+47.3%
2009-03-06+43.1%−0.2%+43.9%
2009-03-05+42.9%−0.9%+42.9%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+2.8%
n=18
Feb
63%
+3.3%
n=19
Mar
58%
−0.4%
n=19
Apr
63%
+3.4%
n=19
May
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Jun
32%
−0.2%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.3%
n=19
Aug
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.9%
n=19
Oct
56%
+1.7%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$92$492026-05-18: 1 insider purchase, $164K — McMurray Michael C.2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $67K — Savoy Brian D2026-02-17: 2 insider sales, $978K — McMurray Michael C., SIEGEL KENNETH I2025-12-02: 3 insider sales, $15.0M — Rowe Robert Scott …2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $112K — Duhon Lamar L.2025-11-04: 2 insider sales, $4.1M — Schwetz Amy B, Hudson Susan Claire2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $532K — Wilson Kirk2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $4.2M2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $15.0M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $978K2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $232K↑ buys↓ salesdirector McMurray Michael C. — Purchase on 2026-05-18, filed same daydirector Savoy Brian D — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector McMurray Michael C. — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same daydirector SIEGEL KENNETH I — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same daydirector Rowe Robert Scott — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rowe Robert Scott — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rowe Robert Scott — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Duhon Lamar L. — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schwetz Amy B — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hudson Susan Claire — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Wilson Kirk — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-18McMurray Michael C.directorPurchase2,500 @ $65.71$164K+44.1% of holding+19.4%not yet — horizon still open8,172Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14Savoy Brian DdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $67.34$67Kownership Δ n/a+16.8%not yet — horizon still open1,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17McMurray Michael C.directorSale7,663 @ $89.96$689K−71.2% of holding−14.1%−27.3%3,099Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17SIEGEL KENNETH IdirectorSale3,229 @ $89.50$289K−100.0% of holding−14.1%−27.3%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Rowe Robert ScottdirectorSale114,943 @ $70.54$8.1M−20.6% of holding+0.9%−3.3%444,370Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Rowe Robert ScottdirectorSale95,223 @ $70.39$6.7M−21.4% of holding+0.9%−3.3%349,147Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Rowe Robert ScottdirectorSale2,517 @ $70.92$179K−0.7% of holding+0.9%−3.3%346,630Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11Duhon Lamar L.officerSale1,609 @ $69.51$112K−9.6% of holding+5.0%−11.6%15,116Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04Schwetz Amy BdirectorSale47,000 @ $71.02$3.3M−47.2% of holding+2.0%−5.5%52,628Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04Hudson Susan ClaireofficerSale10,667 @ $70.01$747K−61.8% of holding+2.0%−5.5%6,589Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12Wilson KirkofficerSale10,000 @ $53.22$532K−21.2% of holding+4.2%+55.6%37,196Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-08Wilson KirkofficerSale10,000 @ $52.58$526K−17.5% of holding+3.8%+55.8%47,196Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

254 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant3124,889Form 4
2026-08-11GARRISON JOHN L JRdirectorAward / grant94441,629Form 4
2026-08-11Johnson Cheryl HdirectorAward / grant44514,714Form 4
2026-08-11CHANDY RUBY RdirectorAward / grant8235,936Form 4
2026-08-03Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant4824,858Form 4
2026-07-01Rowe Robert ScottdirectorAward / grant60507,835Form 4
2026-07-01Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant3324,810Form 4
2026-06-16Boukalik BrianofficerWithheld for tax1714,204Form 4
2026-06-16Boukalik BrianofficerOption exercise68110,480Form 4
2026-06-16Boukalik BrianofficerOption exercise7014,375Form 4
2026-06-01Rowe Robert ScottdirectorAward / grant58507,775Form 4
2026-06-01Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant3224,777Form 4
2026-05-14McMurray Michael C.directorAward / grant2,5735,672Form 4
2026-05-14Johnson Cheryl HdirectorAward / grant2,57314,269Form 4
2026-05-14GARRISON JOHN L JRdirectorAward / grant2,57340,685Form 4
2026-05-14Savoy Brian DdirectorAward / grant2,5733,573Form 4
2026-05-14Shuster Ross B.directorAward / grant2,5732,573Form 4
2026-05-14Chand SujeetdirectorAward / grant2,57328,426Form 4
2026-05-14CHANDY RUBY RdirectorAward / grant2,57335,854Form 4
2026-05-14Okray Thomas BdirectorAward / grant2,57313,335Form 4
2026-05-14GARRISON JOHN L JRdirectorAward / grant1,07138,112Form 4
2026-05-14Johnson Cheryl HdirectorAward / grant46311,696Form 4
2026-05-14CHANDY RUBY RdirectorAward / grant8833,281Form 4
2026-05-01Rowe Robert ScottdirectorAward / grant60507,717Form 4
2026-05-01Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant3324,745Form 4
2026-04-13Klopfer Matthew CarlofficerAward / grant5,0858,289Form 4
2026-04-13Klopfer Matthew CarlofficerAward / grant5,08519,830Form 4
2026-04-01Rowe Robert ScottdirectorAward / grant61507,657Form 4
2026-04-01Hudson Susan ClaireofficerAward / grant3124,712Form 4
2026-03-02Rowe Robert ScottdirectorWithheld for tax9,635497,188Form 4
2026-03-02Rowe Robert ScottdirectorWithheld for tax6,721507,546Form 4
2026-03-02Schwetz Amy BdirectorWithheld for tax3,37898,938Form 4
2026-03-02Schwetz Amy BdirectorWithheld for tax2,241102,390Form 4
2026-03-02Duhon Lamar L.officerWithheld for tax1,71935,914Form 4
2026-03-02Hudson Susan ClaireofficerWithheld for tax1,35223,353Form 4
2026-03-02Duhon Lamar L.officerWithheld for tax1,17437,723Form 4
2026-03-02Hudson Susan ClaireofficerWithheld for tax85424,668Form 4
2026-03-02VOPNI SCOTT KofficerWithheld for tax52018,659Form 4
2026-03-02Boukalik BrianofficerWithheld for tax4303,674Form 4
2026-03-02Boukalik BrianofficerWithheld for tax3742,342Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-05-252022-04-14$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-05-252022-04-14$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-02-232022-01-28$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-02-232022-01-28$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-01-272021-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-01-272021-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2021-01-252020-12-11$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2021-01-252020-12-11$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2020-11-302020-10-09$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2020-11-302020-10-09$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-28$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2020-06-152020-05-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.