Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.35 · now $3.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FLNT has typically landed between $2.38 and $4.66 — a range of −28.9% to +39.2% from the issuance price $3.35.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,687 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-12-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FLNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.35 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.26 (-2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.88–$3.63
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.38–$4.66
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-02-15 | −59.4% | −59.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −59.2% | −59.2% | +8.6% |
| 2023-02-16 | −58.9% | −58.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2011-12-29 | +134.4% | −2.3% | +152.0% |
| 2012-01-11 | +123.5% | +0.0% | +152.9% |
| 2012-01-10 | +123.1% | −1.9% | +148.1% |
4,687 overlapping windows · 2007-12-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 12,376 @ $3.38 | $42K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,229,627 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 12,376 @ $3.38 | $42K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,137,960 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Graff David Allen | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $3.00 | $75K | −20.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,438 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Schulke Ryan | director | Purchase | 2,823 @ $3.08 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,156,617 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Sale | 148 @ $3.23 | $478 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,125,584 | Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 148 @ $3.23 | $478 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,217,251 | Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 665 @ $3.58 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,217,399 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Sale | 665 @ $3.58 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,125,732 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2 @ $4.15 | $8 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,218,064 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Sale | 2 @ $4.15 | $8 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,126,397 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Sale | 500 @ $4.05 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,126,399 | Form 4 · filed 30 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 500 @ $4.05 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,218,066 | Form 4 · filed 30 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Sale | 600 @ $4.15 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,126,899 | Form 4 · filed 33 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 600 @ $4.15 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,218,566 | Form 4 · filed 33 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 61,368 @ $2.75 | $169K | +2.0% of holding | +32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,151,044 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 60,183 @ $2.75 | $166K | +2.0% of holding | +32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,100,838 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 1,185 @ $2.78 | $3K | +2.0% of holding | +32.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,591 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Schulke Ryan | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $2.07 | $10K | +0.1% of holding | +87.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,497,995 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Conlin Matthew | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $2.07 | $10K | +0.2% of holding | +87.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,468,677 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Perfit Ryan MacNab | officer | Sale | 9,604 @ $2.59 | $25K | −33.2% of holding | +37.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Sale | 286 @ $2.48 | $711 | −0.1% of holding | +37.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 312,169 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Sale | 19,230 @ $2.58 | $50K | −5.8% of holding | +30.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 312,455 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 65,148 @ $3.47 | $226K | +2.2% of holding | −2.9% | −7.8% | 3,089,676 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 65,148 @ $3.47 | $226K | +2.2% of holding | −2.9% | −7.8% | 3,040,655 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 125 @ $3.47 | $434 | +0.2% of holding | −2.9% | −7.8% | 58,406 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Purchase | 17,207 @ $3.49 | $60K | +0.6% of holding | −11.3% | −23.4% | 2,975,632 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 17,207 @ $3.49 | $60K | +0.6% of holding | −11.3% | −23.4% | 3,024,528 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Perfit Ryan MacNab | officer | Sale | 3,662 @ $2.05 | $8K | −5.2% of holding | +21.6% | +63.8% | 66,934 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Sale | 28,172 @ $1.81 | $51K | −8.6% of holding | +20.9% | +5.8% | 300,891 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Sale | 1,353 @ $1.81 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +20.9% | +5.8% | 314,007 | Form 4 · filed 367 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 14,337 @ $2.69 | $39K | +0.5% of holding | +10.3% | −29.9% | 3,056,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,045 @ $2.74 | $14K | +0.2% of holding | −1.6% | −30.0% | 3,042,066 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-12 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Sale | 20,250 @ $2.67 | $54K | −5.8% of holding | +14.4% | −20.5% | 329,063 | Form 4 · filed 95 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
181 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,137,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,137,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 135 | 3,229,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Option exercise | 454,648 | 3,009,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Option exercise | 57,143 | 498,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Other acquisition | 70 | 3,008,957 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Other acquisition | 8 | 498,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Option exercise | 57,143 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Conlin Matthew | director | Option exercise | 454,648 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 78,425 | 3,219,175 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Option exercise | 67,059 | 3,127,507 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Option exercise | 11,366 | 101,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Option exercise | 67,059 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Option exercise | 78,425 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Option exercise | 11,366 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 1 | 101,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 1 | 101,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 8 | 3,127,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 9 | 3,219,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | GEYGAN JAMES | director | Other acquisition | 8 | 3,127,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schulke Ryan | director | Option exercise | 428,571 | 4,153,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schulke Ryan | director | Option exercise | 227,324 | 3,725,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Conlin Matthew | director | Option exercise | 85,714 | 2,554,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Option exercise | 14,286 | 558,794 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Option exercise | 12,502 | 544,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Conlin Matthew | director | Other acquisition | 12 | 2,554,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Other acquisition | 2 | 558,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Patrick Donald Huntley | officer | Other acquisition | 1 | 544,508 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.