FLGT · TickerCove

FLGTFulgent Genetics, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.63 · now $21.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FLGT has typically landed between $17.64 and $25.78 — a range of −18.4% to +19.2% from the issuance price $21.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,483 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-09-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$21.63 · 46% of range

$13.79 low$30.85 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.5%

typical move · IQR 16.1%

−18.4%worst (p90)+19.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FLGT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $21.63 (+0.0%)
typical $21.08 (-2.5%)
middle 50% $19.35–$22.82
90% range $17.64–$25.78

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,483 windows spanning 2016-09-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−59.7%	−59.7%	+17.8%
2020-02-18	−58.7%	−65.8%	+0.0%
2017-05-08	−54.2%	−54.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2021-01-08	+190.3%	−2.0%	+190.3%
2021-01-11	+177.9%	+0.0%	+196.2%
2020-12-30	+171.9%	+0.0%	+171.9%

2,483 overlapping windows · 2016-09-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+10.8%

n=10

Feb

30%

−5.3%

n=10

Mar

40%

−1.5%

n=10

Apr

30%

+1.4%

n=10

May

50%

+1.9%

n=10

Jun

60%

+4.1%

n=10

Jul

60%

+8.1%

n=10

Aug

40%

+5.3%

n=10

Sep

30%

−1.3%

n=10

Oct

10%

−7.2%

n=10

Nov

60%

+9.7%

n=10

Dec

70%

+3.9%

n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	2,127 @ $19.66	$42K	−0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	359,924	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	1,673 @ $19.66	$33K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	986,117	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-27	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,193 @ $19.91	$24K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	362,051	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-27	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	939 @ $19.91	$19K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	987,790	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	2,146 @ $17.89	$38K	−0.6% of holding	+13.2%	not yet — horizon still open	367,605	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	1,688 @ $17.89	$30K	−0.2% of holding	+13.2%	not yet — horizon still open	990,374	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,201 @ $17.60	$21K	−0.3% of holding	+14.1%	not yet — horizon still open	369,751	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	945 @ $17.60	$17K	−0.1% of holding	+14.1%	not yet — horizon still open	992,062	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,140 @ $28.33	$32K	−0.3% of holding	−10.4%	−43.1%	336,749	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	1,075 @ $28.33	$30K	−0.1% of holding	−10.4%	−43.1%	952,890	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-28	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,198 @ $29.57	$35K	−0.4% of holding	−11.3%	−48.6%	337,889	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-28	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	943 @ $29.57	$28K	−0.1% of holding	−11.3%	−48.6%	953,965	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	681 @ $30.47	$21K	−0.2% of holding	−15.4%	−54.0%	339,087	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	535 @ $30.47	$16K	−0.1% of holding	−15.4%	−54.0%	954,908	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $29.10	$291K	−2.8% of holding	−7.8%	−54.2%	349,768	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-03	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,128 @ $22.03	$25K	−0.3% of holding	−0.3%	−41.7%	364,121	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-03	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	1,063 @ $22.03	$23K	−0.1% of holding	−0.3%	−41.7%	957,085	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-27	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,199 @ $21.48	$26K	−0.3% of holding	+1.8%	−35.9%	365,249	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	943 @ $21.48	$20K	−0.1% of holding	+1.8%	−35.9%	958,148	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	696 @ $21.50	$15K	−0.2% of holding	−0.5%	+0.9%	366,448	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	548 @ $21.50	$12K	−0.1% of holding	−0.5%	+0.9%	959,091	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,135 @ $20.29	$23K	−0.3% of holding	−7.7%	+22.5%	371,496	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	754 @ $20.29	$15K	−0.1% of holding	−7.7%	+22.5%	961,281	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	1,183 @ $20.52	$24K	−0.3% of holding	−6.7%	+38.0%	372,631	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Xie Jian	officer	Sale	690 @ $20.58	$14K	−0.2% of holding	−6.7%	+38.0%	373,814	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	656 @ $20.52	$13K	−0.1% of holding	−6.7%	+38.0%	962,035	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Gao Hanlin	officer	Sale	383 @ $20.58	$8K	−0.0% of holding	−6.7%	+38.0%	962,691	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	Kim Paul	director	Purchase	100,000 @ $15.96	$1.6M	+40.3% of holding	+9.8%	+20.0%	348,282	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

144 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	4,392	885,952	Form 4
2026-09-01	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	2,087	356,543	Form 4
2026-08-26	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	2,949	890,344	Form 4
2026-08-26	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	1,168	358,630	Form 4
2026-07-26	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	4,361	363,244	Form 4
2026-07-26	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	2,747	359,798	Form 4
2026-07-26	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	1,645	988,729	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	4,392	893,293	Form 4
2026-06-01	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	2,087	362,545	Form 4
2026-05-26	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	2,949	897,685	Form 4
2026-05-26	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	1,168	364,632	Form 4
2026-05-14	Nohaile Michael	director	Award / grant	5,558	24,578	Form 4
2026-05-14	Dong Linda	director	Award / grant	11,117	38,758	Form 4
2026-05-14	Nohaile Michael	director	Award / grant	8,426	8,426	Form 4
2026-05-14	GROVES REGINA E	director	Award / grant	11,117	28,099	Form 4
2026-04-26	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	4,361	370,952	Form 4
2026-04-26	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	2,747	365,800	Form 4
2026-04-26	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	1,645	993,007	Form 4
2026-03-09	Hsieh Ming	director	Other acquisition	750,000	0	Form 4
2026-03-09	Hsieh Ming	director	Other acquisition	750,000	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	17,566	900,634	Form 4
2026-03-01	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	8,347	368,547	Form 4
2026-03-01	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	8,147	375,313	Form 4
2026-03-01	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	6,410	994,652	Form 4
2026-03-01	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	1,133	376,894	Form 4
2026-03-01	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	1,079	383,460	Form 4
2026-03-01	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	1,018	1,001,062	Form 4
2026-02-26	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	2,949	918,200	Form 4
2026-02-26	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	1,168	378,027	Form 4
2026-02-26	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	1,140	384,539	Form 4
2026-02-26	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	897	1,002,080	Form 4
2026-02-24	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	31,760	851,855	Form 4
2026-02-24	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	21,354	883,615	Form 4
2026-02-24	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	15,095	348,013	Form 4
2026-02-24	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	14,751	353,717	Form 4
2026-02-24	Hsieh Ming	director	Withheld for tax	10,230	904,969	Form 4
2026-02-24	Kim Paul	director	Withheld for tax	8,456	363,108	Form 4
2026-02-24	Xie Jian	officer	Withheld for tax	8,254	368,468	Form 4
2026-02-24	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	8,149	976,316	Form 4
2026-02-24	Gao Hanlin	officer	Withheld for tax	4,661	984,465	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i