FISVFiserv, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.45 · now $49.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FISV has typically landed between $43.09 and $54.89 — a range of −12.9% to +11.0% from the issuance price $49.45.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FISV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.09worst · -12.9%$54.89best · +11.0%
  • now $49.45 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.61 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $46.83–$52.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.09–$54.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-10-22−52.3%−52.3%+1.0%
2025-10-27−52.0%−52.8%+0.0%
2025-10-28−51.8%−52.6%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+24.3%−4.9%+24.3%
2020-03-23+23.9%+0.0%+30.7%
2020-10-28+23.5%+0.0%+23.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$27.2B
market cap
$5.90
EPS (TTM)
8.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$21.2B
'20'25
Net income$3.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow$4.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr16.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr13.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.13
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $49.45$23.96$343.57
  • DCF (intrinsic)$321.53
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$201.81
  • Analyst target · range $46.00–$91.00$62.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$49.45

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
72%
+1.3%
n=18
Feb
84%
+3.3%
n=19
Mar
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Apr
58%
+0.9%
n=19
May
47%
−0.3%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
84%
+4.3%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
61%
−2.2%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$140$472026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $520K — FRITZ LANCE M2026-06-17: 2 insider purchases, $650K — Todd Paul M, Mamilli Wafaa2026-06-16: 4 insider purchases, $1.1M — Rosman Adam L., Nixon Gordon M., DiSimone Harry, Yarkoni Charlotte2025-12-02: 1 insider purchase, $499K — Rosman Adam L.2025-12-01: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Todd Paul M2025-12: 2 open-market purchases, $1.6M2026-06: 6 open-market purchases, $1.7M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $520K↑ buys↓ salesdirector FRITZ LANCE M — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Todd Paul M — Purchase on 2026-06-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mamilli Wafaa — Purchase on 2026-06-17, filed same dayofficer Rosman Adam L. — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed same daydirector Nixon Gordon M. — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed same daydirector DiSimone Harry — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed same daydirector Yarkoni Charlotte — Purchase on 2026-06-16, filed same dayofficer Rosman Adam L. — Purchase on 2025-12-02, filed same dayofficer Todd Paul M — Purchase on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07FRITZ LANCE MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $51.95$520K+58.1% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open27,207Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-17Todd Paul MofficerPurchase10,060 @ $49.70$500K+5.8% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open184,107Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-17Mamilli WafaadirectorPurchase2,960 @ $50.59$150K+23.8% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open15,386Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Rosman Adam L.officerPurchase10,150 @ $49.33$501K+8.0% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open136,724Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Nixon Gordon M.directorPurchase7,500 @ $49.57$372K+73.8% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open17,656Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16DiSimone HarrydirectorPurchase2,088 @ $48.41$101K+9.7% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open23,607Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Yarkoni CharlottedirectorPurchase2,023 @ $49.49$100K+24.9% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open10,146Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Rosman Adam L.officerPurchase7,900 @ $63.19$499K+14.8% of holding+3.2%−22.8%61,285Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-01Todd Paul MofficerPurchase17,000 @ $62.41$1.1M+228.1% of holding+6.6%−23.6%24,453Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Rosman Adam L.officerAward / grant36,799173,523Form 4
2026-06-30Nixon Gordon M.directorAward / grant8921,677Form 4
2026-06-30Shedlin GarydirectorAward / grant7911,486Form 4
2026-06-30Mamilli WafaadirectorAward / grant7652,640Form 4
2026-06-30FRITZ LANCE MdirectorAward / grant7653,231Form 4
2026-06-30Gopal AjeidirectorAward / grant7653,044Form 4
2026-06-30Dufetel Celine SdirectorAward / grant6631,246Form 4
2026-06-30DiSimone HarrydirectorAward / grant6638,645Form 4
2026-06-30DE CASTRO HENRIQUEdirectorAward / grant6636,840Form 4
2026-06-30COHEN STEPHANIEdirectorAward / grant6631,246Form 4
2026-06-30Yarkoni CharlottedirectorAward / grant6633,083Form 4
2026-06-15Todd Paul MofficerAward / grant104,363174,047Form 4
2026-06-15GEORGAKOPOULOS PANAGIOTISdirectorAward / grant50,094303,868Form 4
2026-05-21COHEN STEPHANIEdirectorAward / grant4,1215,510Form 4
2026-05-21Shedlin GarydirectorAward / grant4,1215,435Form 4
2026-05-21Mamilli WafaadirectorAward / grant4,12112,426Form 4
2026-05-21DiSimone HarrydirectorAward / grant4,12121,519Form 4
2026-05-21Dufetel Celine SdirectorAward / grant4,1215,435Form 4
2026-05-21DE CASTRO HENRIQUEdirectorAward / grant4,12128,233Form 4
2026-05-21Nixon Gordon M.directorAward / grant5,91310,156Form 4
2026-05-21FRITZ LANCE MdirectorAward / grant4,12117,207Form 4
2026-05-21Gopal AjeidirectorAward / grant4,1217,329Form 4
2026-05-21Yarkoni CharlottedirectorAward / grant4,1218,123Form 4
2026-03-31Nixon Gordon M.directorAward / grant785785Form 4
2026-03-31Shedlin GarydirectorAward / grant695695Form 4
2026-03-31Gopal AjeidirectorAward / grant6732,279Form 4
2026-03-31Mamilli WafaadirectorAward / grant6731,875Form 4
2026-03-31FRITZ LANCE MdirectorAward / grant6732,466Form 4
2026-03-31Dufetel Celine SdirectorAward / grant583583Form 4
2026-03-31Yarkoni CharlottedirectorAward / grant5832,420Form 4
2026-03-31DE CASTRO HENRIQUEdirectorAward / grant5836,177Form 4
2026-03-31COHEN STEPHANIEdirectorAward / grant583583Form 4
2026-03-31DiSimone HarrydirectorAward / grant5837,982Form 4
2026-02-23Best KennethofficerWithheld for tax53164,586Form 4
2026-02-22Rosman Adam L.officerWithheld for tax2,202126,574Form 4
2026-02-22Best KennethofficerWithheld for tax80265,117Form 4
2026-02-21Rosman Adam L.officerWithheld for tax1,455128,776Form 4
2026-02-21Best KennethofficerWithheld for tax64265,919Form 4
2026-02-20Suryadevara DhivyaofficerWithheld for tax29,594228,463Form 4
2026-02-18Gelb AndrewofficerAward / grant62,09491,566Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2026-02-152026-01-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-18$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2025-12-082025-11-21$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2025-11-172025-10-31$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousepurchase2023-05-262022-03-08$1–15K
John CurtisSenatesale2023-01-102022-12-20$1–15K
William R. KeatingHousesale2022-02-282022-01-28$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousesale2021-09-282021-09-16$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.