FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.85 · now $36.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FIS has typically landed between $31.30 and $41.27 — a range of −15.1% to +12.0% from the issuance price $36.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FIS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.3worst · -15.1%$41.27best · +12.0%
  • now $36.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.67 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.43–$38.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.3–$41.27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−36.8%−36.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−34.2%−34.2%+0.0%
2020-02-21−33.7%−33.7%+0.0%
3 best
2008-06-09+444.9%−4.4%+444.9%
2008-06-27+425.0%−0.4%+468.0%
2008-06-11+422.7%−4.1%+446.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$21.5B
market cap
$5.18
EPS (TTM)
8.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$10.7B
'20'25
Net income$382M
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr3.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr2.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.29
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $36.85$25.62$188.41
  • DCF (intrinsic)$74.54
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$177.18
  • Analyst target · range $43.00–$72.00$55.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$36.85

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
72%
+1.7%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
63%
+0.5%
n=19
Apr
58%
+1.9%
n=19
May
74%
+3.1%
n=19
Jun
37%
−1.5%
n=19
Jul
79%
+25.9%
n=19
Aug
58%
−1.1%
n=19
Sep
32%
−3.0%
n=19
Oct
39%
−2.0%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$70$372026-07-15: 1 insider purchase, $57K — Goldstein Jeffrey A2026-04-15: 1 insider purchase, $57K — Goldstein Jeffrey A2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Ferris Stephanie2026-01-15: 1 insider purchase, $60K — Goldstein Jeffrey A2025-10-15: 1 insider purchase, $60K — Goldstein Jeffrey A2025-09-09: 1 insider sale, $125K — Tsai Caroline2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $125K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $60K2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $60K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $57K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $57K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Goldstein Jeffrey A — Purchase on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Goldstein Jeffrey A — Purchase on 2026-04-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ferris Stephanie — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Goldstein Jeffrey A — Purchase on 2026-01-15, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Goldstein Jeffrey A — Purchase on 2025-10-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Tsai Caroline — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase1,386 @ $41.39$57K+8.8% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open17,112Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase1,197 @ $47.39$57K+8.2% of holding−20.3%not yet — horizon still open15,726Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-05Ferris StephanieofficerPurchase19,846 @ $50.39$1.0M+7.6% of holding−3.9%−28.8%281,458Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase941 @ $64.11$60K+6.9% of holding−23.8%−39.8%14,529Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-10-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase889 @ $67.66$60K+7.0% of holding−1.5%−33.4%13,588Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09Tsai CarolineofficerSale1,786 @ $70.00$125K−4.6% of holding−4.0%−30.0%37,311Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase757 @ $79.29$60K+6.3% of holding−11.2%−29.6%12,699Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorPurchase701 @ $79.97$56K+6.7% of holding−14.5%−2.5%11,098Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

122 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Keller Charles H.officerAward / grant1,3671,367Form 4
2026-08-05Keller Charles H.officerAward / grant7,1067,106Form 4
2026-08-05Duet Donald JosephofficerAward / grant9,4789,478Form 4
2026-06-15Goldstein Jeffrey AdirectorAward / grant8,0368,036Form 4
2026-06-15Stallings James B JRdirectorAward / grant5,48531,448Form 4
2026-06-15Lauer Gary LdirectorAward / grant5,4855,485Form 4
2026-06-15Hook LisadirectorAward / grant5,4855,485Form 4
2026-06-15Gibson KourtneydirectorAward / grant5,4855,485Form 4
2026-06-15ANASENES NICOLEdirectorAward / grant5,4855,485Form 4
2026-06-15Chakravarthy AnildirectorAward / grant5,4857,182Form 4
2026-06-15LAMNECK KENNETH TdirectorAward / grant5,48519,751Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerWithheld for tax12,265261,972Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerWithheld for tax10,475214,323Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerWithheld for tax9,959243,070Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerWithheld for tax8,694227,722Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerWithheld for tax5,85560,304Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerWithheld for tax3,78966,142Form 4
2026-02-28Bhathena FirdausofficerWithheld for tax3,14432,349Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerWithheld for tax2,558133,002Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerWithheld for tax2,488125,452Form 4
2026-02-28Bhathena FirdausofficerWithheld for tax2,40325,866Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerWithheld for tax2,31844,225Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerWithheld for tax2,01850,492Form 4
2026-02-28Toohey RobertofficerWithheld for tax1,8285,392Form 4
2026-02-28Brooks Alexandra DawnofficerWithheld for tax6914,632Form 4
2026-02-28Brooks Alexandra DawnofficerAward / grant9,8129,812Form 4
2026-02-28Brooks Alexandra DawnofficerOption exercise2,4064,814Form 4
2026-02-28Toohey RobertofficerOption exercise7,2207,220Form 4
2026-02-28Toohey RobertofficerAward / grant39,24639,246Form 4
2026-02-28Toohey RobertofficerOption exercise7,22014,441Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerOption exercise10,123127,940Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerOption exercise10,108135,560Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerOption exercise25,30725,308Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerAward / grant41,20941,209Form 4
2026-02-28Kehoe JamesofficerOption exercise10,12310,123Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerAward / grant9,23246,543Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerOption exercise8,28552,510Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerOption exercise15,66766,159Form 4
2026-02-28Ferris StephanieofficerOption exercise22,0930Form 4
2026-02-28Tsai CarolineofficerOption exercise9,62769,931Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousepurchase2026-07-172026-07-10$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-01-152025-12-18$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-12-292025-11-19$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-18$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-12-112025-11-13$1–15K
Sheri BiggsHousesale2025-10-052025-03-19$15–50K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-09-112025-08-14$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.