FICOFair Isaac CorporationTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $991.35 · now $991.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FICO has typically landed between $835.19 and $1182.66 — a range of −15.8% to +19.3% from the issuance price $991.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($991.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FICO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $991.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$835.19worst · -15.8%$1,183best · +19.3%
  • now $991.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1,019 (+2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $941.73$1,096
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $835.19$1,183
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−50.8%−50.8%+0.3%
2008-09-26−47.2%−47.2%+0.0%
2020-02-21−43.6%−48.2%+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-15+57.8%+0.0%+57.8%
2009-07-09+55.3%+0.0%+55.3%
2009-03-05+55.0%+0.0%+55.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$28.7B
market cap
$31.57
EPS (TTM)
39.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$2.0B
'20'25
Net income$652M
'20'25
Free cash flow$770M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr32.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-37.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr-1.76
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $991.35$384.37$2,066
  • DCF (intrinsic)$500.34
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$1,080
  • Analyst target · range $1,270$1,950$1,650
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$991.35

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+1.3%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.2%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.4%
n=19
May
68%
+4.4%
n=19
Jun
63%
+0.8%
n=19
Jul
74%
+4.1%
n=19
Aug
58%
+0.8%
n=19
Sep
26%
−2.4%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.1%
n=18
Nov
67%
+8.1%
n=18
Dec
56%
+2.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$2K$9222026-07-29: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Manolis Eva2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $638K — Manolis Eva2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $487K — Rees Joanna2025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $2.6M — Weber Steven P.2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $951K — Manolis Eva2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $434K — MCMORRIS MARC F2025-11-10: 15 insider sales, $4.2M — LANSING WILLIAM J …2025-10-14: 35 insider sales, $9.8M — LANSING WILLIAM J …2025-09-09: 10 insider sales, $9.2M — LANSING WILLIAM J …2025-08-28: 5 insider sales, $9.0M — LANSING WILLIAM J …2025-08: 5 open-market sales, $9.0M2025-09: 10 open-market sales, $9.2M2025-10: 35 open-market sales, $9.8M2025-11: 16 open-market sales, $4.6M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $3.5M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Manolis Eva — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Manolis Eva — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rees Joanna — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Weber Steven P. — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Manolis Eva — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MCMORRIS MARC F — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LANSING WILLIAM J — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-29Manolis EvadirectorSale967 @ $1400.00$1.4M−66.0% of holding−21.4%not yet — horizon still open498Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25Manolis EvadirectorSale520 @ $1227.63$638K−60.2% of holding−13.4%−24.0%344Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Rees JoannadirectorSale358 @ $1360.00$487K−3.1% of holding−9.2%−34.8%11,204Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-17Weber Steven P.officerSale1,426 @ $1810.00$2.6M−33.7% of holding−16.1%−49.6%2,804Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-12Manolis EvadirectorSale521 @ $1825.83$951K−60.2% of holding−14.0%−46.4%344Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-26MCMORRIS MARC FdirectorSale240 @ $1809.53$434K−49.8% of holding−2.9%−40.8%242Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale394 @ $1736.39$684K−3.3% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,436Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale350 @ $1726.76$604K−2.7% of holding−1.1%−48.9%12,823Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale271 @ $1731.76$469K−2.2% of holding−1.1%−48.9%12,042Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale252 @ $1739.41$438K−2.2% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,134Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale209 @ $1730.05$362K−1.7% of holding−1.1%−48.9%12,313Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale180 @ $1727.75$311K−1.4% of holding−1.1%−48.9%12,643Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale160 @ $1725.46$276K−1.2% of holding−1.1%−48.9%13,173Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale123 @ $1735.23$213K−1.0% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,830Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale121 @ $1728.87$209K−1.0% of holding−1.1%−48.9%12,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale89 @ $1733.72$154K−0.7% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,953Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale70 @ $1742.04$122K−0.6% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,025Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale51 @ $1743.82$89K−0.5% of holding−1.1%−48.9%10,974Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale50 @ $1737.76$87K−0.4% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,386Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale41 @ $1745.14$72K−0.4% of holding−1.1%−48.9%10,933Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale39 @ $1740.62$68K−0.4% of holding−1.1%−48.9%11,095Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale467 @ $1630.61$761K−1.0% of holding+4.6%−41.7%45,767Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale360 @ $1647.24$593K−0.8% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,847Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale356 @ $1640.62$584K−0.8% of holding+4.6%−41.7%43,867Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale340 @ $1639.36$557K−0.8% of holding+4.6%−41.7%44,223Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale323 @ $1633.81$528K−0.7% of holding+4.6%−41.7%45,120Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale315 @ $1629.61$513K−0.7% of holding+4.6%−41.7%46,234Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale242 @ $1652.56$400K−0.6% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,296Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale239 @ $1626.90$389K−0.5% of holding+4.6%−41.7%46,549Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale222 @ $1619.96$360K−0.5% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,436Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale201 @ $1636.12$329K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%44,794Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale200 @ $1642.55$329K−0.5% of holding+4.6%−41.7%43,547Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale188 @ $1631.90$307K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%45,579Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale179 @ $1624.61$291K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%46,964Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale176 @ $1625.85$286K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%46,788Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale174 @ $1643.99$286K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%43,373Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale166 @ $1645.91$273K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%43,207Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale158 @ $1653.80$261K−0.4% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,138Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale153 @ $1622.11$248K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,149Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale136 @ $1632.87$222K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%45,443Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale134 @ $1620.92$217K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,302Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale125 @ $1635.16$204K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%44,995Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale120 @ $1641.44$197K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%43,747Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale117 @ $1636.97$192K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%44,677Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale114 @ $1638.27$187K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%44,563Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale109 @ $1650.16$180K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,638Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale109 @ $1617.08$176K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,740Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale100 @ $1651.17$165K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,538Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale100 @ $1648.18$165K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%42,747Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale99 @ $1608.13$159K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%48,050Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale82 @ $1617.83$133K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,658Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale72 @ $1613.20$116K−0.2% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,919Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale64 @ $1613.95$103K−0.1% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,855Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale59 @ $1611.99$95K−0.1% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,991Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale6 @ $1623.09$10K−0.0% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,143Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale6 @ $1615.11$10K−0.0% of holding+4.6%−41.7%47,849Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale1,686 @ $1533.67$2.6M−3.5% of holding+5.8%−29.3%46,043Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale1,097 @ $1539.73$1.7M−2.4% of holding+5.8%−29.3%43,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale764 @ $1541.09$1.2M−1.7% of holding+5.8%−29.3%43,152Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorSale640 @ $1534.84$982K−1.4% of holding+5.8%−29.3%45,403Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

180 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,38613,940Form 4
2026-08-24KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,28515,225Form 4
2026-08-24KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,2850Form 4
2026-08-24KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,3860Form 4
2026-08-22Stansbury Henry TayloedirectorOption exercise910Form 4
2026-08-22Stansbury Henry TayloedirectorOption exercise91351Form 4
2026-08-21KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,68212,554Form 4
2026-08-21KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1,6820Form 4
2026-07-29Manolis EvadirectorOption exercise9671,465Form 4
2026-07-29Manolis EvadirectorOption exercise967967Form 4
2026-07-05Behl NikhilofficerWithheld for tax12418,342Form 4
2026-07-05Behl NikhilofficerOption exercise242483Form 4
2026-07-05Leonard Michael SofficerAward / grant237237Form 4
2026-07-05Behl NikhilofficerOption exercise24218,466Form 4
2026-06-05LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorWithheld for tax23642,686Form 4
2026-06-05LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorOption exercise78442,922Form 4
2026-06-04LANSING WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant78418,792Form 4
2026-05-23Behl NikhilofficerWithheld for tax99818,224Form 4
2026-05-23Behl NikhilofficerOption exercise2,1940Form 4
2026-05-23Behl NikhilofficerOption exercise2,19419,222Form 4
2026-05-15Weber Steven P.officerWithheld for tax3102,918Form 4
2026-05-15Weber Steven P.officerOption exercise7063,228Form 4
2026-05-15Weber Steven P.officerOption exercise706706Form 4
2026-03-04KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise1710Form 4
2026-03-04Stansbury Henry TayloedirectorOption exercise77260Form 4
2026-03-04MCMORRIS MARC FdirectorOption exercise770Form 4
2026-03-04MCMORRIS MARC FdirectorAward / grant9999Form 4
2026-03-04MCMORRIS MARC FdirectorAward / grant254254Form 4
2026-03-04Rey David AdirectorAward / grant182182Form 4
2026-03-04Stansbury Henry TayloedirectorAward / grant198198Form 4
2026-03-04Stansbury Henry TayloedirectorOption exercise770Form 4
2026-03-04MCMORRIS MARC FdirectorOption exercise77319Form 4
2026-03-04KELLY BRADEN RdirectorAward / grant363363Form 4
2026-03-04KELLY BRADEN RdirectorAward / grant220220Form 4
2026-03-04Manolis EvadirectorAward / grant508508Form 4
2026-03-04KELLY BRADEN RdirectorOption exercise17110,872Form 4
2026-03-04ARREDONDO FABIOLA RdirectorAward / grant198198Form 4
2026-03-04Manolis EvadirectorOption exercise154498Form 4
2026-03-04ARREDONDO FABIOLA RdirectorOption exercise1540Form 4
2026-03-04Rees JoannadirectorAward / grant198198Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-28$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2026-05-042026-04-22$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2026-03-162026-02-04$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-04$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.