Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.92 · now $36.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FIBK has typically landed between $32.03 and $42.17 — a range of −13.3% to +14.2% from the issuance price $36.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,125 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-03-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where FIBK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $36.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.19 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.05–$39.32
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.03–$42.17
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −33.6% | −34.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −32.9% | −34.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −32.8% | −33.7% | +0.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-13 | +29.0% | +0.0% | +29.0% |
| 2023-07-06 | +28.4% | +0.0% | +28.4% |
| 2016-11-04 | +27.8% | +0.0% | +27.8% |
4,125 overlapping windows · 2010-03-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | SCOTT JULIE A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,700 @ $37.64 | $102K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 484,309 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,071 @ $37.29 | $301K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 817,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-11 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 16,929 @ $37.03 | $627K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 825,809 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $40.30 | $403K | −1.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 842,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,390 @ $36.11 | $339K | −1.1% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 852,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | SCOTT JULIE A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $35.98 | $180K | −1.0% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 493,359 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | SCOTT JULIE A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $35.97 | $180K | −1.0% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 488,359 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | SCOTT JULIE A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $35.95 | $180K | −1.0% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 498,359 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-17 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,500 @ $36.29 | $163K | −0.5% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 862,128 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,892 @ $35.58 | $459K | −1.5% of holding | +10.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 866,628 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-30 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 53,504 @ $35.42 | $1.9M | −5.7% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 879,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,000 @ $33.45 | $100K | −0.3% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 933,024 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,827 @ $36.92 | $67K | −0.2% of holding | +4.5% | −1.7% | 936,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,173 @ $36.20 | $115K | −0.3% of holding | +6.0% | −0.2% | 937,851 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $32.75 | $328K | −4.3% of holding | +4.2% | −5.0% | 224,460 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-21 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 30,432 @ $31.03 | $944K | −2.1% of holding | +9.5% | +1.9% | 1,414,636 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $32.14 | $482K | −33.2% of holding | +8.5% | −1.6% | 30,154 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $32.06 | $641K | −29.6% of holding | +10.5% | −0.2% | 47,482 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $30.99 | $310K | −4.1% of holding | +6.4% | +9.6% | 234,460 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-03 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,800 @ $31.27 | $150K | −0.5% of holding | +6.4% | +9.6% | 941,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-29 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,000 @ $32.09 | $225K | −0.7% of holding | +4.4% | +7.9% | 945,824 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-09 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 685 @ $31.66 | $22K | −0.1% of holding | +3.7% | +10.0% | 952,824 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-08 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,600 @ $32.01 | $179K | −0.6% of holding | +0.6% | +8.6% | 953,509 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-07 | Scott Jonathan R | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,715 @ $32.09 | $440K | −1.4% of holding | −0.1% | +8.3% | 959,109 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $31.59 | $316K | −3.9% of holding | −2.6% | +9.6% | 244,460 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $32.28 | $323K | −1.9% of holding | −7.2% | +3.2% | 519,256 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-14 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 11,818 @ $30.18 | $357K | −69.3% of holding | +3.4% | +20.0% | 5,224 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,000 @ $27.86 | $1.5M | −9.4% of holding | +13.5% | +21.1% | 529,256 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-14 | Susan Scott Heyneman Trust, Susan Heyneman & First Interstate Wealth Management Co-Trustees | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,000 @ $31.11 | $1.7M | −8.6% of holding | −5.3% | +9.2% | 584,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 250 @ $30.52 | $8K | −0.0% of holding | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1,414,636 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-14 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Sale | 1,335 @ $32.56 | $43K | −0.1% of holding | −3.8% | −10.2% | 1,414,886 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
98 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Lee Jeffery D. | officer | Award / grant | 5,417 | 5,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | SCOTT JULIE A | tenPercentOwner | Gift | 1,350 | 487,009 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Ritter Matthew John | director | Award / grant | 1,806 | 1,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | TURNER BRIAN KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 1,806 | 1,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cho Alice S | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 15,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Della Camera David | officer | Award / grant | 3,370 | 30,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Scott James R. Jr | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 80,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | HEYNEMAN JOHN M JR | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 7,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Scott Jeremy | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 5,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SCUDDER MICHAEL L | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 4,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RYKHUS DANIEL A | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 31,357 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Agrawal Renu | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 4,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Phillips Joyce Ann | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 14,599 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jensen Kirk D | officer | Award / grant | 2,247 | 34,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Meyer Lori | officer | Award / grant | 2,247 | 16,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Shepler Christopher L. | officer | Award / grant | 3,370 | 13,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Kanning Jolyn M. | officer | Award / grant | 2,247 | 13,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Johnson Dennis L | director | Award / grant | 2,247 | 19,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Boschee Ryan J. | officer | Award / grant | 2,247 | 16,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bowman Biff | director | Award / grant | 4,353 | 24,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Reuter James A | director | Withheld for tax | 5,125 | 86,904 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Meyer Lori | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,550 | 14,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Jensen Kirk D | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,375 | 32,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Della Camera David | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,307 | 26,678 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Robbins Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,241 | 18,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Reuter James A | director | Award / grant | 31,392 | 92,029 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Della Camera David | officer | Award / grant | 6,279 | 27,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shepler Christopher L. | officer | Award / grant | 5,971 | 9,870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Robbins Kristina | officer | Award / grant | 4,044 | 20,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Jensen Kirk D | officer | Award / grant | 3,951 | 34,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Jones Nathan R | officer | Award / grant | 3,843 | 3,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Meyer Lori | officer | Award / grant | 3,012 | 15,820 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | SCOTT JAMES R | director | Gift | 755 | 4,433,211 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-12 | SCOTT JAMES R | director | Gift | 755 | 4,433,966 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Scott Jeremy | director | Gift | 550 | 3,496 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | SCOTT JAMES R | director | Gift | 755 | 4,433,966 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | SCOTT JAMES R | director | Gift | 755 | 4,433,211 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Scott Geoffrey D | tenPercentOwner | Gift | 550 | 2,615 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Scott Geoffrey D | tenPercentOwner | Gift | 550 | 113,926 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Scott Risa Kae | tenPercentOwner | Gift | 3,000 | 322,546 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.