FHIFederated Hermes, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.69 · now $56.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FHI has typically landed between $50.98 and $63.02 — a range of −10.1% to +11.2% from the issuance price $56.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FHI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$50.98worst · -10.1%$63.02best · +11.2%
  • now $56.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.68 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $55.26–$60.1
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $50.98–$63.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−63.3%−63.3%+0.0%
2020-02-24−56.9%−62.3%+0.0%
2020-02-20−56.3%−56.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+58.9%+0.0%+63.2%
2009-03-05+42.5%−1.9%+42.5%
2009-03-06+38.7%+0.0%+45.3%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+0.4%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.6%
n=19
Apr
42%
−2.5%
n=19
May
58%
+2.5%
n=19
Jun
42%
+0.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
58%
+0.0%
n=19
Sep
32%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
61%
+2.3%
n=18
Nov
72%
+1.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$65$462026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $316K — Germain Peter J2026-08-04: 2 insider sales, $452K — Nusseibeh Saker Anwar …2026-06-23: 1 insider sale, $100K — Van Meter Stephen2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $361K — Uhlman Paul A2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $513K — Nusseibeh Saker Anwar2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $79K — Uhlman Paul A, Germain Peter J2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $271K — Germain Peter J2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $217K — Burke Bryan M2026-03-13: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — DONAHUE THOMAS R2026-03-12: 2 insider sales, $4.1M — Uhlman Paul A …2026-03-05: 4 insider sales, $1.1M — Uhlman Paul A, Nusseibeh Saker Anwar, Novak Richard A, Van Meter Stephen2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $774K — Novak Richard A2026-02-02: 2 insider sales, $311K — Nusseibeh Saker Anwar …2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $261K — Dudiak Dolores D2025-11-19: 8 insider sales, $1.5M — FISHER JOHN B, Germain Peter J, Uhlman Paul A, Nusseibeh Saker Anwar …2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $246K — Germain Peter J2025-11-03: 2 insider sales, $728K — Nusseibeh Saker Anwar …2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $22K2025-11: 11 open-market sales, $2.5M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $261K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $6.9M2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $567K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $974K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $768K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Germain Peter J — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Van Meter Stephen — Sale on 2026-06-23, filed same dayofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed same dayofficer Germain Peter J — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed same dayofficer Germain Peter J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed same dayofficer Burke Bryan M — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DONAHUE THOMAS R — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Novak Richard A — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Van Meter Stephen — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Novak Richard A — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dudiak Dolores D — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector FISHER JOHN B — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Germain Peter J — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Uhlman Paul A — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zierden Theodore W III — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Novak Richard A — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dudiak Dolores D — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Van Meter Stephen — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Germain Peter J — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed same dayofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed same dayofficer Nusseibeh Saker Anwar — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Germain Peter JofficerSale5,000 @ $63.17$316K−2.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open207,059Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale6,400 @ $64.19$411K−4.2% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open144,876Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale630 @ $64.76$41K−0.4% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open144,246Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-23Van Meter StephenofficerSale1,682 @ $59.64$100K−5.1% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open31,207Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Uhlman Paul AofficerSale6,145 @ $58.67$361K−2.0% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open296,821Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale8,950 @ $57.34$513K−5.6% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open151,276Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Uhlman Paul AofficerSale1,021 @ $55.30$56K−0.3% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open302,966Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-26Germain Peter JofficerSale409 @ $55.31$23K−0.2% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open212,059Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15Germain Peter JofficerSale5,000 @ $54.30$271K−2.3% of holding+7.2%not yet — horizon still open212,468Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-07Burke Bryan MofficerSale4,000 @ $54.20$217K−5.1% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open74,921Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorSale30,000 @ $57.10$1.7M−4.8% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open591,492Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12Uhlman Paul AofficerSale62,105 @ $56.15$3.5M−18.5% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open274,274Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12Uhlman Paul AofficerSale10,287 @ $56.72$584K−3.8% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open263,987Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-05Uhlman Paul AofficerSale11,739 @ $56.53$664K−3.6% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open315,695Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale6,161 @ $56.50$348K−4.0% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open149,617Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Novak Richard AofficerSale867 @ $56.49$49K−2.0% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open42,633Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Van Meter StephenofficerSale448 @ $56.50$25K−1.4% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open31,441Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Novak Richard AofficerSale14,000 @ $55.25$774K−24.3% of holding+5.1%+0.2%43,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale4,600 @ $53.57$246K−2.8% of holding+8.6%+8.9%156,978Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale1,200 @ $54.03$65K−0.8% of holding+8.6%+8.9%155,778Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Dudiak Dolores DofficerSale5,000 @ $52.24$261K−5.7% of holding−1.3%+3.4%83,223Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-19FISHER JOHN BdirectorSale7,638 @ $47.87$366K−1.6% of holding+6.6%+2.5%463,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Germain Peter JofficerSale6,856 @ $47.85$328K−3.1% of holding+6.6%+2.5%217,468Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Uhlman Paul AofficerSale6,496 @ $47.85$311K−1.9% of holding+6.6%+2.5%327,434Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale4,461 @ $47.85$213K−2.7% of holding+6.6%+2.5%161,578Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Zierden Theodore W IIIofficerSale3,721 @ $47.84$178K−2.4% of holding+6.6%+2.5%151,856Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Novak Richard AofficerSale1,249 @ $47.85$60K−2.1% of holding+6.6%+2.5%57,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Dudiak Dolores DofficerSale999 @ $47.87$48K−1.1% of holding+6.6%+2.5%88,223Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Van Meter StephenofficerSale707 @ $47.86$34K−2.2% of holding+6.6%+2.5%31,889Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Germain Peter JofficerSale5,000 @ $49.22$246K−2.4% of holding+0.8%+4.4%206,324Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-03Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale12,143 @ $48.69$591K−7.2% of holding+3.7%+6.8%157,039Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-03Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale2,857 @ $47.94$137K−1.7% of holding+3.7%+6.8%169,182Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Van Meter StephenofficerSale430 @ $50.71$22K−1.4% of holding+1.7%−5.0%29,596Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-16Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale6,000 @ $42.70$256K−3.4% of holding+5.9%+9.9%172,039Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Uhlman Paul AofficerSale1,000 @ $42.63$43K−0.3% of holding+5.9%+9.9%315,930Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Van Meter StephenofficerSale5,921 @ $42.26$250K−16.5% of holding+0.5%+3.9%30,026Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-27Uhlman Paul AofficerSale6,057 @ $42.14$255K−1.9% of holding+0.0%+3.1%316,930Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27Germain Peter JofficerSale407 @ $41.94$17K−0.2% of holding+0.0%+3.1%211,324Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale7,365 @ $43.09$317K−4.0% of holding−2.0%+0.7%178,039Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Uhlman Paul AofficerSale12,400 @ $37.55$466K−4.0% of holding+10.6%+29.0%298,367Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale6,921 @ $37.57$260K−3.9% of holding+10.6%+29.0%172,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Zierden Theodore W IIIofficerSale4,082 @ $37.49$153K−3.1% of holding+10.6%+29.0%127,239Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Uhlman Paul AofficerSale1,074 @ $38.06$41K−0.4% of holding+10.6%+29.0%297,293Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Novak Richard AofficerSale820 @ $38.30$31K−1.5% of holding+10.6%+29.0%52,975Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Van Meter StephenofficerSale400 @ $38.30$15K−1.2% of holding+10.6%+29.0%34,193Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Novak Richard AofficerSale42 @ $37.23$2K−0.1% of holding+10.6%+29.0%53,795Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04Van Meter StephenofficerSale26 @ $37.21$967−0.1% of holding+10.6%+29.0%34,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-07Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerSale5,546 @ $38.81$215K−3.0% of holding+7.8%+28.5%179,096Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-18DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorGift31,200560,292Form 4
2026-05-04Burke Bryan MofficerAward / grant35,00089,995Form 4
2026-05-04Uhlman Paul AofficerAward / grant40,000303,987Form 4
2026-05-01Jones Marie MiliedirectorAward / grant2,00027,950Form 4
2026-05-01BARTOLACCI JOSEPH CdirectorAward / grant2,00022,450Form 4
2026-05-01Hanlon KarendirectorAward / grant2,0006,800Form 4
2026-03-05Dudiak Dolores DofficerAward / grant2,31785,540Form 4
2026-03-05Uhlman Paul AofficerAward / grant20,684336,379Form 4
2026-03-05Van Meter StephenofficerAward / grant1,44832,889Form 4
2026-03-05DONAHUE J CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant34,904479,192Form 4
2026-03-05DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorAward / grant28,544621,492Form 4
2026-03-05Novak Richard AofficerAward / grant2,57645,209Form 4
2026-03-05Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerAward / grant10,609160,226Form 4
2026-03-05Zierden Theodore W IIIofficerAward / grant8,894160,750Form 4
2025-11-18Germain Peter JofficerAward / grant18,000224,324Form 4
2025-11-18DONAHUE J CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant18,000444,288Form 4
2025-11-18DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorAward / grant18,000592,948Form 4
2025-11-18Zierden Theodore W IIIofficerAward / grant18,000155,577Form 4
2025-11-18Uhlman Paul AofficerAward / grant18,000333,930Form 4
2025-11-18FISHER JOHN BdirectorAward / grant18,000471,253Form 4
2025-11-18Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerAward / grant9,000166,039Form 4
2025-11-18Van Meter StephenofficerAward / grant3,00032,596Form 4
2025-11-18Novak Richard AofficerAward / grant2,50058,749Form 4
2025-08-28DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorGift25,525574,948Form 4
2025-04-25BARTOLACCI JOSEPH CdirectorAward / grant2,40020,450Form 4
2025-04-25Jones Marie MiliedirectorAward / grant2,40025,950Form 4
2025-04-25Hanlon KarendirectorAward / grant2,4004,800Form 4
2025-03-05Van Meter StephenofficerAward / grant1,75435,947Form 4
2025-03-05Novak Richard AofficerAward / grant3,27456,249Form 4
2025-03-05Zierden Theodore W IIIofficerAward / grant10,338137,577Form 4
2025-03-05Uhlman Paul AofficerAward / grant25,694322,987Form 4
2025-03-05Nusseibeh Saker AnwarofficerAward / grant13,229185,404Form 4
2025-03-05DONAHUE J CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant43,982426,288Form 4
2025-03-05DONAHUE THOMAS RdirectorAward / grant36,274600,473Form 4
2025-03-05Dudiak Dolores DofficerAward / grant2,87289,222Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.