FET · TickerCove

FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $81.62 · now $81.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FET has typically landed between $68.04 and $104.29 — a range of −16.6% to +27.8% from the issuance price $81.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,605 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-04-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($81.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$81.62 · 92% of range

$25.26 low$86.31 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.7%

typical move · IQR 18.5%

−16.6%worst (p90)+27.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where FET has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $81.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $81.62 (+0.0%)
typical $82.18 (+0.7%)
middle 50% $74.62–$89.75
90% range $68.04–$104.29

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,605 windows spanning 2012-04-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−84.0%	−84.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-14	−81.4%	−81.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-24	−80.7%	−82.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-01	+162.9%	+0.0%	+170.4%
2020-04-08	+154.4%	+0.0%	+154.4%
2020-04-03	+148.5%	+0.0%	+160.6%

3,605 overlapping windows · 2012-04-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

57%

+2.3%

n=14

Feb

64%

+4.4%

n=14

Mar

50%

−3.9%

n=14

Apr

43%

+10.3%

n=14

May

47%

−1.9%

n=15

Jun

47%

+5.1%

n=15

Jul

47%

−2.7%

n=15

Aug

53%

+1.9%

n=15

Sep

60%

+0.5%

n=15

Oct

29%

−4.8%

n=14

Nov

57%

+5.3%

n=14

Dec

57%

−2.0%

n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Sale	19,668 @ $78.09	$1.5M	−13.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	123,581	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Sale	300 @ $80.07	$24K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	123,281	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Sale	100 @ $81.08	$8K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	123,181	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Sale	1,200 @ $85.82	$103K	−2.3% of holding	−1.6%	not yet — horizon still open	51,439	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-11	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	2,100 @ $80.62	$169K	−2.5% of holding	−0.9%	not yet — horizon still open	83,412	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	1,909 @ $81.38	$155K	−2.3% of holding	−0.9%	not yet — horizon still open	81,503	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	991 @ $82.19	$81K	−1.2% of holding	−0.9%	not yet — horizon still open	80,512	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Sale	1,500 @ $78.91	$118K	−2.8% of holding	+3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	52,639	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	3,598 @ $70.41	$253K	−4.0% of holding	+16.4%	not yet — horizon still open	86,914	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	1,402 @ $71.21	$100K	−1.6% of holding	+16.4%	not yet — horizon still open	85,512	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $55.49	$166K	−5.3% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	54,139	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Sale	4,392 @ $60.01	$264K	−5.1% of holding	+2.4%	+23.8%	81,599	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14	Lux Neal	officer	Purchase	3,478 @ $18.96	$66K	+1.6% of holding	−24.9%	+21.2%	215,728	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-13	Lux Neal	officer	Purchase	9,129 @ $17.65	$161K	+4.5% of holding	−17.3%	+31.4%	212,250	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11	RASPINO LOUIS	director	Sale	4,950 @ $15.41	$76K	−23.5% of holding	+24.9%	+28.3%	16,121	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-11	GAUT C CHRISTOPHER	director	Sale	2,000 @ $15.31	$31K	−0.8% of holding	+24.9%	+28.3%	260,413	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

259 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-06	Lux Neal	officer	Withheld for tax	11,331	347,483	Form 4
2026-03-06	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,532	143,249	Form 4
2026-03-06	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Withheld for tax	2,789	90,512	Form 4
2026-03-06	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,394	57,139	Form 4
2026-03-06	Pounds Steven	officer	Withheld for tax	1,045	21,385	Form 4
2026-03-06	Brookes Mark	officer	Withheld for tax	809	26,734	Form 4
2026-03-06	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Option exercise	11,519	11,519	Form 4
2026-03-06	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Option exercise	11,519	147,781	Form 4
2026-03-06	Pounds Steven	officer	Option exercise	2,658	2,658	Form 4
2026-03-06	Pounds Steven	officer	Option exercise	2,658	22,430	Form 4
2026-03-06	Lux Neal	officer	Option exercise	28,797	358,814	Form 4
2026-03-06	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Option exercise	3,544	3,544	Form 4
2026-03-06	Brookes Mark	officer	Option exercise	2,658	2,658	Form 4
2026-03-06	Brookes Mark	officer	Option exercise	2,658	27,543	Form 4
2026-03-06	Lux Neal	officer	Option exercise	28,797	28,797	Form 4
2026-03-06	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Option exercise	7,088	7,089	Form 4
2026-03-06	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Option exercise	7,088	93,301	Form 4
2026-03-06	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Option exercise	3,544	58,533	Form 4
2026-03-05	Lux Neal	officer	Withheld for tax	12,159	330,017	Form 4
2026-03-05	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,863	136,262	Form 4
2026-03-05	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Withheld for tax	2,993	86,213	Form 4
2026-03-05	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,496	54,989	Form 4
2026-03-05	Pounds Steven	officer	Withheld for tax	1,215	19,772	Form 4
2026-03-05	Keller Katherine Campbell	officer	Withheld for tax	1,029	4,679	Form 4
2026-03-05	Brookes Mark	officer	Withheld for tax	752	24,885	Form 4
2026-03-05	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Option exercise	3,804	7,606	Form 4
2026-03-05	Lux Neal	officer	Option exercise	30,900	342,176	Form 4
2026-03-05	Danford Michael Dewayne	officer	Option exercise	3,804	56,485	Form 4
2026-03-05	Pounds Steven	officer	Option exercise	3,090	20,987	Form 4
2026-03-05	Keller Katherine Campbell	officer	Option exercise	2,615	5,229	Form 4
2026-03-05	Keller Katherine Campbell	officer	Option exercise	2,615	5,708	Form 4
2026-03-05	Lux Neal	officer	Option exercise	30,900	61,799	Form 4
2026-03-05	Brookes Mark	officer	Option exercise	3,090	25,637	Form 4
2026-03-05	Pounds Steven	officer	Option exercise	3,090	6,180	Form 4
2026-03-05	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Option exercise	7,607	15,212	Form 4
2026-03-05	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Option exercise	12,360	141,125	Form 4
2026-03-05	Brookes Mark	officer	Option exercise	3,090	6,180	Form 4
2026-03-05	Williams David Lyle Jr.	officer	Option exercise	12,360	24,720	Form 4
2026-03-05	IVASCU JOHN C	officer	Option exercise	7,607	89,206	Form 4
2026-03-03	CARRIG JOHN A	director	Award / grant	2,556	24,975	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i