FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $96.10 · now $96.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FELE has typically landed between $87.22 and $105.95 — a range of −9.2% to +10.2% from the issuance price $96.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($96.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FELE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $96.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$87.22worst · -9.2%$105.95best · +10.2%
  • now $96.1 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $96.36 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $92.2–$100.53
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $87.22–$105.95
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-30−36.8%−36.8%+7.5%
2008-11-04−35.8%−41.2%+0.0%
2008-10-31−35.6%−39.2%+3.4%
3 best
2009-07-09+44.8%+0.0%+44.8%
2009-07-10+44.2%+0.0%+44.2%
2009-07-14+42.1%+0.0%+42.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Feb
65%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.4%
n=20
Apr
40%
−1.0%
n=20
May
60%
+0.8%
n=20
Jun
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Jul
60%
+4.6%
n=20
Aug
35%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Nov
80%
+2.1%
n=20
Dec
45%
−1.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$110$892026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $884K — Grandon Jonathan M.2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $190K — davis delancey w2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $413K — Grandon Jonathan M.2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $20K — davis delancey w2026-04-30: 2 insider sales, $499K — Grandon Jonathan M. …2026-02-19: 1 insider purchase, $47K — Ruzynski Joseph A.2025-12-11: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — SENGSTACK GREGG C …2025-08-13: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — Grandon Jonathan M., SENGSTACK GREGG C2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $2.0M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $47K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $499K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $622K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $884K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Grandon Jonathan M. — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer davis delancey w — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Grandon Jonathan M. — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer davis delancey w — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grandon Jonathan M. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grandon Jonathan M. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ruzynski Joseph A. — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SENGSTACK GREGG C — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SENGSTACK GREGG C — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Grandon Jonathan M. — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SENGSTACK GREGG C — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-09Grandon Jonathan M.officerSale8,547 @ $103.40$884K−53.2% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open7,509Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26davis delancey wofficerSale1,900 @ $100.00$190K−15.4% of holding+10.1%not yet — horizon still open10,402Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Grandon Jonathan M.officerSale4,200 @ $98.23$413K−35.9% of holding+8.1%not yet — horizon still open7,509Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-01davis delancey wofficerSale200 @ $98.78$20K−1.6% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open12,302Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Grandon Jonathan M.officerSale3,284 @ $99.72$327K−30.4% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open7,509Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Grandon Jonathan M.officerSale1,704 @ $100.61$171K−13.6% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open10,793Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-19Ruzynski Joseph A.officerPurchase500 @ $93.34$47K+2.3% of holding−0.1%−2.4%22,722Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorSale10,779 @ $97.03$1.0M−8.9% of holding+1.8%−2.8%110,056Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorSale1,000 @ $97.33$97K−3.3% of holding+1.8%−2.8%29,687Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13Grandon Jonathan M.officerSale10,036 @ $98.03$984K−55.1% of holding−6.4%+5.3%8,171Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorSale10,000 @ $98.19$982K−7.1% of holding−6.4%+5.3%130,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04Wathen David MdirectorSale24,000 @ $86.10$2.1M−100.0% of holding+1.6%−4.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Wathen David MdirectorSale25,000 @ $85.25$2.1M−51.0% of holding+2.0%−4.5%24,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Wathen David MdirectorSale25,402 @ $85.22$2.2M−34.1% of holding+3.6%−4.8%49,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-22Wathen David MdirectorSale25,000 @ $86.70$2.2M−25.2% of holding−0.8%−6.5%74,402Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-13Taylor Jeffery LdirectorSale9,789 @ $90.02$881K−43.5% of holding−6.6%−10.6%12,722Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26davis delancey wofficerSale961 @ $103.14$99K−11.1% of holding−0.7%−11.7%7,701Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

220 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant366137,045Form 4
2026-09-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax145136,900Form 4
2026-08-20SHERMAN JENNIFER LdirectorAward / grant14051,763Form 4
2026-08-20PETERSON RENEE JdirectorAward / grant10438,434Form 4
2026-08-20Villavarayan ChrisdirectorAward / grant155,370Form 4
2026-08-20Carano Mark AdirectorAward / grant93,177Form 4
2026-08-20SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant51,670Form 4
2026-08-07SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax11,372137,045Form 4
2026-08-07SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorOption exercise18,000148,417Form 4
2026-08-07SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorOption exercise18,00017,569Form 4
2026-08-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant366130,562Form 4
2026-08-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax145130,417Form 4
2026-07-07WOLFENBARGER JENNIFER ANNofficerAward / grant6,44016,355Form 4
2026-07-07WOLFENBARGER JENNIFER ANNofficerWithheld for tax2,82713,528Form 4
2026-07-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant366130,707Form 4
2026-07-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax145130,562Form 4
2026-06-12SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax22,587130,707Form 4
2026-06-12SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorOption exercise35,00035,569Form 4
2026-06-12SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorOption exercise35,000153,294Form 4
2026-06-09Grandon Jonathan M.officerOption exercise8,54716,056Form 4
2026-06-09Grandon Jonathan M.officerOption exercise8,5470Form 4
2026-06-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant366118,439Form 4
2026-06-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax145118,294Form 4
2026-05-22Grandon Jonathan M.officerOption exercise4,2008,547Form 4
2026-05-22Grandon Jonathan M.officerOption exercise4,20011,709Form 4
2026-05-21SHERMAN JENNIFER LdirectorAward / grant13951,623Form 4
2026-05-21PETERSON RENEE JdirectorAward / grant11138,330Form 4
2026-05-21Villavarayan ChrisdirectorAward / grant85,355Form 4
2026-05-21Carano Mark AdirectorAward / grant53,169Form 4
2026-05-21SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant51,665Form 4
2026-05-08SHERMAN JENNIFER LdirectorAward / grant3,49351,484Form 4
2026-05-08Villavarayan ChrisdirectorAward / grant2,5025,347Form 4
2026-05-08Carano Mark AdirectorAward / grant1,4603,164Form 4
2026-05-08PETERSON RENEE JdirectorAward / grant1,4595,171Form 4
2026-05-08Maskara AlokdirectorAward / grant2,59216,439Form 4
2026-05-08Grizzle VictordirectorAward / grant2,52617,096Form 4
2026-05-08SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant1,459118,439Form 4
2026-05-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorAward / grant366117,125Form 4
2026-05-01SENGSTACK GREGG CdirectorWithheld for tax145116,980Form 4
2026-04-24WILLIAMS DANIELA MARIAofficerDisposition4,5440Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.