FEAM5E Advanced Materials Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.76 · now $1.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FEAM has typically landed between $1.10 and $2.59 — a range of −37.7% to +47.2% from the issuance price $1.76.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,110 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-03-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FEAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.1worst · -37.7%$2.59best · +47.2%
  • now $1.76 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.57 (-10.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.32–$1.82
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.1–$2.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,110 windows spanning 2022-03-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-01-21−65.4%−65.4%+0.0%
2025-01-23−62.3%−62.3%+0.0%
2024-12-30−60.5%−60.5%+0.0%
3 best
2024-11-27+117.0%−8.9%+117.0%
2025-09-15+81.0%−11.8%+81.0%
2025-09-12+79.3%−10.2%+79.3%

1,110 overlapping windows · 2022-03-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−11.1%
n=4
Feb
25%
−14.1%
n=4
Mar
0%
−23.4%
n=4
Apr
60%
+8.4%
n=5
May
40%
−1.4%
n=5
Jun
20%
−19.2%
n=5
Jul
60%
+1.0%
n=5
Aug
20%
−4.3%
n=5
Sep
40%
−11.7%
n=5
Oct
50%
+14.5%
n=4
Nov
0%
−12.1%
n=4
Dec
25%
−10.8%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$12026-02-02: 3 insider purchases, $8.0M — BEP Special Situations IV LLC, Weibel Paul Wesley III, Malm Joshua2025-08-25: 4 insider purchases, $711K — BEP Special Situations IV LLC, Ascend Global Investment Fund SPC - Strategic Segregated Portfolio, Weibel Paul Wesley III, Malm Joshua2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $711K2026-02: 3 open-market purchases, $8.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector BEP Special Situations IV LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Weibel Paul Wesley III — Purchase on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Malm Joshua — Purchase on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BEP Special Situations IV LLC — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ascend Global Investment Fund SPC - Strategic Segregated Portfolio — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Weibel Paul Wesley III — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed same dayofficer Malm Joshua — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-02BEP Special Situations IV LLCdirectorPurchase4,000,000 @ $2.00$8.0M+49.2% of holding−7.4%−50.1%12,130,997Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerPurchase3,750 @ $2.00$8K+24.9% of holding−7.4%−50.1%18,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Malm JoshuaofficerPurchase3,750 @ $2.00$8K+263.2% of holding−7.4%−50.1%5,175Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25BEP Special Situations IV LLCdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $3.50$350K+1.3% of holding+12.2%−45.4%7,597,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25Ascend Global Investment Fund SPC - Strategic Segregated PortfoliodirectorPurchase100,000 @ $3.50$350K+1.3% of holding+12.2%−45.4%7,830,646Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerPurchase1,628 @ $3.50$6K+12.9% of holding+12.2%−45.4%14,261Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-25Malm JoshuaofficerPurchase1,425 @ $3.50$5Kownership Δ n/a+12.2%−45.4%1,425Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-14BEP Special Situations IV LLCdirectorPurchase12,161,865—+29.7% of holding−50.1%−81.0%53,109,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-14BEP Special Situations IV LLCdirectorPurchase12,161,865—+29.7% of holding−50.1%−81.0%53,109,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-14BEP Special Situations IV LLCdirectorPurchase12,161,865—+29.7% of holding−50.1%−81.0%53,109,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

230 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerWithheld for tax1,83922,116Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerWithheld for tax1,2258,211Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise5300Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerOption exercise4,2618,523Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise3,4096,818Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise383383Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerOption exercise4,2619,436Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerOption exercise4,2619,436Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise4,32223,160Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerAward / grant79523,955Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerAward / grant79523,955Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerOption exercise4,2619,436Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise4,32223,160Form 4
2026-09-15Malm JoshuaofficerOption exercise4,2619,436Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise4,32223,160Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerAward / grant79523,955Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerOption exercise4,32223,160Form 4
2026-09-15Weibel Paul Wesley IIIofficerAward / grant79523,955Form 4
2026-07-01vant Hoff GrahamdirectorWithheld for tax6,94342,997Form 4
2026-07-01Dick BarrydirectorWithheld for tax5,83232,673Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorWithheld for tax4,99925,082Form 4
2026-07-01Jones Bryn LlywelyndirectorWithheld for tax4,99928,313Form 4
2026-07-01vant Hoff GrahamdirectorWithheld for tax4,86231,176Form 4
2026-07-01Dick BarrydirectorWithheld for tax4,08422,743Form 4
2026-07-01Jones Bryn LlywelyndirectorWithheld for tax3,50019,802Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorWithheld for tax3,50016,571Form 4
2026-07-01vant Hoff GrahamdirectorWithheld for tax3,03318,422Form 4
2026-07-01vant Hoff GrahamdirectorWithheld for tax2,63022,900Form 4
2026-07-01Dick BarrydirectorWithheld for tax2,54812,030Form 4
2026-07-01Siegler Jonathan AdirectorWithheld for tax2,4114,105Form 4
2026-07-01Dick BarrydirectorWithheld for tax2,20915,791Form 4
2026-07-01Jones Bryn LlywelyndirectorWithheld for tax2,18410,619Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorWithheld for tax2,1847,388Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorWithheld for tax1,89410,612Form 4
2026-07-01Jones Bryn LlywelyndirectorWithheld for tax1,89413,843Form 4
2026-07-01Siegler Jonathan AdirectorOption exercise6,5160Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorOption exercise5,9010Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorOption exercise5,1180Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorOption exercise9,4590Form 4
2026-07-01HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorOption exercise13,5100Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.