FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $145.13 · now $145.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FCN has typically landed between $127.28 and $161.33 — a range of −12.3% to +11.2% from the issuance price $145.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($145.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FCN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $145.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$127.28worst · -12.3%$161.33best · +11.2%
  • now $145.13 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $146.33 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $140.36–$152.3
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $127.28–$161.33
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-14−38.2%−38.2%+0.0%
2008-10-13−36.2%−37.2%+0.0%
2008-10-16−34.7%−34.7%+1.6%
3 best
2008-02-21+37.5%+0.0%+37.5%
2009-02-27+33.6%+0.0%+37.9%
2008-02-20+33.4%−1.6%+33.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−1.6%
n=18
Feb
42%
−1.9%
n=19
Mar
89%
+8.2%
n=19
Apr
68%
+2.0%
n=19
May
37%
−1.4%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.6%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.3%
n=19
Aug
53%
−1.5%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.2%
n=19
Oct
50%
−0.4%
n=18
Nov
83%
+5.0%
n=18
Dec
44%
−1.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$187$1402026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $135K — Boglioli Elsy Lisa2026-05-13: 4 insider purchases, $2.1M — Gunby Steven Henry, Linton Paul Alderman, Nam Eun …2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Lu Curtis P2025-10-24: 1 insider purchase, $1.1M — Gunby Steven Henry2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $1.1M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $1.5M2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $2.1M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $135K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Boglioli Elsy Lisa — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gunby Steven Henry — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gunby Steven Henry — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Linton Paul Alderman — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nam Eun — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lu Curtis P — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gunby Steven Henry — Purchase on 2025-10-24, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Boglioli Elsy LisadirectorSale900 @ $150.22$135K−16.9% of holding+0.0%not yet — horizon still open4,438Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Gunby Steven HenrydirectorPurchase6,658 @ $143.87$958K+2.1% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open323,642Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Gunby Steven HenrydirectorPurchase3,342 @ $144.77$484K+1.0% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open326,984Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Linton Paul AldermanofficerPurchase2,400 @ $144.04$346K+2.7% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open92,824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Nam EunofficerPurchase2,000 @ $144.59$289K+10.2% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open21,592Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Lu Curtis PofficerSale8,710 @ $166.60$1.5M−16.2% of holding+8.2%not yet — horizon still open44,955Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-24Gunby Steven HenrydirectorPurchase7,500 @ $151.12$1.1M+2.6% of holding+4.1%+10.1%294,007Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-09Lu Curtis PofficerSale4,953 @ $158.60$786K−13.0% of holding−1.9%−11.3%33,254Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-01SABHERWAL AJAYofficerSale5,236 @ $164.60$862K−17.4% of holding−8.1%−20.6%24,777Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-04Costamagna ClaudiodirectorWithheld for tax20736,529Form 4
2026-06-04Boglioli Elsy LisadirectorWithheld for tax1385,338Form 4
2026-06-03FANANDAKIS NICHOLAS CdirectorAward / grant1,61617,753Form 4
2026-06-03Seeger LaureendirectorAward / grant1,61619,265Form 4
2026-06-03Seeger LaureendirectorAward / grant37119,636Form 4
2026-06-03Robinson Stephen CdirectorAward / grant1,6167,428Form 4
2026-06-03Steigerwalt Eric TdirectorAward / grant1,6163,432Form 4
2026-06-03Zelenka JanetdirectorAward / grant1,6163,432Form 4
2026-06-03Boglioli Elsy LisadirectorAward / grant1,6165,476Form 4
2026-06-03Costamagna ClaudiodirectorAward / grant1,61636,736Form 4
2026-05-06Gunby Steven HenrydirectorOption exercise2,477316,984Form 4
2026-05-06Gunby Steven HenrydirectorOption exercise2,4770Form 4
2026-05-01Nam EunofficerAward / grant2,3332,333Form 4
2026-05-01Nam EunofficerAward / grant17,25919,592Form 4
2026-03-11Pachman MatthewofficerAward / grant1531,844Form 4
2026-03-11Linton Paul AldermanofficerAward / grant2,33390,424Form 4
2026-03-11Gunby Steven HenrydirectorAward / grant3,695298,132Form 4
2026-03-11Gunby Steven HenrydirectorAward / grant16,375314,507Form 4
2026-03-11Lu Curtis PofficerAward / grant2,33347,288Form 4
2026-03-11KEATING BRENDAN JofficerAward / grant1537,898Form 4
2026-03-11Rabl UlrikeofficerAward / grant1,6702,471Form 4
2026-03-09Lu Curtis PofficerOption exercise8,71053,665Form 4
2026-03-09Lu Curtis PofficerOption exercise8,7100Form 4
2026-03-08Gunby Steven HenrydirectorWithheld for tax1,732294,437Form 4
2026-03-08Linton Paul AldermanofficerWithheld for tax17888,091Form 4
2026-03-08Lu Curtis PofficerWithheld for tax15744,955Form 4
2026-03-06Gunby Steven HenrydirectorWithheld for tax1,516296,169Form 4
2026-03-06Linton Paul AldermanofficerWithheld for tax19388,269Form 4
2026-03-06KEATING BRENDAN JofficerWithheld for tax1857,745Form 4
2026-03-06Lu Curtis PofficerWithheld for tax17145,112Form 4
2026-03-06KEATING BRENDAN JofficerWithheld for tax207,930Form 4
2026-03-06Pachman MatthewofficerWithheld for tax201,691Form 4
2026-03-06Rabl UlrikeofficerWithheld for tax10801Form 4
2026-03-05Gunby Steven HenrydirectorWithheld for tax2,149297,685Form 4
2026-03-05Gunby Steven HenrydirectorWithheld for tax1,309299,834Form 4
2026-03-05Linton Paul AldermanofficerWithheld for tax23588,462Form 4
2026-03-05Lu Curtis PofficerWithheld for tax20745,283Form 4
2026-03-05Rabl UlrikeofficerWithheld for tax167811Form 4
2026-03-05KEATING BRENDAN JofficerWithheld for tax247,950Form 4
2026-03-05Pachman MatthewofficerWithheld for tax241,711Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-01$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-28$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-27$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-12$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-18$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-02-112026-01-21$100–250K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-10-222025-09-11$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-13$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-11-142022-10-17$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-11-142022-10-17$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-08-172022-07-05$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-08-172022-07-05$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-08-172022-07-20$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-08-172022-07-20$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.