FCFSFirstCash Holdings, IncFinancial Services · Financial - Credit Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $219.70 · now $219.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, FCFS has typically landed between $198.07 and $247.39 — a range of −9.8% to +12.6% from the issuance price $219.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($219.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where FCFS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $219.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$198.07worst · -9.8%$247.39best · +12.6%
  • now $219.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $225.02 (+2.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $214.39–$235.66
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $198.07–$247.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2007-12-26−39.6%−41.1%+0.0%
2007-12-24−36.5%−40.8%+0.5%
2007-12-20−36.0%−36.0%+8.7%
3 best
2008-03-10+70.0%+0.0%+70.0%
2008-03-07+64.7%−3.1%+64.7%
2008-03-11+63.1%+0.0%+63.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
−1.8%
n=20
Feb
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Mar
65%
+4.5%
n=20
Apr
75%
+5.8%
n=20
May
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Jun
45%
+1.1%
n=20
Jul
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Aug
70%
+3.0%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Oct
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Nov
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Dec
50%
+2.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$236$1362026-09-03: 1 insider sale, $830K — GRAVES JAMES H2026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $426K — Hambleton Howard F2026-08-17: 4 insider sales, $1.8M — Stuart Thomas Brent, ORR R DOUGLAS …2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Ramos Raul2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $732K — Ramos Raul2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $679K — Hambleton Howard F2026-05-18: 4 insider sales, $3.0M — Stuart Thomas Brent, ORR R DOUGLAS …2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $326K — Garrett Paula K2026-02-18: 1 insider sale, $740K — Hambleton Howard F2026-02-17: 4 insider sales, $2.4M — Stuart Thomas Brent, ORR R DOUGLAS …2026-02-05: 4 insider sales, $1.7M — ORR R DOUGLAS, Hambleton Howard F …2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $655K — Hambleton Howard F2025-11-20: 1 insider sale, $228K — Owen Randel G2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $3.1M — WESSEL RICK L2025-11-17: 4 insider sales, $2.5M — Stuart Thomas Brent, ORR R DOUGLAS …2025-10-15: 3 insider sales, $1.1M — ORR R DOUGLAS …2025-10-14: 1 insider sale, $103K — ORR R DOUGLAS2025-09-02: 3 insider sales, $811K — ORR R DOUGLAS …2025-08-21: 1 insider sale, $4.3M — WESSEL RICK L2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $9.6M — WESSEL RICK L2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $14.7M2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $811K2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $1.2M2025-11: 6 open-market sales, $5.8M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $655K2026-02: 9 open-market sales, $4.8M2026-05: 7 open-market sales, $4.7M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $1.5M2026-08: 5 open-market sales, $2.2M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $830K↑ buys↓ salesdirector GRAVES JAMES H — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed same dayofficer Hambleton Howard F — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed same dayofficer Stuart Thomas Brent — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ramos Raul — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Ramos Raul — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hambleton Howard F — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed same dayofficer Stuart Thomas Brent — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Garrett Paula K — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed same dayofficer Hambleton Howard F — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed same dayofficer Stuart Thomas Brent — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hambleton Howard F — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hambleton Howard F — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed same daydirector Owen Randel G — Sale on 2025-11-20, filed same daydirector WESSEL RICK L — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed same dayofficer Stuart Thomas Brent — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed same dayofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ORR R DOUGLAS — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WESSEL RICK L — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed same daydirector WESSEL RICK L — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03GRAVES JAMES HdirectorSale3,750 @ $221.20$830K−23.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,929Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18Hambleton Howard FofficerSale2,000 @ $212.98$426K−6.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open30,406Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-17Stuart Thomas BrentofficerSale5,348 @ $214.63$1.1M−3.8% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open135,498Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $216.04$216K−2.4% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open40,610Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $215.98$216K−1.0% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open95,789Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $215.97$216K−2.8% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open34,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05Ramos RaulofficerSale6,835 @ $225.23$1.5M−25.1% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open20,400Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-28Ramos RaulofficerSale3,165 @ $231.13$732K−10.4% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open27,235Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-19Hambleton Howard FofficerSale3,000 @ $226.41$679K−8.5% of holding−1.5%not yet — horizon still open32,406Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-18Stuart Thomas BrentofficerSale10,000 @ $228.49$2.3M−6.6% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open140,846Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $227.32$227K−1.0% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open96,789Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $227.31$227K−2.3% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open41,610Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $227.28$227K−2.7% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open35,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Garrett Paula KdirectorSale1,500 @ $217.40$326K−18.6% of holding−10.1%not yet — horizon still open6,564Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Hambleton Howard FofficerSale4,000 @ $185.12$740K−10.2% of holding+6.2%+2.7%35,406Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17Stuart Thomas BrentofficerSale10,000 @ $182.53$1.8M−6.2% of holding+6.7%+3.2%150,846Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $182.99$183K−2.7% of holding+6.7%+3.2%36,734Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $182.98$183K−2.3% of holding+6.7%+3.2%42,610Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $182.98$183K−0.9% of holding+6.7%+3.2%110,289Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale4,000 @ $175.37$701K−3.5% of holding+10.6%−0.2%111,289Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05Hambleton Howard FofficerSale2,000 @ $177.65$355K−4.8% of holding+10.6%−0.2%39,406Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale2,000 @ $175.01$350K−5.0% of holding+10.6%−0.2%37,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,500 @ $174.96$262K−3.3% of holding+10.6%−0.2%43,610Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-15Hambleton Howard FofficerSale4,000 @ $163.74$655K−13.1% of holding+0.7%+27.3%26,581Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-20Owen Randel GdirectorSale1,500 @ $152.20$228K−16.4% of holding+4.3%+41.7%7,651Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-19WESSEL RICK LdirectorSale20,000 @ $156.39$3.1M−2.3% of holding−0.2%+32.8%866,982Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17Stuart Thomas BrentofficerSale10,000 @ $159.97$1.6M−7.3% of holding+3.1%+35.2%127,724Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale3,000 @ $158.17$475K−3.2% of holding+3.1%+35.2%90,567Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,500 @ $158.52$238K−3.8% of holding+3.1%+35.2%38,234Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $158.35$158K−2.2% of holding+3.1%+35.2%45,110Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-15ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale4,000 @ $159.64$639K−4.1% of holding−2.4%+22.3%93,567Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-15ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale2,000 @ $160.02$320K−4.8% of holding−2.4%+22.3%39,734Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-15ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale852 @ $159.00$135K−1.8% of holding−2.4%+22.3%46,110Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-14ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale648 @ $159.00$103K−1.4% of holding−1.5%+24.4%46,962Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale3,000 @ $148.41$445K−3.0% of holding−3.1%+23.5%97,567Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,500 @ $146.40$220K−3.5% of holding−3.1%+23.5%41,734Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale1,000 @ $146.40$146K−2.1% of holding−3.1%+23.5%47,610Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21WESSEL RICK LdirectorSale30,976 @ $139.33$4.3M−3.3% of holding+1.0%+23.6%901,982Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-20WESSEL RICK LdirectorSale69,024 @ $138.49$9.6M−6.9% of holding+1.0%+23.9%932,958Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04GRAVES JAMES HdirectorSale6,000 @ $134.56$807K−27.5% of holding+9.5%+17.7%15,846Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-10Hambleton Howard FofficerSale3,900 @ $130.93$511K−10.7% of holding−3.5%+5.1%32,481Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-11Rippel Douglas RichardtenPercentOwnerSale300,000 @ $113.43$34.0M−6.3% of holding+8.1%+15.4%4,431,869Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale2,000 @ $113.36$227K−4.4% of holding+6.4%+14.1%43,234Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale2,000 @ $113.35$227K−4.0% of holding+6.4%+14.1%48,610Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05ORR R DOUGLASofficerSale2,000 @ $113.35$227K−1.9% of holding+6.4%+14.1%100,567Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

48 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03GRAVES JAMES HdirectorGift75011,179Form 4
2026-04-15ORR R DOUGLASofficerGift12,50097,789Form 4
2026-01-28Hambleton Howard FofficerAward / grant5,10431,685Form 4
2026-01-28Hambleton Howard FofficerAward / grant16,02747,712Form 4
2026-01-28Hambleton Howard FofficerWithheld for tax6,30641,406Form 4
2026-01-28Stuart Thomas BrentofficerAward / grant12,741140,465Form 4
2026-01-28Stuart Thomas BrentofficerAward / grant33,603174,068Form 4
2026-01-28Stuart Thomas BrentofficerWithheld for tax13,222160,846Form 4
2026-01-28WESSEL RICK LdirectorAward / grant30,945876,927Form 4
2026-01-28WESSEL RICK LdirectorAward / grant91,619968,546Form 4
2026-01-28WESSEL RICK LdirectorWithheld for tax36,052932,494Form 4
2026-01-28ORR R DOUGLASofficerAward / grant9,54597,112Form 4
2026-01-28ORR R DOUGLASofficerAward / grant29,970127,082Form 4
2026-01-28ORR R DOUGLASofficerWithheld for tax11,793115,289Form 4
2026-01-28Owen Randel GdirectorAward / grant8338,484Form 4
2026-01-28Ramos RaulofficerAward / grant2,00030,400Form 4
2026-01-28FAULKNER MIKEL DdirectorAward / grant83315,684Form 4
2026-01-28Davis MartheadirectorAward / grant8335,607Form 4
2026-01-28GRAVES JAMES HdirectorAward / grant83315,679Form 4
2026-01-28Garrett Paula KdirectorAward / grant8338,064Form 4
2026-01-28BERCE DANIEL EdirectorAward / grant83321,679Form 4
2025-12-31WESSEL RICK LdirectorGift21,000845,982Form 4
2025-12-29ORR R DOUGLASofficerGift1,50087,567Form 4
2025-11-03Hambleton Howard FofficerGift1,90030,581Form 4
2025-08-21WESSEL RICK LdirectorGift15,000886,982Form 4
2025-08-04GRAVES JAMES HdirectorGift1,00014,846Form 4
2025-01-29GRAVES JAMES HdirectorAward / grant1,26321,846Form 4
2025-01-29Davis MartheadirectorAward / grant1,2634,774Form 4
2025-01-29ORR R DOUGLASofficerAward / grant13,15896,780Form 4
2025-01-29ORR R DOUGLASofficerAward / grant25,829122,609Form 4
2025-01-29ORR R DOUGLASofficerWithheld for tax10,161112,448Form 4
2025-01-29FAULKNER MIKEL DdirectorAward / grant1,26314,851Form 4
2025-01-29WESSEL RICK LdirectorAward / grant42,083956,830Form 4
2025-01-29WESSEL RICK LdirectorAward / grant74,4471,031,277Form 4
2025-01-29WESSEL RICK LdirectorWithheld for tax29,2951,001,982Form 4
2025-01-29Owen Randel GdirectorAward / grant1,2639,151Form 4
2025-01-29Ramos RaulofficerAward / grant2,00028,400Form 4
2025-01-29Garrett Paula KdirectorAward / grant1,2637,231Form 4
2025-01-29Hambleton Howard FofficerAward / grant7,03632,632Form 4
2025-01-29Hambleton Howard FofficerAward / grant5,69738,329Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.