Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.74 · now $30.74 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EZPW has typically landed between $27.23 and $36.46 — a range of −11.4% to +18.6% from the issuance price $30.74.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.74) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EZPW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.74 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.74 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.4 (+2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.45–$33.35
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $27.23–$36.46
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-12-31 | −40.3% | −40.3% | +0.0% |
| 2015-12-22 | −39.5% | −41.1% | +3.5% |
| 2015-12-28 | −39.1% | −39.1% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-03-23 | +70.9% | +0.0% | +70.9% |
| 2016-04-01 | +67.1% | +0.0% | +67.1% |
| 2016-03-31 | +66.7% | +0.0% | +66.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $34.77 | $1.0M | −20.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 117,786 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | ESPINOSA PABLO LAGOS | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $35.54 | $355K | −4.6% of holding | −14.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,543 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | ESPINOSA PABLO LAGOS | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $32.00 | $320K | −4.4% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 217,543 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | APPEL MATTHEW W | director | Sale | 15,037 @ $33.25 | $500K | −10.7% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Kulas Jason A. | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $33.56 | $671K | −10.4% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,948 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Sajnani Sunil | officer | Sale | 18,353 @ $26.76 | $491K | −17.7% of holding | −1.6% | +6.6% | 85,249 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Tillett Gary | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $25.50 | $255K | −7.0% of holding | +8.4% | +27.1% | 133,483 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | ESPINOSA PABLO LAGOS | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $25.00 | $500K | −8.8% of holding | +5.7% | +1.8% | 208,177 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Tillett Gary | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $25.00 | $250K | −6.5% of holding | +6.5% | +1.8% | 143,483 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Swies Nicole | officer | Sale | 24,138 @ $24.75 | $597K | −17.3% of holding | +7.5% | +4.7% | 115,266 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $25.00 | $500K | −11.9% of holding | +7.5% | +4.7% | 147,786 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | APPEL MATTHEW W | director | Sale | 9,038 @ $18.02 | $163K | −6.3% of holding | +4.7% | +47.0% | 133,371 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | APPEL MATTHEW W | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $17.03 | $153K | −5.9% of holding | +7.0% | +49.6% | 142,409 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Sale | 3,500 @ $13.81 | $48K | −2.3% of holding | −0.4% | +34.9% | 145,983 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $13.26 | $133K | −6.3% of holding | −3.0% | +21.5% | 149,483 | Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $13.73 | $137K | −5.9% of holding | −4.8% | +12.7% | 159,483 | Form 4 · filed 27 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $14.17 | $283K | −10.6% of holding | −8.2% | +8.7% | 169,483 | Form 4 · filed 29 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Sale | 42,500 @ $14.55 | $618K | −18.3% of holding | −13.5% | −0.3% | 189,483 | Form 4 · filed 34 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Swies Nicole | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $12.47 | $125K | −8.9% of holding | −0.2% | +9.8% | 101,813 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
48 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Tillett Gary | director | Award / grant | 6,641 | 140,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | APPEL MATTHEW W | director | Award / grant | 6,641 | 140,012 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Arnold Zena Srivatsa | director | Award / grant | 6,641 | 160,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | ESPINOSA PABLO LAGOS | director | Award / grant | 6,641 | 227,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Kulas Jason A. | director | Award / grant | 6,641 | 186,307 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Given Lachlan P | director | Option exercise | 352,786 | 1,128,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 145,522 | 291,505 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Given Lachlan P | director | Award / grant | 110,155 | 1,224,715 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Jugmans Timothy | officer | Option exercise | 88,195 | 238,036 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Swies Nicole | officer | Option exercise | 60,007 | 161,820 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | VANROEKEL LISA | officer | Option exercise | 57,855 | 142,918 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Withheld for tax | 57,266 | 234,239 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Given Lachlan P | director | Withheld for tax | 56,273 | 1,072,327 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Option exercise | 53,622 | 188,889 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Award / grant | 46,648 | 516,907 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Sajnani Sunil | officer | Option exercise | 49,388 | 115,630 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Jugmans Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 35,201 | 202,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Jugmans Timothy | officer | Award / grant | 29,482 | 348,968 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | VANROEKEL LISA | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,768 | 120,150 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Swies Nicole | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,416 | 139,404 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Withheld for tax | 21,103 | 167,786 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | VANROEKEL LISA | officer | Award / grant | 16,317 | 172,834 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Award / grant | 16,020 | 176,031 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Swies Nicole | officer | Award / grant | 15,310 | 148,009 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Sajnani Sunil | officer | Award / grant | 13,153 | 131,142 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Sajnani Sunil | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,028 | 103,602 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Croney Michael James | officer | Award / grant | 702 | 13,242 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | VANROEKEL LISA | officer | Option exercise | 57,855 | 114,979 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Option exercise | 53,622 | 122,409 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Jugmans Timothy | officer | Option exercise | 88,195 | 260,773 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Given Lachlan P | director | Option exercise | 352,786 | 871,929 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Swies Nicole | officer | Option exercise | 60,007 | 88,002 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 145,522 | 371,385 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Sajnani Sunil | officer | Option exercise | 49,388 | 81,754 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Given Lachlan P | director | Award / grant | 210,084 | 1,114,560 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Powell John Blair Jr. | officer | Award / grant | 84,034 | 470,259 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Jugmans Timothy | officer | Award / grant | 73,529 | 319,486 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Bryant Ellen H | officer | Award / grant | 30,200 | 160,011 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | VANROEKEL LISA | officer | Award / grant | 26,261 | 156,517 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Fugitt James W. | officer | Award / grant | 18,382 | 18,382 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.