Issued 2026-09-25 at $3.62 · now $3.62 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, EYPT has typically landed between $2.42 and $5.44 — a range of −33.1% to +50.4% from the issuance price $3.62.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,009 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($3.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EYPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $3.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.62 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.5 (-3.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.83–$4.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.42–$5.44
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-14 | −75.2% | −75.2% | +0.0% |
| 2011-10-21 | −74.0% | −74.0% | +12.3% |
| 2011-10-24 | −71.6% | −74.0% | +12.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-22 | +293.7% | +0.0% | +293.7% |
| 2023-11-24 | +293.0% | −0.8% | +293.0% |
| 2023-11-27 | +283.1% | −1.0% | +292.4% |
5,009 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- October 2026 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: A 2-year Study of EYP-1901 in Subjects With Wet Age Related Macular Degeneration (wAMD) (LUCIA) Primary Efficacy Will be Determined at Week 56 (source, as of 2026-08-14)
- October 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: COMO: A Phase 3 Randomized, Double-Masked Study Comparing the Efficacy of EYP-1901 Against Aflibercept in DME (source, as of 2026-08-14)
- October 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: CAPRI: A Phase 3 Randomized, Double-Masked Study Comparing the Efficacy of EYP-1901 Against Aflibercept in DME (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $4.93 | $52K | +27.5% of holding | −26.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,100 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,438 @ $15.02 | $37K | −100.0% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,437 @ $15.00 | $37K | −50.0% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,438 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,437 @ $15.00 | $37K | −100.0% of holding | −25.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Duker Jay S. | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $13.15 | $20K | +1.5% of holding | +3.9% | −86.3% | 100,665 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,438 @ $17.87 | $44K | −100.0% of holding | −21.5% | −85.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,437 @ $15.00 | $37K | −100.0% of holding | −5.4% | −76.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 42,544 @ $17.10 | $727K | −100.0% of holding | −29.0% | −28.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Sale | 60,000 @ $15.70 | $942K | −0.7% of holding | −0.5% | −40.1% | 8,265,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Lurker Nancy | director | Sale | 9,300 @ $15.11 | $140K | −4.3% of holding | −0.5% | −40.1% | 206,547 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Lurker Nancy | director | Sale | 500 @ $14.95 | $7K | −0.2% of holding | +19.8% | −27.3% | 215,847 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Lurker Nancy | director | Sale | 200 @ $14.95 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +21.6% | −23.3% | 216,347 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Sale | 2,722 @ $11.61 | $32K | −100.0% of holding | +37.3% | +3.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.99 | $30K | +15.9% of holding | +45.8% | +102.9% | 36,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-16 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.81 | $29K | +18.9% of holding | +43.2% | +75.2% | 31,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.47 | $27K | +23.3% of holding | +53.5% | +86.8% | 26,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-14 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.42 | $27K | +30.3% of holding | +62.9% | +101.4% | 21,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-21 | ANDO GORAN | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $7.95 | $40K | +61.3% of holding | −3.2% | −41.9% | 13,150 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-20 | DICICCO WENDY F | director | Purchase | 2,567 @ $7.79 | $20K | +34.7% of holding | +16.7% | −28.4% | 9,967 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-08-19 | Zaderej Karen L. | director | Purchase | 12,500 @ $7.98 | $100K | +312.5% of holding | +11.9% | −29.8% | 16,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-16 | Lurker Nancy | director | Purchase | 3,173 @ $7.88 | $25K | +3.4% of holding | +9.1% | −29.7% | 97,635 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-07-12 | GUYER DAVID R | director | Sale | 11,625 @ $10.06 | $117K | −86.3% of holding | −14.3% | −29.5% | 1,850 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-06-03 | GUYER DAVID R | director | Sale | 11,625 @ $10.30 | $120K | −75.9% of holding | −17.6% | −26.4% | 3,700 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-05-14 | GUYER DAVID R | director | Sale | 11,625 @ $12.65 | $147K | −67.7% of holding | −29.0% | −25.5% | 5,550 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-06 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Purchase | 642,847 @ $11.70 | $7.5M | +8.6% of holding | −16.1% | −6.5% | 8,117,847 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-06 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Purchase | 207,153 @ $12.36 | $2.6M | +2.6% of holding | −16.1% | −6.5% | 8,325,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-04-18 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Purchase | 395,244 @ $17.62 | $7.0M | +5.7% of holding | −38.3% | −53.6% | 7,288,479 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-04-18 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Purchase | 186,521 @ $18.90 | $3.5M | +2.6% of holding | −38.3% | −53.6% | 7,475,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
183 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Elston George | officer | Gift | 64,953 | 32,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Elston George | officer | Gift | 64,953 | 64,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Elston George | officer | Other acquisition | 5,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Elston George | officer | Other acquisition | 5,000 | 96,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Duker Jay S. | director | Withheld for tax | 8,059 | 9,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Duker Jay S. | director | Option exercise | 16,667 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Duker Jay S. | director | Option exercise | 16,667 | 17,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,438 | 4,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 2,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,438 | 75,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 78,001 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Elston George | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,627 | 91,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Elston George | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Elston George | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 95,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 2,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 80,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 76,766 | 177,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 76,766 | 986 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 97,500 | 82,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 97,500 | 97,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 52,500 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Duker Jay S. | director | Other acquisition | 52,500 | 52,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,438 | 2,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,438 | 82,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Elston George | officer | Gift | 5,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Elston George | officer | Gift | 5,000 | 87,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 2,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 2,437 | 85,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Duker Jay S. | director | Withheld for tax | 10,054 | 77,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Elston George | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,487 | 91,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Lurker Nancy | director | Option exercise | 75,133 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Elston George | officer | Option exercise | 15,285 | 96,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Duker Jay S. | director | Option exercise | 20,793 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Duker Jay S. | director | Option exercise | 20,793 | 87,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Elston George | officer | Option exercise | 15,285 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Lurker Nancy | director | Option exercise | 75,133 | 294,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Duker Jay S. | director | Withheld for tax | 14,505 | 67,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Ribeiro Ramiro | officer | Option exercise | 29,250 | 42,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Elston George | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,403 | 81,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Elston George | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.