Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.89 · now $21.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EXTR has typically landed between $17.81 and $27.74 — a range of −18.6% to +26.7% from the issuance price $21.89.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EXTR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $21.89 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.91 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.73–$24.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.81–$27.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −70.5% | −70.5% | +1.6% |
| 2020-02-14 | −67.3% | −67.3% | +0.9% |
| 2020-02-20 | −65.0% | −71.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-06 | +66.1% | −5.5% | +66.1% |
| 2009-03-09 | +65.1% | +0.0% | +74.5% |
| 2020-05-15 | +58.6% | +0.0% | +75.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $21.90 | $1.1M | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,760,097 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Sale | 21,825 @ $22.30 | $487K | −10.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 196,803 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $24.20 | $363K | −7.1% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 195,062 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 25,427 @ $29.79 | $757K | −1.6% of holding | −27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,596,475 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 24,573 @ $29.78 | $732K | −1.5% of holding | −27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,621,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $31.71 | $1.6M | −3.0% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,621,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $31.03 | $931K | −19.9% of holding | −4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,834 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Sale | 35,000 @ $30.43 | $1.1M | −18.8% of holding | +4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 151,296 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $30.00 | $225K | −4.7% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 150,834 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $29.20 | $2.9M | −5.8% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,621,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $29.00 | $218K | −4.5% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 158,334 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 41,400 @ $27.77 | $1.1M | −2.3% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,721,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 8,600 @ $27.03 | $232K | −0.5% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,763,302 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $28.00 | $210K | −4.3% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,834 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $26.10 | $2.6M | −5.5% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,721,902 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $27.00 | $203K | −4.1% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 173,334 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $26.00 | $195K | −4.0% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,834 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | HOLMGREN KATHLEEN M | director | Sale | 19,521 @ $24.78 | $484K | −8.2% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 219,308 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Sale | 12,410 @ $25.00 | $310K | −7.8% of holding | +27.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 145,722 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 7,661 @ $25.00 | $192K | −4.0% of holding | +27.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,782 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 21,209 @ $23.12 | $490K | −1.2% of holding | +20.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,797,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $23.20 | $232K | −4.5% of holding | +20.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 210,062 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 78,791 @ $23.06 | $1.8M | −4.2% of holding | +21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,818,479 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | KENNEDY EDWARD H | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $22.86 | $1.1M | −8.0% of holding | +21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 576,045 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $22.08 | $1.1M | −2.6% of holding | +26.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,897,270 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 6,796 @ $22.20 | $151K | −3.0% of holding | +26.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,062 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 3,204 @ $22.20 | $71K | −1.4% of holding | +21.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 226,858 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $15.30 | $765K | −2.6% of holding | +36.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,897,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $13.94 | $697K | −2.6% of holding | +10.8% | +45.5% | 1,897,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $14.91 | $745K | −2.6% of holding | −0.9% | +107.2% | 1,871,418 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $16.54 | $827K | −2.6% of holding | −10.9% | +71.5% | 1,871,418 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $17.46 | $873K | −2.6% of holding | −4.3% | +56.7% | 1,871,418 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Sale | 14,000 @ $21.52 | $301K | −10.0% of holding | −10.2% | −41.8% | 126,202 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $19.91 | $299K | −6.5% of holding | +6.1% | −38.9% | 216,708 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | KENNEDY EDWARD H | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $20.01 | $500K | −3.9% of holding | +8.8% | −32.5% | 612,691 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $20.08 | $2.0M | −6.5% of holding | +5.4% | −33.0% | 1,441,282 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $17.18 | $614K | −2.3% of holding | +21.9% | −26.9% | 1,541,282 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $18.21 | $651K | −2.3% of holding | −6.6% | −20.3% | 1,541,282 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-24 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 2,027 @ $17.43 | $35K | −0.9% of holding | −4.6% | −17.6% | 231,708 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-23 | Khanna Raj | director | Sale | 7,973 @ $17.20 | $137K | −3.3% of holding | −1.8% | −16.1% | 233,735 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 52,184 @ $16.11 | $841K | −29.0% of holding | +8.8% | −9.6% | 127,620 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $15.90 | $568K | −2.3% of holding | +10.3% | −8.9% | 1,541,282 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 19,616 @ $16.00 | $314K | −13.3% of holding | +10.3% | −8.9% | 127,620 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $13.73 | $491K | −2.3% of holding | +9.7% | +11.7% | 1,510,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $13.12 | $469K | −2.3% of holding | +5.6% | +39.2% | 1,510,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $15.06 | $538K | −2.3% of holding | −7.5% | +35.7% | 1,510,719 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $15.39 | $550K | −2.4% of holding | +2.1% | +10.4% | 1,478,941 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Sale | 35,725 @ $16.60 | $593K | −2.4% of holding | −10.3% | +3.7% | 1,478,941 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Sale | 37,000 @ $17.47 | $646K | −23.9% of holding | +0.5% | −5.7% | 117,613 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
235 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Withheld for tax | 45,458 | 1,750,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Withheld for tax | 38,579 | 1,810,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,410 | 198,640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,931 | 218,628 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,122 | 145,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,219 | 155,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Award / grant | 35,919 | 234,559 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 115,522 | 1,796,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Award / grant | 39,255 | 216,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 98,039 | 1,848,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Award / grant | 22,431 | 156,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Award / grant | 18,593 | 164,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Withheld for tax | 38,540 | 1,680,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,915 | 176,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Withheld for tax | 11,371 | 1,621,172 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,210 | 134,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Withheld for tax | 4,613 | 1,603,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,355 | 156,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,776 | 125,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,162 | 122,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 11,721 | 1,608,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Award / grant | 110,000 | 110,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Option exercise | 35,884 | 71,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Option exercise | 9,819 | 39,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Option exercise | 35,884 | 192,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | RHODES KEVIN R | officer | Option exercise | 9,819 | 161,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Award / grant | 65,620 | 65,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 18,575 | 37,205 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 5,611 | 22,443 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 2,605 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 18,575 | 143,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 5,611 | 127,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MOTIEY KATAYOUN | officer | Option exercise | 2,605 | 123,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 334,290 | 334,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 97,941 | 196,176 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 28,895 | 115,580 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 11,721 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 97,941 | 1,719,113 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 28,895 | 1,632,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | MEYERCORD EDWARD | director | Option exercise | 24,573 | 1,646,475 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.