EXPO · TickerCove

EXPOExponent, Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.01 · now $68.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EXPO has typically landed between $58.95 and $76.38 — a range of −13.3% to +12.3% from the issuance price $68.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$68.01 · 57% of range

$53.39 low$79.04 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.3%

typical move · IQR 10.0%

−13.3%worst (p90)+12.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where EXPO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $68.01 (+0.0%)
typical $67.83 (-0.3%)
middle 50% $64.41–$71.24
90% range $58.95–$76.38

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−26.6%	−26.6%	+2.9%
2020-02-20	−25.8%	−25.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−24.5%	−25.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-02-20	+30.0%	−2.1%	+30.0%
2021-07-13	+28.9%	−0.6%	+28.9%
2021-07-08	+28.6%	+0.0%	+28.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−1.8%

n=20

Feb

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Mar

80%

+4.4%

n=20

Apr

40%

+0.3%

n=20

May

35%

−0.4%

n=20

Jun

65%

+2.9%

n=20

Jul

60%

+3.6%

n=20

Aug

70%

+1.7%

n=20

Sep

50%

+1.3%

n=20

Oct

50%

+1.2%

n=20

Nov

70%

+2.6%

n=20

Dec

50%

+1.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,707 @ $66.28	$113K	−1.3% of holding	+5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	129,108	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,737 @ $62.78	$109K	−1.5% of holding	+6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	115,771	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	2,326 @ $57.13	$133K	−2.1% of holding	+12.8%	not yet — horizon still open	106,670	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,793 @ $57.13	$102K	−1.6% of holding	+12.8%	not yet — horizon still open	107,257	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26	James Bradley A	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $57.47	$115K	−64.4% of holding	+3.3%	not yet — horizon still open	1,105	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	Reiss Richard	officer	Sale	1,672 @ $58.65	$98K	−42.2% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	2,288	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	2,367 @ $54.06	$128K	−2.2% of holding	+5.6%	not yet — horizon still open	105,218	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,827 @ $54.06	$99K	−1.7% of holding	+5.6%	not yet — horizon still open	105,771	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13	Rakow Joseph	officer	Sale	2,945 @ $54.66	$161K	−100.0% of holding	+5.3%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13	Sala Joseph	officer	Sale	2,066 @ $56.66	$117K	−100.0% of holding	+5.3%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	2,212 @ $67.70	$150K	−2.1% of holding	−28.3%	not yet — horizon still open	103,676	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,697 @ $67.70	$115K	−1.6% of holding	−28.3%	not yet — horizon still open	104,359	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	2,214 @ $67.49	$149K	−2.1% of holding	−2.5%	−12.3%	101,981	Form 4 · filed 31 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,698 @ $67.49	$115K	−1.6% of holding	−2.5%	−12.3%	102,663	Form 4 · filed 31 days after the trade
2026-02-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	2,218 @ $67.16	$149K	−2.3% of holding	−2.6%	−13.8%	93,731	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,702 @ $67.14	$114K	−1.8% of holding	−2.6%	−13.8%	94,409	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10	Pye John	officer	Sale	3,659 @ $75.98	$278K	−12.7% of holding	−4.3%	−22.5%	25,204	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10	Pye John	officer	Sale	341 @ $75.94	$26K	−1.2% of holding	−4.3%	−22.5%	28,863	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,663 @ $72.52	$121K	−1.8% of holding	−6.2%	−22.7%	92,723	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	3,225 @ $70.74	$228K	−3.7% of holding	−2.4%	−32.4%	84,134	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	3,225 @ $70.20	$226K	−3.7% of holding	+6.6%	−26.7%	83,429	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,675 @ $70.74	$118K	−2.0% of holding	+6.6%	−26.7%	84,134	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	3,226 @ $66.84	$216K	−3.8% of holding	+3.0%	−5.3%	82,753	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,704 @ $66.79	$114K	−2.0% of holding	+3.0%	−5.3%	83,429	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	3,226 @ $69.77	$225K	−3.8% of holding	−4.1%	−7.3%	82,753	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,679 @ $70.18	$118K	−2.0% of holding	−4.1%	−7.3%	82,753	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	3,226 @ $70.93	$229K	−3.8% of holding	−3.8%	−11.0%	81,342	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Corrigan Catherine	director	Sale	1,670 @ $71.38	$119K	−2.0% of holding	−3.8%	−11.0%	82,052	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12	Sala Joseph	officer	Sale	1,595 @ $70.64	$113K	−100.0% of holding	−1.9%	−6.3%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-27	Rakow Joseph	officer	Sale	1,573 @ $77.72	$122K	−100.0% of holding	−5.5%	−21.7%	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-23	Pye John	officer	Sale	1,658 @ $76.31	$127K	−5.4% of holding	−6.4%	−21.0%	29,204	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-23	Pye John	officer	Sale	342 @ $76.34	$26K	−1.1% of holding	−6.4%	−21.0%	30,862	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-20	James Bradley A	officer	Sale	2,694 @ $79.52	$214K	−100.0% of holding	−8.3%	−24.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

267 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	130,815	Form 4
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	0	Form 4
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	0	Form 4
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	0	Form 4
2026-08-17	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	12,665	128,436	Form 4
2026-07-28	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	12,665	12,665	Form 4
2026-07-28	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	12,665	12,665	Form 4
2026-07-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	117,508	Form 4
2026-07-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	2,379	Form 4
2026-07-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,379	2,379	Form 4
2026-06-25	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	7,872	115,129	Form 4
2026-06-25	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	7,872	0	Form 4
2026-06-25	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	7,872	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	3,225	108,996	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,380	109,050	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,380	4,758	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	3,225	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	3,225	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Corrigan Catherine	director	Option exercise	2,380	4,758	Form 4
2026-06-04	Zumwalt Debra	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	Brown George H.	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	Zumwalt Debra	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	Lindstrom Carol	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	Lindstrom Carol	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	Brown George H.	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	RICHARDSON KAREN A	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-04	RICHARDSON KAREN A	director	Award / grant	2,859	2,859	Form 4
2026-06-03	Lindstrom Carol	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Brown George H.	director	Option exercise	2,009	10,730	Form 4
2026-06-03	Brown George H.	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	JOHNSTON PAUL R	director	Option exercise	2,009	62,940	Form 4
2026-06-03	JOHNSTON PAUL R	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Zumwalt Debra	director	Option exercise	2,009	31,830	Form 4
2026-06-03	Zumwalt Debra	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	RICHARDSON KAREN A	director	Option exercise	2,009	2,009	Form 4
2026-06-03	RICHARDSON KAREN A	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Brown George H.	director	Option exercise	2,009	10,730	Form 4
2026-06-03	Brown George H.	director	Option exercise	2,009	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Lindstrom Carol	director	Option exercise	2,009	9,405	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i