EXLSExlService Holdings, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.85 · now $35.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EXLS has typically landed between $31.51 and $40.86 — a range of −12.1% to +14.0% from the issuance price $35.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,985 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-10-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EXLS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.51worst · -12.1%$40.86best · +14.0%
  • now $35.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.1 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.22–$37.98
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.51–$40.86
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,985 windows spanning 2006-10-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-11−52.8%−52.8%+0.0%
2008-09-10−50.7%−50.7%+1.7%
2020-02-20−45.3%−45.3%+1.7%
3 best
2009-03-05+62.8%+0.0%+62.8%
2008-11-20+48.2%+0.0%+56.2%
2009-03-04+47.0%−8.3%+47.0%

4,985 overlapping windows · 2006-10-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.1%
n=20
Feb
60%
+2.8%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Apr
55%
+0.9%
n=20
May
50%
−1.6%
n=20
Jun
65%
+1.0%
n=20
Jul
65%
+4.5%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Sep
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Oct
58%
+4.2%
n=19
Nov
70%
+2.4%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$45$252026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $382K — Bhalla Vikas2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $176K — Chhibbar Vishal2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $385K — Bhalla Vikas2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $318K — Bhalla Vikas2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $363K — Bhalla Vikas2026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $148K — AYYAPPAN AJAY2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $51K — AYYAPPAN AJAY2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $36K — AYYAPPAN AJAY2026-02-18: 2 insider sales, $69K — AYYAPPAN AJAY …2026-01-27: 2 insider sales, $345K — AYYAPPAN AJAY …2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $471K — Bhalla Vikas2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $350K — Bhalla Vikas2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $350K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $471K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $345K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $105K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $51K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $148K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $363K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $318K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $560K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $382K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Chhibbar Vishal — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer AYYAPPAN AJAY — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bhalla Vikas — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Bhalla VikasofficerSale10,000 @ $38.17$382K−7.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open120,295Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Chhibbar VishalofficerSale5,000 @ $35.10$176K−43.7% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open6,452Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Bhalla VikasofficerSale11,000 @ $34.99$385K−7.8% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open130,295Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-01Bhalla VikasofficerSale12,000 @ $26.47$318K−7.8% of holding+26.5%not yet — horizon still open141,295Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Bhalla VikasofficerSale12,000 @ $30.22$363K−7.3% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open153,295Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-20AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale5,093 @ $29.11$148K−9.4% of holding−13.7%not yet — horizon still open48,994Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,679 @ $30.39$51K−3.0% of holding+2.6%+9.7%54,087Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,197 @ $29.79$36K−2.2% of holding+10.3%+19.6%53,901Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,226 @ $30.32$37K−2.2% of holding+3.4%+7.2%54,817Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,049 @ $30.32$32K−1.9% of holding+3.4%+7.2%53,768Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-27AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale5,316 @ $42.53$226K−8.6% of holding−22.6%−16.6%56,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-27AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale2,798 @ $42.53$119K−5.0% of holding−22.6%−16.6%53,515Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Bhalla VikasofficerSale11,774 @ $39.99$471K−9.3% of holding+3.1%−37.8%115,272Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10Bhalla VikasofficerSale8,000 @ $43.76$350K−5.9% of holding−4.9%−33.1%127,046Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08Bhalla VikasofficerSale25,000 @ $46.11$1.2M−15.6% of holding−1.4%−34.2%135,046Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02STUDENMUND JAYNIE MdirectorSale14,580 @ $47.53$693K−100.0% of holding−5.7%−37.6%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-11Mahon AnitaofficerSale10,558 @ $45.92$485K−10.1% of holding−1.4%−25.4%94,443Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28Mahon AnitaofficerSale2,729 @ $48.32$132K−2.5% of holding+3.0%−18.8%105,001Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,865 @ $48.32$90K−4.4% of holding+3.0%−18.8%40,986Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-19Mahon AnitaofficerSale2,882 @ $50.70$146K−2.6% of holding−2.6%−21.1%108,190Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale2,461 @ $50.70$125K−5.7% of holding−2.6%−21.1%40,986Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19Mahon AnitaofficerSale1,612 @ $50.70$82K−1.5% of holding−2.6%−21.1%106,578Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19Mahon AnitaofficerSale1,577 @ $50.70$80K−1.5% of holding−2.6%−21.1%105,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,362 @ $50.70$69K−3.0% of holding−2.6%−21.1%44,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale1,166 @ $50.70$59K−2.6% of holding−2.6%−21.1%43,447Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale9,808 @ $51.50$505K−19.3% of holding−2.9%−24.3%40,986Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerSale6,378 @ $51.50$328K−11.2% of holding−2.9%−24.3%50,794Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-27Nicolelli MaurizioofficerSale13,753 @ $49.14$676K−6.6% of holding−1.0%−21.4%194,440Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

272 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-16Mehta Kamini HdirectorAward / grant7,7057,705Form 4
2026-06-30Jetley VivekofficerAward / grant606426,780Form 4
2026-06-30Nicolelli MaurizioofficerAward / grant606254,975Form 4
2026-06-30Kini NarasimhaofficerAward / grant606212,354Form 4
2026-06-16Bartlett Thomas AdirectorAward / grant7,87121,885Form 4
2026-06-16Fibig AndreasdirectorAward / grant7,87128,427Form 4
2026-06-16Pipes KristydirectorAward / grant7,87143,362Form 4
2026-06-16Geraghty PatrickdirectorAward / grant7,87111,631Form 4
2026-06-16Williamson Sarah KdirectorAward / grant7,87130,919Form 4
2026-06-16Williamson Sarah KdirectorAward / grant1,71232,631Form 4
2026-06-16Williamson Sarah KdirectorAward / grant1,71134,342Form 4
2026-06-16PANDIT VIKRAM SdirectorAward / grant11,29384,378Form 4
2026-06-15Kapoor RohitdirectorOther acquisition865,000865,000Form 4
2026-06-15Kapoor RohitdirectorOther acquisition865,000457,214Form 4
2026-05-11Singh BhupenderofficerAward / grant77,17077,170Form 4
2026-02-28Kapoor RohitdirectorOption exercise33,5251,322,214Form 4
2026-02-28Kapoor RohitdirectorOption exercise33,52567,050Form 4
2026-02-27Jetley VivekofficerWithheld for tax5,298426,174Form 4
2026-02-27Bhalla VikasofficerWithheld for tax3,736165,295Form 4
2026-02-27Chhibbar VishalofficerWithheld for tax3,08811,452Form 4
2026-02-27Kini NarasimhaofficerWithheld for tax2,853211,748Form 4
2026-02-27Nicolelli MaurizioofficerWithheld for tax2,199254,369Form 4
2026-02-27Harrison Pamela MofficerWithheld for tax2,1596,255Form 4
2026-02-27AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerWithheld for tax2,12655,766Form 4
2026-02-27Kini NarasimhaofficerOption exercise5,58711,174Form 4
2026-02-27Nicolelli MaurizioofficerOption exercise5,587256,568Form 4
2026-02-27Harrison Pamela MofficerOption exercise4,1518,302Form 4
2026-02-27Harrison Pamela MofficerOption exercise4,1518,414Form 4
2026-02-27Bhalla VikasofficerOption exercise9,57919,158Form 4
2026-02-27Bhalla VikasofficerOption exercise9,579169,031Form 4
2026-02-27Nicolelli MaurizioofficerOption exercise5,58711,174Form 4
2026-02-27Jetley VivekofficerOption exercise9,579431,472Form 4
2026-02-27AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerOption exercise3,9917,982Form 4
2026-02-27AYYAPPAN AJAYofficerOption exercise3,99157,892Form 4
2026-02-27Kini NarasimhaofficerOption exercise5,587214,601Form 4
2026-02-27Chhibbar VishalofficerOption exercise5,58711,174Form 4
2026-02-27Jetley VivekofficerOption exercise9,57919,158Form 4
2026-02-27Chhibbar VishalofficerOption exercise5,58714,540Form 4
2026-02-20Jetley VivekofficerWithheld for tax3,788421,893Form 4
2026-02-20Bhalla VikasofficerWithheld for tax2,672159,452Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.