Issued 2026-09-16 at $126.18 · now $126.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EWBC has typically landed between $109.19 and $148.07 — a range of −13.5% to +17.3% from the issuance price $126.18.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($126.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EWBC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $126.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $126.18 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $127.7 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $119.84–$135.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $109.19–$148.07
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-05 | −66.1% | −66.1% | +8.8% |
| 2009-02-06 | −62.6% | −68.8% | +0.1% |
| 2009-02-09 | −62.1% | −68.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-04-08 | +122.2% | +0.0% | +122.2% |
| 2008-07-07 | +92.9% | −3.2% | +92.9% |
| 2009-04-06 | +89.4% | −4.4% | +89.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Alvarez Manuel Pham | director | Sale | 810 @ $130.40 | $106K | −7.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,629 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | LIU JACK C | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $135.02 | $135K | −6.8% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,709 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-06 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $132.37 | $1.3M | −21.3% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,974 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 800 @ $133.19 | $107K | −0.9% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,698 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 500 @ $132.50 | $66K | −0.6% of holding | −2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,498 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 11,211 @ $129.00 | $1.4M | −11.5% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,998 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $123.50 | $1.2M | −17.6% of holding | +7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,974 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-06 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 28,312 @ $125.34 | $3.5M | −3.8% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 707,930 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-06 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 1,688 @ $124.76 | $211K | −0.2% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 736,242 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $123.49 | $3.7M | −3.9% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 737,930 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Deskus Archana | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $125.55 | $226K | −12.0% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,231 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | TEO GARY | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $122.59 | $858K | −57.1% of holding | −10.2% | −3.5% | 5,252 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $122.81 | $221K | −23.8% of holding | −10.2% | −3.5% | 5,756 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-05 | LIU JACK C | director | Sale | 1,421 @ $119.00 | $169K | −9.5% of holding | −9.8% | −2.1% | 13,553 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-04 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 28,328 @ $117.62 | $3.3M | −3.3% of holding | −7.6% | +0.9% | 830,003 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-04 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 21,672 @ $118.07 | $2.6M | −2.6% of holding | −7.6% | +0.9% | 808,331 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-19 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 7,453 @ $113.90 | $849K | −8.0% of holding | +0.3% | +8.3% | 85,714 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 12,547 @ $115.00 | $1.4M | −11.9% of holding | −3.5% | +2.3% | 93,167 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-12 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 18,656 @ $113.22 | $2.1M | −2.1% of holding | −0.8% | +5.8% | 869,658 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-12 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 11,344 @ $114.31 | $1.3M | −1.3% of holding | −0.8% | +5.8% | 858,314 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-11 | Shi Parker | officer | Sale | 8,844 @ $115.03 | $1.0M | −37.2% of holding | −1.3% | +5.8% | 14,950 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Sale | 1,520 @ $104.73 | $159K | −16.7% of holding | +7.1% | +6.1% | 7,556 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-11 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $105.40 | $105K | −9.9% of holding | +8.4% | +6.1% | 9,076 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $102.21 | $102K | −9.0% of holding | +3.7% | +7.3% | 10,076 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-03 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $100.04 | $700K | −12.6% of holding | +8.4% | +18.4% | 48,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $100.04 | $300K | −6.2% of holding | +8.4% | +18.4% | 45,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Sale | 980 @ $101.02 | $99K | −8.1% of holding | +6.2% | +17.3% | 11,076 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-08 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 7,639 @ $109.40 | $836K | −6.7% of holding | −5.9% | −5.5% | 105,714 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-27 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 8,680 @ $106.90 | $928K | −7.1% of holding | −0.8% | −2.5% | 113,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Oh Irene H | director | Sale | 6,371 @ $106.50 | $679K | −5.0% of holding | −0.8% | −2.5% | 122,033 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | TEO GARY | officer | Sale | 4,588 @ $106.23 | $487K | −24.4% of holding | −0.8% | −2.5% | 14,197 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | TEO GARY | officer | Sale | 1,962 @ $107.03 | $210K | −13.8% of holding | −0.8% | −2.5% | 12,235 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | LIU JACK C | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $105.00 | $105K | −6.3% of holding | −2.0% | +3.1% | 14,974 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-28 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $103.38 | $4.1M | −4.3% of holding | +1.5% | +0.7% | 888,314 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Kim Lisa L. | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $95.04 | $200K | −12.4% of holding | −4.7% | −4.1% | 14,849 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 28,566 @ $96.73 | $2.8M | −3.0% of holding | −5.0% | −6.2% | 928,314 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 6,766 @ $96.14 | $650K | −0.7% of holding | −5.0% | −6.2% | 956,880 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 4,668 @ $95.04 | $444K | −0.5% of holding | −5.0% | −6.2% | 963,646 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-19 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 19,819 @ $90.00 | $1.8M | −2.0% of holding | −7.4% | +5.5% | 968,314 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | NG DOMINIC | director | Sale | 20,181 @ $90.01 | $1.8M | −2.0% of holding | −6.7% | +11.3% | 988,133 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-30 | LIU JACK C | director | Sale | 1,275 @ $104.53 | $133K | −8.1% of holding | −5.6% | −6.8% | 14,557 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | LIU JACK C | director | Sale | 725 @ $104.50 | $76K | −4.4% of holding | −5.4% | −5.9% | 15,832 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | CAMPBELL MOLLY | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 6,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | LIU JACK C | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 14,709 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Babej Peter | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 1,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | SUSSMAN LESTER | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 25,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Alvarez Manuel Pham | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 11,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dumont Serge | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Kay Sabrina | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 15,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | HUTCHINS MARK R | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 6,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Irving Paul H | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 43,562 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Deskus Archana | director | Award / grant | 1,156 | 14,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NG DOMINIC | director | Gift | 19,073 | 19,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NG DOMINIC | director | Gift | 95,365 | 767,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NG DOMINIC | director | Gift | 57,219 | 57,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | NG DOMINIC | director | Withheld for tax | 51,341 | 863,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,624 | 56,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oh Irene H | director | Withheld for tax | 8,603 | 97,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Shi Parker | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,857 | 24,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | TEO GARY | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,380 | 11,322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Shi Parker | officer | Award / grant | 16,538 | 31,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | TEO GARY | officer | Award / grant | 9,450 | 14,702 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oh Irene H | director | Award / grant | 20,081 | 105,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | NG DOMINIC | director | Award / grant | 106,305 | 914,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Award / grant | 20,081 | 65,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Oh Irene H | director | Withheld for tax | 12 | 85,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | TEO GARY | officer | Withheld for tax | 12 | 12,252 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Shi Parker | officer | Withheld for tax | 12 | 14,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | NG DOMINIC | director | Withheld for tax | 12 | 858,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Withheld for tax | 12 | 45,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Kim Lisa L. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12 | 14,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | NG DOMINIC | director | Option exercise | 29 | 858,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | KRAUSE DOUGLAS PAUL | officer | Option exercise | 29 | 45,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Oh Irene H | director | Option exercise | 29 | 85,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Kim Lisa L. | officer | Option exercise | 29 | 14,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Shi Parker | officer | Option exercise | 29 | 14,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | TEO GARY | officer | Option exercise | 29 | 12,264 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Babej Peter | director | Award / grant | 621 | 621 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | HUTCHINS MARK R | director | Award / grant | 1,417 | 5,516 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Dumont Serge | director | Award / grant | 1,417 | 7,844 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Alvarez Manuel Pham | director | Award / grant | 1,417 | 10,283 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Deskus Archana | director | Award / grant | 1,417 | 15,031 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.