Issued 2026-09-16 at $28.29 · now $28.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVTC has typically landed between $24.81 and $32.10 — a range of −12.3% to +13.5% from the issuance price $28.29.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,357 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-04-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($28.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EVTC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $28.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $28.29 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.92 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.41–$29.43
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $24.81–$32.1
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −43.4% | −43.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −40.5% | −40.5% | +0.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | −40.3% | −40.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2018-04-11 | +29.1% | +0.0% | +29.1% |
| 2018-04-09 | +27.8% | +0.0% | +27.8% |
| 2026-06-08 | +27.7% | +0.0% | +31.1% |
3,357 overlapping windows · 2013-04-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Sale | 1,094 @ $30.37 | $33K | −6.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,849 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $30.09 | $30K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,943 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $29.80 | $30K | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,943 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Perez-Surillo Paola | officer | Sale | 17,486 @ $31.56 | $552K | −27.4% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,421 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Sale | 27,570 @ $30.32 | $836K | −34.2% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,102 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $29.50 | $30K | −5.3% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,943 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | SMITH BRIAN JOHN | director | Purchase | 16,202 @ $26.42 | $428K | +22.5% of holding | +12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,222 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Purchase | 21,000 @ $23.37 | $491K | +17.3% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 142,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | D'ANGELO FRANK G. | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $23.40 | $468K | +94.6% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,138 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Purchase | 12,862 @ $22.03 | $283K | +10.4% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,849 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Purchase | 5,463 @ $24.33 | $133K | +3.9% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,987 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Purchase | 1,675 @ $22.95 | $38K | +1.2% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,524 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | officer | Purchase | 17,000 @ $24.10 | $410K | +26.6% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,907 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Sale | 2,243 @ $35.72 | $80K | −15.8% of holding | −11.6% | −32.0% | 11,946 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Pagan Ivan | director | Sale | 6,852 @ $36.65 | $251K | −35.5% of holding | −5.3% | −33.7% | 12,473 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Brignardello Daniel | officer | Sale | 7,641 @ $36.60 | $280K | −19.6% of holding | −3.7% | −37.1% | 31,277 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Sale | 40,000 @ $36.44 | $1.5M | −30.2% of holding | −0.1% | −43.3% | 92,509 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-09 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | officer | Sale | 18,898 @ $35.69 | $674K | −34.9% of holding | −1.7% | −42.8% | 35,203 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Sale | 23,996 @ $36.98 | $887K | −37.3% of holding | +0.2% | −20.8% | 40,269 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-07 | Perez-Surillo Paola | officer | Sale | 14,585 @ $37.15 | $542K | −29.3% of holding | +0.2% | −20.8% | 35,203 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-07 | Cruz-Jusino Karla | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $36.77 | $74K | −10.0% of holding | +0.2% | −20.8% | 18,065 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-06 | Schuessler Morgan M | director | Sale | 80,000 @ $37.45 | $3.0M | −22.1% of holding | +2.0% | −21.4% | 282,172 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Sale | 2,197 @ $37.54 | $82K | −3.3% of holding | +2.0% | −21.4% | 64,265 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-20 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Sale | 8,123 @ $34.09 | $277K | −6.7% of holding | −6.5% | +3.8% | 113,915 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Sale | 7,890 @ $35.07 | $277K | −6.1% of holding | −8.1% | +4.6% | 122,038 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Pagan Ivan | director | Withheld for tax | 822 | 21,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | SMITH BRIAN JOHN | director | Award / grant | 10,344 | 72,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | JUNQUERA JORGE A | director | Award / grant | 10,344 | 52,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | D'ANGELO FRANK G. | director | Award / grant | 9,026 | 50,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | SCHUMACHER ALAN H | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 54,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Pagan Ivan | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 22,713 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Polak Aldo J. | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 18,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Botero Olga Margarita | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 50,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Gambale Virginia | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 19,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | BARRETT KELLY HEFNER | director | Award / grant | 6,997 | 25,559 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Schuessler Morgan M | director | Award / grant | 85,975 | 450,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Cruz-Jusino Karla | officer | Award / grant | 29,588 | 44,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Award / grant | 29,547 | 123,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Award / grant | 27,177 | 80,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Perez-Surillo Paola | officer | Award / grant | 18,118 | 63,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Award / grant | 18,118 | 121,214 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | officer | Award / grant | 18,118 | 63,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lopez Gaffney Alberto | officer | Award / grant | 13,937 | 48,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Brignardello Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 13,937 | 39,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Almeida Prado Claudio | officer | Award / grant | 13,937 | 73,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Brignardello Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,087 | 25,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Almeida Prado Claudio | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,756 | 59,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Schuessler Morgan M | director | Award / grant | 123,531 | 405,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Schuessler Morgan M | director | Withheld for tax | 41,624 | 364,079 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Award / grant | 31,163 | 71,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Award / grant | 31,163 | 112,371 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Perez-Surillo Paola | officer | Award / grant | 24,404 | 59,607 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Award / grant | 24,404 | 116,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | officer | Award / grant | 24,404 | 59,607 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Viglianco Diego | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,937 | 53,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Castrillo-Salgado Joaquin A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,931 | 94,440 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Perez-Surillo Paola | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,818 | 45,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,818 | 45,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,817 | 103,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cruz-Jusino Karla | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,082 | 14,983 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Pagan Ivan | director | Withheld for tax | 870 | 15,716 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | SMITH BRIAN JOHN | director | Award / grant | 6,339 | 61,676 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | D'ANGELO FRANK G. | director | Award / grant | 5,327 | 21,138 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | JUNQUERA JORGE A | director | Award / grant | 4,113 | 42,531 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | BARRETT KELLY HEFNER | director | Award / grant | 4,113 | 18,562 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.