EVRGEvergy, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $80.39 · now $80.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVRG has typically landed between $74.51 and $87.09 — a range of −7.3% to +8.3% from the issuance price $80.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($80.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EVRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $80.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$74.51worst · -7.3%$87.09best · +8.3%
  • now $80.39 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $81.27 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $78.33–$84.2
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $74.51–$87.09
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−37.9%−37.9%+0.2%
2020-02-20−35.4%−35.4%+0.0%
2020-02-13−30.2%−30.2%+3.3%
3 best
2020-03-23+32.5%+0.0%+40.4%
2020-03-20+23.4%−4.8%+33.7%
2020-03-16+21.2%−9.4%+27.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$20.1B
market cap
$3.78
EPS (TTM)
23.1
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-06
next earnings
Revenue$5.9B
'20'25
Net income$856M
'20'25
Free cash flow−$752M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr14.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.51
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $80.39$-13.56$105.19
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-5.37
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$85.33
  • Analyst target · range $82.00–$97.00$89.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$80.39

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
32%
−2.2%
n=19
Mar
89%
+4.3%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.8%
n=19
May
53%
+0.5%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.8%
n=19
Aug
63%
−0.3%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.0%
n=19
Oct
72%
+1.3%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.5%
n=18
Dec
72%
+1.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$88$692026-09-11: 7 insider purchases, $134K — Rolph Jonathan D …2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $900K — Caisley Charles A.2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $17K — Lawrence Sandra AJ2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $49K — Lawrence Sandra AJ2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $33K — Lawrence Sandra AJ2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $63K — Lawrence Sandra AJ2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $201K — KING CHARLES L2026-03-10: 2 insider sales, $302K — Humphrey Heather A …2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $234K — Murtlow Ann D.2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $579K — Elwell Lesley Lissette2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $579K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $234K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $502K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $96K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $966K2026-09: 7 open-market purchases, $134K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rolph Jonathan D — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Caisley Charles A. — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lawrence Sandra AJ — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lawrence Sandra AJ — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lawrence Sandra AJ — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lawrence Sandra AJ — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer KING CHARLES L — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Humphrey Heather A — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Humphrey Heather A — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Murtlow Ann D. — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed same dayofficer Elwell Lesley Lissette — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase335 @ $81.39$27K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open670Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase335 @ $81.36$27K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open670Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase300 @ $81.48$24K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open600Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase250 @ $81.44$20K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase200 @ $81.83$16Kownership Δ n/anot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase150 @ $81.44$12K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open300Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11Rolph Jonathan DdirectorPurchase70 @ $81.47$6K+100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open140Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-15Caisley Charles A.officerSale10,787 @ $83.46$900K−22.2% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open37,789Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale200 @ $82.63$17K−29.4% of holding+6.5%not yet — horizon still open480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale600 @ $81.41$49K−46.9% of holding+10.0%not yet — horizon still open680Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-29Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale400 @ $82.04$33K−23.8% of holding+6.4%not yet — horizon still open1,280Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-28Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale761 @ $83.31$63K−31.2% of holding+6.6%not yet — horizon still open1,680Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12KING CHARLES LofficerSale2,440 @ $82.19$201K−11.7% of holding−2.4%−14.7%18,359Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Humphrey Heather AofficerSale3,552 @ $82.61$293K−7.5% of holding+2.4%−13.2%44,007Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Humphrey Heather AofficerSale98 @ $82.62$8K−0.2% of holding+2.4%−13.2%48,841Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25Murtlow Ann D.directorSale2,847 @ $82.34$234K−55.2% of holding+4.6%−10.1%2,311Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15Elwell Lesley LissetteofficerSale8,000 @ $72.33$579K−94.1% of holding+7.7%+14.7%499Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale800 @ $67.96$54K−62.5% of holding−2.7%−4.1%480Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-10Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale492 @ $67.87$33K−27.8% of holding−2.2%−3.7%1,280Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale519 @ $67.13$35K−22.7% of holding−1.5%−3.7%1,772Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorSale500 @ $67.79$34K−17.9% of holding−1.5%−3.7%2,291Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

142 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01WILDER C JOHNdirectorAward / grant40529,466Form 4
2026-07-01Rolph Jonathan DdirectorAward / grant3487,337Form 4
2026-05-06Lawrence Sandra AJdirectorAward / grant1,9612,441Form 4
2026-05-06Murtlow Ann D.directorAward / grant1,9614,272Form 4
2026-05-06Newton Dean AdirectorAward / grant1,9614,292Form 4
2026-05-06PRICE SANDRA JdirectorAward / grant1,96129,624Form 4
2026-05-06Keglevic PauldirectorAward / grant1,96118,964Form 4
2026-05-06Rolph Jonathan DdirectorAward / grant2,1886,930Form 4
2026-05-06Landrieu Mary L.directorAward / grant1,9614,625Form 4
2026-05-06ISAAC B ANTHONYdirectorAward / grant98157,228Form 4
2026-05-06ISAAC B ANTHONYdirectorAward / grant9805,153Form 4
2026-05-06Scarola JamesdirectorAward / grant1,96111,794Form 4
2026-05-06Sharma Neal AdirectorAward / grant1,9617,361Form 4
2026-05-06WILDER C JOHNdirectorAward / grant2,22528,818Form 4
2026-04-01Rolph Jonathan DdirectorAward / grant1414,742Form 4
2026-04-01WILDER C JOHNdirectorAward / grant16526,593Form 4
2026-03-01Campbell David AdirectorWithheld for tax22,975147,969Form 4
2026-03-01Campbell David AdirectorWithheld for tax9,946160,100Form 4
2026-03-01Caisley Charles A.officerWithheld for tax2,76246,452Form 4
2026-03-01Reasoner Cleveland O IIIofficerWithheld for tax2,67521,584Form 4
2026-03-01Humphrey Heather AofficerWithheld for tax2,48346,786Form 4
2026-03-01Reasoner Cleveland O IIIofficerWithheld for tax1,77823,815Form 4
2026-03-01Caisley Charles A.officerWithheld for tax1,71148,577Form 4
2026-03-01Humphrey Heather AofficerWithheld for tax1,61748,940Form 4
2026-03-01Elwell Lesley LissetteofficerWithheld for tax1,6175,570Form 4
2026-03-01KING CHARLES LofficerWithheld for tax1,15319,648Form 4
2026-03-01BRIDSON JOHN TofficerWithheld for tax1,04643,618Form 4
2026-03-01Elwell Lesley LissetteofficerWithheld for tax7848,981Form 4
2026-03-01Elwell Lesley LissetteofficerWithheld for tax7037,220Form 4
2026-03-01KING CHARLES LofficerWithheld for tax49020,799Form 4
2026-03-01BRIDSON JOHN TofficerWithheld for tax44444,689Form 4
2026-03-01BRIDSON JOHN TofficerWithheld for tax42745,717Form 4
2026-03-01Gummig Matthew BofficerWithheld for tax129885Form 4
2026-03-01Gummig Matthew BofficerWithheld for tax55986Form 4
2026-03-01BRIDSON JOHN TofficerOption exercise1,4557,154Form 4
2026-03-01BRIDSON JOHN TofficerAward / grant1,4978,651Form 4
2026-03-01Buckler William BryanofficerAward / grant6,18628,750Form 4
2026-03-01Caisley Charles A.officerOption exercise3,83650,288Form 4
2026-03-01Caisley Charles A.officerAward / grant10,76649,214Form 4
2026-03-01Caisley Charles A.officerOption exercise3,83622,727Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousesale2025-05-162025-04-11$1–15K
John RutherfordHousesale2022-04-192022-03-16$1–15K
John RutherfordHousepurchase2022-03-162022-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-10-212020-05-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-05-132020-04-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-09-112019-08-02$1–15K
Nicholas Van TaylorHousesale2019-04-152019-03-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2019-01-112018-12-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-01-112018-12-07$1–15K
Jacky RosenSenateexchange2018-07-152018-06-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.