EVREvercore Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Capital Marketsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $261.83 · now $261.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVR has typically landed between $223.06 and $309.92 — a range of −14.8% to +18.4% from the issuance price $261.83.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($261.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EVR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $261.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$223.06worst · -14.8%$309.92best · +18.4%
  • now $261.83 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $266.7 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $247.01–$286.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $223.06–$309.92
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−55.8%−55.8%+0.0%
2020-02-18−55.1%−55.1%+1.5%
2020-02-21−54.2%−54.5%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-21+97.7%+0.0%+100.0%
2008-11-20+93.8%+0.0%+103.0%
2008-11-19+88.1%−7.3%+88.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Feb
70%
+1.0%
n=20
Mar
35%
−2.0%
n=20
Apr
45%
+1.9%
n=20
May
70%
+1.7%
n=20
Jun
55%
−2.5%
n=20
Jul
60%
+4.4%
n=20
Aug
45%
+0.0%
n=20
Sep
60%
+3.9%
n=20
Oct
65%
+4.1%
n=20
Nov
65%
+3.6%
n=20
Dec
55%
+3.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$381$2622026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — LaLonde Timothy Gilbert2026-03-06: 1 insider purchase, $581K — Williamson Sarah K2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — Klurfeld Jason2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $508K — Pensa Paul2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $66K — Carlton Pamela G2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $4.1M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $66K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $581K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $2.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer LaLonde Timothy Gilbert — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Williamson Sarah K — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Klurfeld Jason — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed same dayofficer Pensa Paul — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Carlton Pamela G — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-11LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerSale7,808 @ $343.06$2.7M−18.3% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open34,800Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Williamson Sarah KdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $290.43$581K+17.6% of holding+7.9%−11.8%13,345Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06Klurfeld JasonofficerSale5,000 @ $360.00$1.8M−9.2% of holding−17.6%−28.8%49,368Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Pensa PaulofficerSale1,450 @ $350.31$508K−22.4% of holding−18.5%−27.1%5,022Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09Carlton Pamela GdirectorSale192 @ $343.11$66K−5.2% of holding+6.6%−3.6%3,481Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerSale8,407 @ $295.44$2.5M−18.3% of holding+3.4%+10.0%37,463Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-01Klurfeld JasonofficerSale5,500 @ $285.85$1.6M−8.4% of holding+5.3%+8.8%59,687Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-10HYMAN EDWARD SofficerSale17,502 @ $271.68$4.8M−1.1% of holding−19.2%+7.0%1,643,035Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-07HYMAN EDWARD SofficerSale21,184 @ $277.20$5.9M−1.3% of holding−20.8%+1.6%1,660,537Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Pensa PaulofficerSale1,863 @ $281.23$524K−25.2% of holding−20.8%+1.6%5,531Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-06HYMAN EDWARD SofficerSale17,139 @ $285.56$4.9M−1.0% of holding−25.6%−1.4%1,681,721Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-10FUTTER ELLEN VdirectorAward / grant3647,312Form 4
2026-06-10Harris Gail BlockdirectorAward / grant36440,151Form 4
2026-06-10MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorAward / grant81553,497Form 4
2026-06-10Carlton Pamela GdirectorAward / grant3643,845Form 4
2026-06-10Robertson Sir SimondirectorAward / grant3649,715Form 4
2026-06-10VARNEY CHRISTINE AdirectorAward / grant727884Form 4
2026-06-10WHEELER WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant36412,642Form 4
2026-06-10Williamson Sarah KdirectorAward / grant72714,072Form 4
2026-06-10OVERLOCK WILARD J JRdirectorAward / grant72715,279Form 4
2026-02-19Klurfeld JasonofficerAward / grant8,79957,793Form 4
2026-02-19Altman Roger CdirectorAward / grant30,06284,152Form 4
2026-02-19LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerAward / grant12,46542,608Form 4
2026-02-19WEINBERG JOHN SdirectorAward / grant31,528636,890Form 4
2026-02-19Lindsey-Clark MatthewofficerAward / grant7,63827,847Form 4
2026-02-19Pensa PaulofficerAward / grant1,8676,889Form 4
2026-02-13Klurfeld JasonofficerWithheld for tax37448,994Form 4
2026-02-04Altman Roger CdirectorWithheld for tax13,55454,090Form 4
2026-02-04WEINBERG JOHN SdirectorWithheld for tax13,360605,362Form 4
2026-02-04LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerWithheld for tax7,32030,143Form 4
2026-02-04Klurfeld JasonofficerWithheld for tax5,31954,368Form 4
2026-02-04Lindsey-Clark MatthewofficerWithheld for tax3,57820,209Form 4
2026-02-04Pensa PaulofficerWithheld for tax1,2556,472Form 4
2025-12-31LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerOption exercise100,0000Form 4
2025-12-31LaLonde Timothy GilbertofficerOption exercise150,000150,000Form 4
2025-11-06Altman Roger CdirectorGift33,400103,734Form 4
2025-11-06Altman Roger CdirectorGift33,400103,734Form 4
2025-09-05Harris Gail BlockdirectorGift3339,787Form 4
2025-08-22Altman Roger CdirectorGift33,400137,134Form 4
2025-08-22Altman Roger CdirectorGift33,400137,134Form 4
2025-07-31Altman Roger CdirectorGift23,400170,534Form 4
2025-07-31Altman Roger CdirectorGift23,400170,534Form 4
2025-06-11WHEELER WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant52712,278Form 4
2025-06-11FUTTER ELLEN VdirectorAward / grant5276,948Form 4
2025-06-11MILLARD ROBERT BdirectorAward / grant1,18152,682Form 4
2025-06-11Robertson Sir SimondirectorAward / grant5279,351Form 4
2025-06-11Harris Gail BlockdirectorAward / grant52739,820Form 4
2025-06-11OVERLOCK WILARD J JRdirectorAward / grant1,05414,552Form 4
2025-06-11Williamson Sarah KdirectorAward / grant1,05411,345Form 4
2025-06-11Carlton Pamela GdirectorAward / grant5273,673Form 4
2025-03-10Klurfeld JasonofficerAward / grant30,00065,187Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.