Issued 2026-09-25 at $8.49 · now $8.49 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, EVMN has typically landed between $5.32 and $12.00 — a range of −37.4% to +41.4% from the issuance price $8.49.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
200 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-11-06 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($8.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EVMN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $8.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.49 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.02 (-5.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.67–$9.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.32–$12
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-26 | −55.3% | −55.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-23 | −53.3% | −53.3% | +3.8% |
| 2026-06-25 | −52.5% | −53.1% | +4.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-01-16 | +71.0% | −0.8% | +87.9% |
| 2026-01-15 | +58.7% | −15.0% | +61.1% |
| 2026-01-23 | +58.2% | −11.7% | +67.3% |
200 overlapping windows · 2025-11-06 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- October 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: Study of EVO756 in Adults With Migraine (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Carver Kyle | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $13.26 | $13K | +1.7% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,335 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | KIRSCH ARTHUR S | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $13.30 | $133K | ownership Δ n/a | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $22.63 | $453K | −22.8% of holding | −49.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,794 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Pena Luis C. | director | Sale | 7,438 @ $22.71 | $169K | −1.2% of holding | −49.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 630,458 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Sale | 1,488 @ $22.50 | $33K | −3.1% of holding | −49.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,403 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Cohen David E | director | Sale | 5,456 @ $20.21 | $110K | −23.1% of holding | −32.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,209 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Cohen David E | director | Sale | 600 @ $21.38 | $13K | −3.3% of holding | −32.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Pena Luis C. | director | Sale | 16,787 @ $22.74 | $382K | −2.6% of holding | −40.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 637,896 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Sale | 16,687 @ $22.74 | $379K | −26.4% of holding | −40.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,403 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Carver Kyle | officer | Sale | 18,175 @ $22.84 | $415K | −23.4% of holding | −33.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,335 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Moss Gregory S. | director | Sale | 14,223 @ $22.83 | $325K | −18.9% of holding | −33.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,835 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Hopfner Robert Lorne | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $17.35 | $17K | +33.0% of holding | +2.3% | +23.8% | 4,026 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Purchase | 1,562,500 @ $16.00 | $25.0M | +46.4% of holding | −4.9% | +15.2% | 4,929,633 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | director | Purchase | 1,562,500 @ $16.00 | $25.0M | +46.4% of holding | −4.9% | +15.2% | 4,929,633 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,157,096 @ $16.00 | $18.5M | +76.3% of holding | −4.9% | +15.2% | 2,674,425 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Purchase | 92,904 @ $16.00 | $1.5M | +13.4% of holding | −4.9% | +15.2% | 784,345 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
169 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Option exercise | 16,161 | 87,794 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Option exercise | 3,839 | 71,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Option exercise | 1,488 | 47,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Option exercise | 1,488 | 27,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Option exercise | 3,839 | 53,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Option exercise | 16,161 | 39,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Cohen David E | director | Award / grant | 15,673 | 15,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | MCGRAW BENJAMIN F III | director | Award / grant | 15,673 | 15,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | KIRSCH ARTHUR S | director | Award / grant | 15,673 | 15,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Option exercise | 13,512 | 63,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Option exercise | 13,512 | 29,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Carver Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 77,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Moss Gregory S. | director | Option exercise | 14,223 | 75,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Carver Kyle | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 96,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Moss Gregory S. | director | Option exercise | 14,223 | 47,845 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Bauer Eugene | director | Award / grant | 51,117 | 51,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Award / grant | 73,892 | 73,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Carver Kyle | officer | Award / grant | 98,946 | 98,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Pena Luis C. | director | Award / grant | 291,420 | 291,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Moss Gregory S. | director | Award / grant | 115,279 | 115,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Award / grant | 69,315 | 69,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Award / grant | 358,680 | 5,288,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | director | Award / grant | 358,680 | 5,288,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 35,868 | 2,710,293 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Pena Luis C. | director | Withheld for tax | 28,138 | 654,683 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Moss Gregory S. | director | Withheld for tax | 13,624 | 60,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Carver Kyle | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,290 | 62,510 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Patel Jeegar Pravinkumar | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,513 | 49,578 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,074 | 67,794 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Bauer Eugene | director | Withheld for tax | 1,478 | 270,818 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Bauer Eugene | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Conversion | 12,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | director | Conversion | 6,585,011 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | director | Conversion | 3,367,133 | 3,367,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | LSP 7 Cooperative UA | director | Conversion | 15,493,466 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Conversion | 3,367,133 | 3,367,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Conversion | 15,493,466 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Conversion | 5,090,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Verduyn-van Weegen Felice Isabel | director | Conversion | 6,585,011 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Drew Janice Suzann | officer | Conversion | 1,587 | 72,868 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.