EVGO · TickerCove

EVGOEVgo, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.39 · now $1.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVGO has typically landed between $0.94 and $1.99 — a range of −32.4% to +43.2% from the issuance price $1.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,437 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-11-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$1.39 · 4% of range

$1.25 low$5.01 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−5.1%

typical move · IQR 29.5%

−32.4%worst (p90)+43.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where EVGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $1.39 (+0.0%)
typical $1.32 (-5.1%)
middle 50% $1.11–$1.52
90% range $0.9395–$1.99

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,437 windows spanning 2020-11-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-12-16	−46.0%	−46.0%	+0.0%
2022-04-11	−43.8%	−43.8%	+2.1%
2021-02-02	−42.8%	−42.8%	+2.9%
3 best
2021-10-14	+138.3%	−1.6%	+142.5%
2021-10-13	+137.4%	−3.7%	+137.4%
2024-09-24	+116.5%	−7.0%	+116.5%

1,437 overlapping windows · 2020-11-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+14.2%

n=6

Feb

33%

−2.9%

n=6

Mar

50%

−1.4%

n=6

Apr

33%

−9.9%

n=6

May

67%

+3.0%

n=6

Jun

50%

−0.3%

n=6

Jul

50%

+11.6%

n=6

Aug

50%

−1.2%

n=6

Sep

33%

−4.4%

n=6

Oct

40%

+9.1%

n=5

Nov

40%

+6.7%

n=5

Dec

33%

−12.7%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-05-20	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Sale	73,215 @ $3.69	$270K	−50.3% of holding	+4.6%	−34.0%	72,269	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-19	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Sale	46,785 @ $3.75	$176K	−24.3% of holding	+16.0%	−33.8%	145,484	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Sale	44,184 @ $3.41	$151K	−31.5% of holding	−23.3%	+0.4%	95,986	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-03	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Sale	17,379 @ $4.32	$75K	−56.0% of holding	−24.3%	−26.4%	13,655	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-18	Nanus David	director	Sale	23,000,000 @ $5.00	$115.0M	−79.6% of holding	−34.3%	−18.8%	5,882,352	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

126 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Withheld for tax	14,914	262,713	Form 4
2026-08-10	Sullivan Francine	officer	Withheld for tax	10,766	345,604	Form 4
2026-08-10	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	29,312	277,627	Form 4
2026-08-10	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	27,358	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	29,312	0	Form 4
2026-08-10	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	27,358	356,370	Form 4
2026-05-20	Griffith Scott W.	director	Award / grant	63,745	63,745	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOTLAGH KATHERINE	director	Award / grant	63,745	63,745	Form 4
2026-05-18	Griffith Scott W.	director	Option exercise	5,556	64,444	Form 4
2026-05-18	Griffith Scott W.	director	Option exercise	43,830	108,274	Form 4
2026-05-18	Griffith Scott W.	director	Option exercise	43,830	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Griffith Scott W.	director	Option exercise	5,556	5,556	Form 4
2026-04-01	MOTLAGH KATHERINE	director	Option exercise	43,830	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	MOTLAGH KATHERINE	director	Option exercise	43,830	144,282	Form 4
2026-04-01	MOTLAGH KATHERINE	director	Option exercise	43,830	144,282	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Withheld for tax	70,667	248,315	Form 4
2026-03-15	Khan Badar	director	Withheld for tax	56,334	1,037,603	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Withheld for tax	26,234	329,012	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Withheld for tax	9,422	180,093	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Withheld for tax	2,915	288,579	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	7,407	51,853	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	66,667	66,667	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	18,518	189,515	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	138,889	318,982	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	138,889	138,889	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	7,407	291,494	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	66,667	355,246	Form 4
2026-03-15	Khan Badar	director	Option exercise	222,222	1,102,937	Form 4
2026-03-15	Khan Badar	director	Option exercise	222,222	222,223	Form 4
2026-03-15	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	18,518	129,631	Form 4
2026-02-02	Lehner Keefer McGovern	officer	Award / grant	32,776	32,776	Form 4
2026-02-02	Lehner Keefer McGovern	officer	Award / grant	65,552	65,552	Form 4
2026-02-01	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Withheld for tax	65,972	170,997	Form 4
2026-02-01	Khan Badar	director	Withheld for tax	50,266	880,715	Form 4
2026-02-01	Sullivan Francine	officer	Withheld for tax	30,619	284,087	Form 4
2026-02-01	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Withheld for tax	26,501	112,278	Form 4
2026-02-01	Sullivan Francine	officer	Withheld for tax	16,396	243,481	Form 4
2026-02-01	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	52,084	138,779	Form 4
2026-02-01	KISH DENNIS G	officer	Option exercise	124,691	236,969	Form 4
2026-02-01	Sullivan Francine	officer	Option exercise	71,225	142,450	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i