Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.34 · now $23.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVER has typically landed between $17.25 and $31.30 — a range of −26.1% to +34.1% from the issuance price $23.34.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,043 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-06-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EVER has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $23.34 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.61 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20.79–$26.43
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.25–$31.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,043 windows spanning 2018-06-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-10-19 | −58.7% | −58.7% | +8.9% |
| 2018-10-22 | −58.3% | −58.3% | +10.1% |
| 2018-11-12 | −56.6% | −57.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-03 | +100.7% | +0.0% | +100.7% |
| 2022-10-21 | +96.8% | −0.9% | +96.8% |
| 2022-10-24 | +96.6% | +0.0% | +98.6% |
2,043 overlapping windows · 2018-06-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
88%
+7.6%
n=8
Feb
63%
+7.9%
n=8
Mar
38%
−5.3%
n=8
Apr
38%
−1.1%
n=8
May
63%
+12.7%
n=8
Jun
63%
+1.5%
n=8
Jul
67%
+4.8%
n=9
Aug
22%
−7.9%
n=9
Sep
33%
−2.0%
n=9
Oct
13%
−8.8%
n=8
Nov
75%
+19.8%
n=8
Dec
63%
+5.4%
n=8
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wilczek Mira | director | Sale | 9,500 @ $25.07 | $238K | −7.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 110,353 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Shields John L. | director | Sale | 2,550 @ $26.30 | $67K | −7.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,774 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 1,436 @ $26.47 | $38K | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 74,272 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 1,097 @ $26.47 | $29K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 163,030 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Shields John L. | director | Sale | 576 @ $26.81 | $15K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,198 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 2,456 @ $24.64 | $61K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,140 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 6,667 @ $25.51 | $170K | −2.1% of holding | −7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 305,241 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 6,667 @ $24.63 | $164K | −2.1% of holding | −7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 311,908 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 3,167 @ $25.86 | $82K | −1.9% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,336 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 1,793 @ $24.88 | $45K | −1.1% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 168,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 642 @ $24.50 | $16K | −0.2% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 318,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 625 @ $24.59 | $15K | −0.8% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 256 @ $25.86 | $7K | −0.3% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,699 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 4,611 @ $24.15 | $111K | −5.8% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,580 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 4,746 @ $19.17 | $91K | −1.4% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 329,740 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 1,920 @ $19.55 | $38K | −0.6% of holding | +26.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 327,820 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 889 @ $20.00 | $18K | −1.1% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 581 @ $19.90 | $12K | −0.3% of holding | +23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 178,187 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 888 @ $18.69 | $17K | −1.1% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,618 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 516 @ $18.69 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 178,768 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 285 @ $18.24 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | +12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 82,506 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $20.70 | $414K | −5.6% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 337,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 9,942 @ $19.42 | $193K | −5.2% of holding | +26.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,493 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 363 @ $20.00 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | +26.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,938 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 670 @ $15.91 | $11K | −1.3% of holding | +18.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,491 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 364 @ $15.35 | $6K | −0.4% of holding | +22.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 650 @ $14.42 | $9K | −0.2% of holding | −13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 357,660 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 1,730 @ $15.56 | $27K | −2.0% of holding | +4.3% | +40.5% | 86,202 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 321 @ $15.07 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +5.5% | +62.4% | 84,027 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 11,187 @ $14.87 | $166K | −2.0% of holding | +7.7% | +60.5% | 544,950 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 3,173 @ $15.39 | $49K | −0.6% of holding | +7.7% | +60.5% | 541,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 14,360 @ $24.15 | $347K | −3.4% of holding | −40.5% | −6.6% | 406,404 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Shields John L. | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $25.73 | $51K | −7.3% of holding | −42.5% | −8.0% | 25,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 671 @ $25.73 | $17K | −1.3% of holding | −42.5% | −8.0% | 52,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 5,709 @ $25.05 | $143K | −5.3% of holding | −28.4% | −8.1% | 101,603 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 675 @ $25.16 | $17K | −1.2% of holding | −27.9% | −12.0% | 55,424 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 644 @ $21.94 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | −27.9% | −12.0% | 239,942 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 419 @ $25.16 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −27.9% | −12.0% | 240,586 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 14,360 @ $27.25 | $391K | −3.2% of holding | −14.3% | −22.2% | 438,052 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 3,181 @ $26.86 | $85K | −6.1% of holding | −0.3% | −40.6% | 49,233 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 458 @ $26.10 | $12K | −0.9% of holding | −0.3% | −40.6% | 52,414 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 1,291 @ $26.40 | $34K | −1.1% of holding | +0.5% | −42.9% | 112,661 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 491 @ $23.80 | $12K | −0.9% of holding | +4.4% | −38.0% | 52,872 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 12,345 @ $23.45 | $289K | −2.6% of holding | +11.8% | −33.4% | 454,427 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 2,015 @ $24.16 | $49K | −0.4% of holding | +11.8% | −33.4% | 452,412 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 512 @ $24.54 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | +9.7% | −36.7% | 251,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 376 @ $24.54 | $9K | −0.7% of holding | +9.7% | −36.7% | 55,822 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 14,360 @ $19.46 | $279K | −3.0% of holding | +27.3% | −22.6% | 466,772 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | Shields John L. | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $20.78 | $42K | −6.8% of holding | +26.0% | −29.4% | 27,219 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | Neble George R | director | Sale | 671 @ $22.04 | $15K | −1.3% of holding | +24.2% | −29.8% | 52,832 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 5,710 @ $22.20 | $127K | −4.7% of holding | +11.2% | −30.8% | 115,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 644 @ $21.94 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | −29.8% | 251,915 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Sale | 419 @ $21.94 | $9K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | −29.8% | 252,559 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 14,260 @ $24.54 | $350K | −2.8% of holding | −20.7% | −35.9% | 498,420 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 100 @ $23.76 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −20.7% | −35.9% | 512,680 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Shields John L. | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $24.00 | $48K | −6.4% of holding | −9.2% | −36.4% | 29,219 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Brncic Julia | officer | Sale | 1,436 @ $23.51 | $34K | −1.2% of holding | −2.8% | −40.0% | 119,676 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Brainard David | officer | Sale | 1,291 @ $23.50 | $30K | −1.0% of holding | −2.8% | −40.0% | 126,220 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Sale | 191 @ $22.67 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | +4.7% | −40.2% | 56,780 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Mendal Jayme | director | Sale | 14,360 @ $22.86 | $328K | −2.7% of holding | +6.9% | −41.1% | 512,780 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
130 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wilczek Mira | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 170,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wilczek Mira | director | Option exercise | 9,500 | 119,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,173 | 302,068 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,209 | 164,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,147 | 75,708 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Option exercise | 3,156 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Option exercise | 3,156 | 76,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mendal Jayme | director | Withheld for tax | 23,756 | 600,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,603 | 319,217 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,891 | 170,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,538 | 79,191 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Neble George R | director | Award / grant | 9,105 | 60,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | BANSAL SANJU K | director | Award / grant | 9,105 | 471,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DENINGER PAUL F | director | Award / grant | 9,105 | 81,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Shields John L. | director | Award / grant | 9,105 | 34,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wilczek Mira | director | Award / grant | 9,105 | 110,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,174 | 334,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,209 | 179,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,147 | 82,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Brainard David | officer | Option exercise | 3,172 | 190,435 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Brainard David | officer | Option exercise | 3,172 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mendal Jayme | director | Withheld for tax | 23,755 | 624,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,603 | 358,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,891 | 187,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,537 | 84,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mendal Jayme | director | Withheld for tax | 14,639 | 648,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,765 | 366,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,013 | 195,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 488 | 87,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Brainard David | officer | Award / grant | 16,566 | 197,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mendal Jayme | director | Award / grant | 121,108 | 662,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Award / grant | 4,393 | 88,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 47,690 | 372,678 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,189 | 324,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Brainard David | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,216 | 180,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,157 | 84,348 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Brainard David | officer | Award / grant | 80,214 | 181,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Sanborn Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 88,235 | 328,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mendal Jayme | director | Award / grant | 149,733 | 556,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Ayotte Jon | officer | Award / grant | 30,081 | 85,505 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.