Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.95 · now $7.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EVCM has typically landed between $6.24 and $9.78 — a range of −21.5% to +23.0% from the issuance price $7.95.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,287 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EVCM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.95 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.84 (-1.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.2–$8.49
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.24–$9.78
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,287 windows spanning 2021-07-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-12 | −36.7% | −36.7% | +2.2% |
| 2021-12-28 | −36.5% | −36.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-07 | −34.2% | −34.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-12-27 | +61.1% | +0.0% | +61.1% |
| 2025-11-14 | +58.6% | −5.0% | +58.6% |
| 2025-11-18 | +57.1% | −0.7% | +65.6% |
1,287 overlapping windows · 2021-07-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
20%
−1.0%
n=5
Feb
20%
−2.0%
n=5
Mar
60%
+2.7%
n=5
Apr
40%
+0.3%
n=5
May
40%
−3.6%
n=5
Jun
40%
+0.7%
n=5
Jul
80%
+12.1%
n=5
Aug
50%
−2.8%
n=6
Sep
0%
−8.7%
n=6
Oct
60%
+1.3%
n=5
Nov
20%
−11.4%
n=5
Dec
60%
+11.4%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 2,997 @ $8.02 | $24K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,008,128 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 6,354 @ $8.07 | $51K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,011,125 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 5,313 @ $8.03 | $43K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,017,479 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 47,353 @ $8.24 | $390K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,022,792 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 40,906 @ $8.91 | $365K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,070,145 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 23,824 @ $9.21 | $220K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,323,278 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 8,041 @ $9.25 | $74K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,347,102 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-27 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 6,553 @ $9.24 | $61K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,355,143 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 18,316 @ $8.97 | $164K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,361,696 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 3,505 @ $9.06 | $32K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,380,012 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 11,568 @ $9.09 | $105K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,383,517 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 9,142 @ $9.18 | $84K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,395,085 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 13,974 @ $9.57 | $134K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,404,227 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-22 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Sale | 1,228 @ $9.64 | $12K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 221,358 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 16,602 @ $9.63 | $160K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,418,201 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 26,530 @ $9.78 | $259K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,434,803 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 11,558 @ $10.17 | $118K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,461,333 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 9,355 @ $10.17 | $95K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,472,891 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Sale | 3,188 @ $10.16 | $32K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 344,121 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 19,274 @ $10.02 | $193K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,492,091 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 9,845 @ $9.99 | $98K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,482,246 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-17 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Sale | 16,812 @ $10.21 | $172K | −4.6% of holding | −19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 347,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 23,947 @ $10.03 | $240K | −0.4% of holding | −20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,511,365 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Sale | 17,012 @ $10.01 | $170K | −7.1% of holding | −20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 222,586 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 17,285 @ $10.00 | $173K | −0.3% of holding | −23.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,535,312 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 22,392 @ $9.87 | $221K | −0.4% of holding | −35.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,552,597 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 2,410 @ $9.85 | $24K | −0.0% of holding | −35.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,574,989 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 16,790 @ $9.91 | $166K | −0.3% of holding | −32.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,585,861 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 8,462 @ $9.85 | $83K | −0.2% of holding | −32.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,577,399 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $10.20 | $51K | −0.2% of holding | −25.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,996,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.83 | $118K | −0.5% of holding | −33.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,001,679 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-05 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 5,757 @ $11.83 | $68K | −0.1% of holding | −33.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,602,651 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-04 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 13,443 @ $11.85 | $159K | −0.2% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,608,408 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.86 | $119K | −0.5% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,011,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $12.13 | $121K | −0.5% of holding | −33.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,021,679 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 8,709 @ $11.97 | $104K | −0.2% of holding | −28.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,621,851 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-28 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 10,491 @ $12.07 | $127K | −0.2% of holding | −28.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,630,560 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 7,100 @ $11.06 | $79K | −0.1% of holding | −17.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,641,051 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-21 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 12,100 @ $11.27 | $136K | −0.2% of holding | −13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,648,151 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 19,200 @ $10.77 | $207K | −0.3% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,660,251 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-09 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 1,971 @ $10.03 | $20K | −0.1% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,031,679 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 8,742 @ $9.86 | $86K | −0.2% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,679,451 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 1,798 @ $10.00 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,033,650 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 11,269 @ $10.08 | $114K | −0.2% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,688,193 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.10 | $101K | −0.5% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,035,448 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.03 | $100K | −0.5% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,045,448 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 18,950 @ $10.20 | $193K | −0.3% of holding | +18.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,699,462 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.43 | $104K | −0.5% of holding | +18.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,055,448 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 17,295 @ $10.68 | $185K | −0.3% of holding | +15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,718,412 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.34 | $103K | −0.5% of holding | +15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,065,448 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 14,800 @ $9.89 | $146K | −0.3% of holding | +21.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,735,707 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 5,179 @ $10.02 | $52K | −0.2% of holding | +21.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,075,448 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 1,100 @ $9.03 | $10K | −0.0% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,750,507 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 4,644 @ $9.05 | $42K | −0.1% of holding | +34.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,751,607 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 7,517 @ $9.15 | $69K | −0.3% of holding | +14.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,743,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 11,683 @ $9.08 | $106K | −0.4% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,750,804 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 5,658 @ $9.57 | $54K | −0.2% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,803,426 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-03 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 1,052 @ $10.05 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,095,202 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Sale | 13,542 @ $10.53 | $143K | −0.5% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,809,084 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.53 | $105K | −0.5% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,096,254 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,604 | 1,976,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,773 | 1,971,214 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,800 | 336,713 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,606 | 339,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,580 | 218,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,423 | 217,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,484 | 1,983,591 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,170 | 220,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 212,227 | 5,111,051 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,604 | 1,990,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,396 | 342,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 606 | 343,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,067 | 364,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Simonson Richard A | director | Award / grant | 22,346 | 99,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Shenkan Amy Guggenheim | director | Award / grant | 22,346 | 72,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Baldwin-Leonard Penny Rose | director | Award / grant | 22,346 | 99,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Other acquisition | 4,000,000 | 1,148,663 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 13,772 | 2,776,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 13,645 | 2,762,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,773 | 2,080,627 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,529 | 2,086,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,248 | 365,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,956 | 369,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,580 | 241,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,423 | 239,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 13,522 | 2,789,904 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,273 | 2,090,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,170 | 242,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 13,772 | 2,841,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,352 | 2,116,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,397 | 373,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,228 | 243,771 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 399 | 374,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 1,725 | 2,874,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 703 | 375,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Remer Eric Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 11,969 | 2,572,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,352 | 1,980,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Siurek Ryan H | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,727 | 221,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Storey Lisa E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,577 | 170,457 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Feierstein Matthew David | officer | Award / grant | 210,017 | 2,190,606 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.