ESE · TickerCove

ESEESCO Technologies Inc.Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $258.98 · now $258.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ESE has typically landed between $230.33 and $303.46 — a range of −11.1% to +17.2% from the issuance price $258.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($258.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$258.98 · 40% of range

$195.21 low$354.82 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.6%

typical move · IQR 11.3%

−11.1%worst (p90)+17.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ESE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $258.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $258.98 (+0.0%)
typical $263.14 (+1.6%)
middle 50% $248.45–$277.83
90% range $230.33–$303.46

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−40.2%	−40.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-18	−37.0%	−37.3%	+3.0%
2008-09-25	−36.8%	−36.8%	+1.6%
3 best
2008-12-01	+49.2%	+0.0%	+49.2%
2008-11-20	+45.3%	+0.0%	+49.8%
2008-12-02	+42.9%	+0.0%	+42.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.7%

n=20

Feb

55%

+1.8%

n=20

Mar

65%

+2.4%

n=20

Apr

35%

−0.3%

n=20

May

60%

+0.3%

n=20

Jun

65%

+2.2%

n=20

Jul

65%

+1.8%

n=20

Aug

45%

−1.4%

n=20

Sep

60%

+0.1%

n=20

Oct

55%

+2.3%

n=20

Nov

55%

+2.7%

n=20

Dec

70%

+2.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-26	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Sale	1,000 @ $219.00	$219K	−4.3% of holding	−7.7%	+23.0%	22,468	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-26	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Sale	1,000 @ $217.33	$217K	−4.5% of holding	−7.7%	+23.0%	21,468	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-26	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Sale	748 @ $217.47	$163K	−3.5% of holding	−7.7%	+23.0%	20,720	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-26	Sayler Bryan H	director	Sale	401 @ $220.00	$88K	−1.9% of holding	−7.7%	+23.0%	20,254	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-26	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Sale	252 @ $218.15	$55K	−1.2% of holding	−7.7%	+23.0%	20,468	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-25	Sayler Bryan H	director	Sale	9,382 @ $220.00	$2.1M	−31.2% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	20,655	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	Tucker Christopher L	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $220.15	$1.1M	−19.9% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	20,121	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	Schatz David M	officer	Sale	2,498 @ $225.65	$564K	−10.1% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	22,332	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	770 @ $220.62	$170K	−10.0% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	6,954	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	639 @ $221.74	$142K	−7.6% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	7,724	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	584 @ $224.03	$131K	−6.2% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	8,911	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	548 @ $222.86	$122K	−6.1% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	8,363	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	435 @ $219.74	$96K	−6.3% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	6,519	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	400 @ $225.13	$90K	−4.0% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	9,495	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Sale	324 @ $225.93	$73K	−3.2% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	9,895	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Sale	216 @ $224.04	$48K	−0.9% of holding	−10.4%	+21.6%	23,468	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-17	Dewar Patrick M	director	Award / grant	6	23,738	Form 4
2026-07-17	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Award / grant	5	19,843	Form 4
2026-07-17	Valdez Gloria L	director	Award / grant	2	8,141	Form 4
2026-07-17	Campbell David A	director	Award / grant	1	3,631	Form 4
2026-07-17	Hess Janice L.	director	Award / grant	0	987	Form 4
2026-07-17	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Award / grant	0	772	Form 4
2026-07-17	Conner Penelope M	director	Award / grant	0	772	Form 4
2026-05-01	Valdez Gloria L	director	Option exercise	197	3,677	Form 4
2026-05-01	Valdez Gloria L	director	Option exercise	197	8,245	Form 4
2026-05-01	Valdez Gloria L	director	Disposition	106	8,139	Form 4
2026-04-17	Dewar Patrick M	director	Award / grant	6	23,732	Form 4
2026-04-17	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Award / grant	5	19,839	Form 4
2026-04-17	Valdez Gloria L	director	Award / grant	2	8,442	Form 4
2026-04-17	Campbell David A	director	Award / grant	1	3,630	Form 4
2026-04-17	Hess Janice L.	director	Award / grant	0	987	Form 4
2026-04-17	Conner Penelope M	director	Award / grant	0	772	Form 4
2026-04-17	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Award / grant	0	772	Form 4
2026-02-05	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Option exercise	1,349	772	Form 4
2026-02-05	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Option exercise	1,349	21,817	Form 4
2026-02-05	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Option exercise	1,349	7,868	Form 4
2026-02-05	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Option exercise	1,349	19,834	Form 4
2026-02-05	Valdez Gloria L	director	Option exercise	1,349	8,440	Form 4
2026-02-05	Valdez Gloria L	director	Option exercise	1,349	3,480	Form 4
2026-02-05	Hess Janice L.	director	Option exercise	1,349	987	Form 4
2026-02-05	Hess Janice L.	director	Option exercise	1,349	6,972	Form 4
2026-02-05	Conner Penelope M	director	Option exercise	1,349	772	Form 4
2026-02-05	Conner Penelope M	director	Option exercise	1,349	2,054	Form 4
2026-02-05	Hess Janice L.	director	Disposition	0	987	Form 4
2026-02-05	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Disposition	0	19,833	Form 4
2026-02-05	Valdez Gloria L	director	Disposition	0	8,440	Form 4
2026-02-05	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Disposition	0	772	Form 4
2026-02-05	Conner Penelope M	director	Disposition	0	772	Form 4
2026-02-02	Conner Penelope M	director	Award / grant	772	2,121	Form 4
2026-02-02	KHILNANI VINOD M	director	Award / grant	772	2,121	Form 4
2026-02-02	Valdez Gloria L	director	Award / grant	772	9,523	Form 4
2026-02-02	Dewar Patrick M	director	Award / grant	772	23,437	Form 4
2026-02-02	Hess Janice L.	director	Award / grant	772	2,121	Form 4
2026-02-02	PHILLIPPY ROBERT J	director	Award / grant	772	21,183	Form 4
2026-02-02	Campbell David A	director	Award / grant	772	3,415	Form 4
2026-02-02	Dewar Patrick M	director	Award / grant	290	23,726	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i