Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.21 · now $12.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EROC has typically landed between $7.58 and $20.29 — a range of −37.9% to +66.2% from the issuance price $12.21.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
47 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-06-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EROC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $12.21 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.93 (-18.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.06–$12.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.58–$20.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-15 | −37.1% | −37.1% | +6.4% |
| 2026-06-10 | −35.4% | −35.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-29 | −35.2% | −35.2% | +11.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-16 | +64.7% | −11.4% | +64.7% |
| 2026-07-17 | +61.0% | −16.8% | +61.0% |
| 2026-07-29 | +47.2% | +0.0% | +93.5% |
47 overlapping windows · 2026-06-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 372,093 | — | −5.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,996,469 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 93,023 | — | −0.6% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,540,099 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 372,093 | — | −5.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,996,469 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 93,023 | — | −0.6% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,540,099 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 93,023 | — | −0.6% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,540,099 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 372,093 | — | −5.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,996,469 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,041,206 | — | −6.8% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,355,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Amthor Corey | officer | Disposition | 617,442 | 4,088,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Blakely Robert Ian | officer | Disposition | 449,233 | 4,487,528 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTON | director | Award / grant | 13,024 | 13,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | BOYNTON CHARLES D | director | Award / grant | 13,024 | 13,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Brouillette Dan | director | Award / grant | 13,024 | 13,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Patterson Mark R | director | Award / grant | 13,024 | 13,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Kobler Hans | director | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amthor Corey | officer | Disposition | 617,442 | 4,088,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Blakely Robert Ian | officer | Disposition | 449,233 | 4,487,528 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amthor Corey | officer | Disposition | 617,442 | 4,088,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Blakely Robert Ian | officer | Disposition | 449,233 | 4,487,528 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 50,550 | 50,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 372,093 | 5,996,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,023 | 16,540,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 50,550 | 50,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 372,093 | 5,996,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,023 | 16,540,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 50,550 | 50,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 372,093 | 5,996,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 93,023 | 16,540,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 19,350,897 | 19,350,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Energy Impact Partners LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 6,041,206 | 83,355,210 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.