EQTEQT CorporationEnergy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.41 · now $50.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EQT has typically landed between $43.51 and $59.73 — a range of −13.7% to +18.5% from the issuance price $50.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EQT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.51worst · -13.7%$59.73best · +18.5%
  • now $50.41 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.96 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.24–$54.68
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.51–$59.73
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-01-07−47.1%−47.1%+0.0%
2008-09-10−46.1%−46.1%+1.2%
2008-09-11−45.4%−45.4%+2.6%
3 best
2020-03-23+135.2%+0.0%+156.9%
2020-03-20+108.9%−18.7%+108.9%
2020-03-31+106.5%+0.0%+120.3%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$33.2B
market cap
$4.54
EPS (TTM)
11.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$9.1B
'20'25
Net income$2.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr22.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.33
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $50.41$36.49$238.28
  • DCF (intrinsic)$224.37
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$92.03
  • Analyst target · range $72.00–$73.00$72.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$50.41

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.1%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
63%
+5.5%
n=19
Apr
79%
+10.5%
n=19
May
58%
+1.3%
n=19
Jun
42%
−1.3%
n=19
Jul
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Aug
42%
−1.6%
n=19
Sep
53%
−2.8%
n=19
Oct
50%
+0.2%
n=18
Nov
33%
+0.0%
n=18
Dec
44%
−2.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$68$492026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $9.6M — Rice Toby Z.2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $93K — Rice Toby Z.2026-06-05: 2 insider sales, $5.3M — Rice Toby Z. …2026-04-27: 1 insider sale, $246K — BAILEY VICKY A2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $314K — Fenton Sarah2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $491K — Bolen J.E.B.2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Evancho Lesley2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Knop Jeremy2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — James Todd2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $227K — Fenton Sarah2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — Jordan William E.2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $75K — Bolen J.E.B.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $220K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $75K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $3.4M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $246K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $5.4M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $9.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rice Toby Z. — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rice Toby Z. — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rice Toby Z. — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rice Toby Z. — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BAILEY VICKY A — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fenton Sarah — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bolen J.E.B. — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Evancho Lesley — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Knop Jeremy — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer James Todd — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fenton Sarah — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Jordan William E. — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bolen J.E.B. — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Rice Toby Z.directorSale175,328 @ $55.03$9.6M−7.5% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open2,157,865Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-08Rice Toby Z.directorSale1,731 @ $53.46$93K−0.1% of holding−7.3%not yet — horizon still open2,333,193Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05Rice Toby Z.directorSale86,472 @ $54.17$4.7M−3.6% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open2,345,435Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Rice Toby Z.directorSale10,511 @ $55.17$580K−0.4% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open2,334,924Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-27BAILEY VICKY AdirectorSale4,116 @ $59.80$246K−100.0% of holding−10.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16Fenton SarahofficerSale4,876 @ $64.49$314K−8.4% of holding−16.7%−31.0%52,953Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-12Bolen J.E.B.officerSale7,634 @ $64.35$491K−8.4% of holding−14.0%−31.5%83,550Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Evancho LesleyofficerSale20,000 @ $60.69$1.2M−9.8% of holding+2.6%−22.1%184,607Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27Knop JeremyofficerSale20,000 @ $61.65$1.2M−14.7% of holding+12.5%−23.7%116,321Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-23James ToddofficerSale32,514 @ $61.12$2.0M−35.6% of holding+14.7%−21.1%58,796Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-20Fenton SarahofficerSale3,768 @ $60.37$227K−6.7% of holding+12.5%−22.6%52,806Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11Jordan William E.officerSale57,500 @ $60.63$3.5M−10.6% of holding−8.5%−16.4%482,556Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28Bolen J.E.B.officerSale1,422 @ $52.79$75K−2.0% of holding+14.5%+10.6%69,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06BAILEY VICKY AdirectorSale4,259 @ $51.56$220K−100.0% of holding−2.0%+0.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-25Fenton SarahofficerSale12,438 @ $51.94$646K−48.3% of holding−1.3%−0.6%13,297Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-28Knop JeremyofficerSale7,216 @ $51.00$368K−5.9% of holding+2.2%−19.3%115,176Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11KARAM THOMAS FdirectorSale30,844 @ $48.74$1.5M−45.1% of holding+3.2%−13.2%37,551Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-03KARAM THOMAS FdirectorSale30,154 @ $44.83$1.4M−13.0% of holding+6.6%+26.8%201,608Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03KARAM THOMAS FdirectorSale8,760 @ $44.95$394K−100.0% of holding+6.6%+26.8%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03KARAM THOMAS FdirectorSale7,008 @ $44.95$315K−100.0% of holding+6.6%+26.8%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

186 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-27Fenton SarahofficerWithheld for tax3,90449,207Form 4
2026-07-27Bolen J.E.B.officerWithheld for tax3,90479,805Form 4
2026-07-24Knop JeremyofficerWithheld for tax1,011135,807Form 4
2026-07-01Rice Daniel J. IVdirectorAward / grant54131,083Form 4
2026-07-01MCCARTNEY JOHNdirectorAward / grant449,047Form 4
2026-04-27Jordan William E.officerAward / grant133,333133,333Form 4
2026-04-27Jordan William E.officerAward / grant133,334133,334Form 4
2026-04-27James ToddofficerAward / grant66,66666,666Form 4
2026-04-27James ToddofficerAward / grant66,66766,667Form 4
2026-04-27Rice Toby Z.directorAward / grant333,333333,333Form 4
2026-04-27Rice Toby Z.directorAward / grant333,334333,334Form 4
2026-04-27Duran Richard AofficerAward / grant83,33383,333Form 4
2026-04-27Evancho LesleyofficerAward / grant66,66766,667Form 4
2026-04-27Knop JeremyofficerAward / grant266,666266,666Form 4
2026-04-27Knop JeremyofficerAward / grant266,667266,667Form 4
2026-04-27Fenton SarahofficerAward / grant133,333133,333Form 4
2026-04-27Fenton SarahofficerAward / grant133,334133,334Form 4
2026-04-27Bolen J.E.B.officerAward / grant133,333133,333Form 4
2026-04-27Bolen J.E.B.officerAward / grant133,334133,334Form 4
2026-04-27Evancho LesleyofficerAward / grant66,66666,666Form 4
2026-04-27Duran Richard AofficerAward / grant83,33483,334Form 4
2026-04-14Vanderhider Hallie A.directorAward / grant3,32022,806Form 4
2026-04-14Hu Frank C.directorAward / grant3,32025,078Form 4
2026-04-14Jackson Kathryn JeandirectorOption exercise4,11621,815Form 4
2026-04-14Jackson Kathryn JeandirectorOption exercise4,11619,486Form 4
2026-04-14Jackson Kathryn JeandirectorAward / grant3,32022,806Form 4
2026-04-14CANAAN LEE MdirectorAward / grant3,32056,802Form 4
2026-04-14Vanderhider Hallie A.directorOption exercise4,11637,883Form 4
2026-04-14Vanderhider Hallie A.directorOption exercise4,11619,486Form 4
2026-04-14MCCARTNEY JOHNdirectorOption exercise4,11655,953Form 4
2026-04-14MCCARTNEY JOHNdirectorOption exercise4,1160Form 4
2026-04-14MCCARTNEY JOHNdirectorAward / grant3,3203,320Form 4
2026-04-14Rice Daniel J. IVdirectorAward / grant3,32044,564Form 4
2026-04-14BAILEY VICKY AdirectorOption exercise4,1164,116Form 4
2026-04-14BAILEY VICKY AdirectorOption exercise4,1160Form 4
2026-04-14BAILEY VICKY AdirectorAward / grant3,3203,320Form 4
2026-04-14VAGT ROBERT FdirectorAward / grant3,32011,742Form 4
2026-04-14KARAM THOMAS FdirectorOption exercise4,11645,926Form 4
2026-04-14KARAM THOMAS FdirectorOption exercise4,1160Form 4
2026-04-14KARAM THOMAS FdirectorAward / grant3,3203,320Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Thomas H. Kean JrHousepurchase2026-07-152026-06-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-18$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousepurchase2026-06-182026-06-01$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-05$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-22$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-24$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-09$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-24$15–50K
Ritchie John TorresHousepurchase2025-08-202024-09-26$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousesale2025-08-202025-07-11$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.