Issued 2026-09-25 at $1008.08 · now $1008.08 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, EQIX has typically landed between $892.70 and $1116.68 — a range of −11.4% to +10.8% from the issuance price $1008.08.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($1008.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EQIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $1,008 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1,008 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1,025 (+1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $979.07–$1,071
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $892.7–$1,117
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-30 | −34.0% | −43.9% | +6.6% |
| 2008-10-23 | −33.7% | −33.7% | +26.1% |
| 2008-10-31 | −33.0% | −43.7% | +7.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +47.6% | −2.0% | +47.6% |
| 2008-11-21 | +46.1% | +0.0% | +56.4% |
| 2009-03-06 | +43.4% | −1.6% | +48.1% |
4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$-2.29
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$475.02
- Analyst target · range $894.00–$1,250$1,187
- Current price · last close 2026-09-25$1,008
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Paladin Michael Shane | officer | Sale | 307 @ $1035.01 | $318K | −11.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,450 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Paladin Michael Shane | officer | Sale | 150 @ $1018.43 | $153K | −5.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Paladin Michael Shane | officer | Sale | 53 @ $1008.02 | $53K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 135 @ $1075.50 | $145K | −3.2% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,077 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B | director | Sale | 125 @ $1103.58 | $138K | −0.9% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,734 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $1019.28 | $4.1M | −22.4% of holding | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,859 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-08 | MORANDI BRANDI GALVIN | officer | Sale | 3,726 @ $1076.36 | $4.0M | −37.8% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,132 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 800 @ $1054.37 | $843K | −3.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 600 @ $1061.53 | $637K | −2.6% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,284 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 400 @ $1057.59 | $423K | −1.7% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 315 @ $1056.33 | $333K | −1.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 295 @ $1060.99 | $313K | −1.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,884 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 285 @ $1055.25 | $301K | −1.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,894 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 120 @ $1053.45 | $126K | −0.5% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,979 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Sale | 120 @ $1052.25 | $126K | −0.5% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,099 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 31 @ $1069.20 | $33K | −0.5% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,935 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 29 @ $1069.20 | $31K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,911 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 19 @ $1056.96 | $20K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,032 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 18 @ $1056.96 | $19K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,004 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 15 @ $1060.00 | $16K | −0.3% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,995 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 15 @ $1069.20 | $16K | −0.4% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,212 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 15 @ $1056.01 | $16K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,051 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 15 @ $1060.00 | $15K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,968 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 14 @ $1056.01 | $15K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,022 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 13 @ $1063.23 | $14K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,971 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 13 @ $1058.96 | $14K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,010 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 13 @ $1058.96 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,983 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 12 @ $1063.23 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,945 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 12 @ $1053.64 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 11 @ $1062.16 | $12K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,957 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 11 @ $1062.16 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,984 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 11 @ $1053.64 | $12K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,041 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 10 @ $1056.96 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,260 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 9 @ $1058.05 | $10K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,023 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 9 @ $1052.46 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,083 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 8 @ $1060.00 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,241 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 8 @ $1058.05 | $8K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,996 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 8 @ $1056.01 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 8 @ $1052.46 | $8K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,052 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 7 @ $1058.96 | $7K | −0.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,249 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 6 @ $1063.23 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,229 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 6 @ $1053.64 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,281 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 6 @ $1062.16 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,235 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 5 @ $1054.69 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 5 @ $1054.69 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,066 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 4 @ $1058.05 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 4 @ $1052.46 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 3 @ $1066.55 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,966 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 3 @ $1066.55 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,940 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 3 @ $1054.69 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,278 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 2 @ $1064.90 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 2 @ $1064.90 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1066.55 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1064.90 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,228 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1070.47 | $535 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,911 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1070.47 | $535 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,934 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1049.29 | $525 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,092 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 1 @ $1049.29 | $525 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,060 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 0 @ $1070.47 | $268 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,212 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Sale | 0 @ $1049.29 | $262 | −0.0% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Paladin Michael Shane | officer | Option exercise | 510 | 510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Paladin Michael Shane | officer | Option exercise | 510 | 2,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Option exercise | 5,645 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 273 | 819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Fox-Martin Adaire | director | Option exercise | 5,645 | 25,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Option exercise | 364 | 1,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Option exercise | 182 | 546 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Option exercise | 364 | 6,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Pletcher Kurt | officer | Option exercise | 182 | 4,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 273 | 11,061 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Olinger Thomas S | director | Option exercise | 302 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | RUSSO FIDELMA | director | Option exercise | 302 | 640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B | director | Option exercise | 302 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B | director | Option exercise | 302 | 17,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Li Yanbing | director | Option exercise | 255 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | HROMADKO GARY | director | Option exercise | 302 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | HROMADKO GARY | director | Option exercise | 302 | 142,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Olinger Thomas S | director | Option exercise | 302 | 1,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kujawa Rebecca J | director | Option exercise | 170 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | RUSSO FIDELMA | director | Option exercise | 302 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kujawa Rebecca J | director | Option exercise | 170 | 170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Li Yanbing | director | Option exercise | 255 | 255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Li Yanbing | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | CALDWELL NANCI | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Rivera Sandra L | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | HROMADKO GARY | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | RUSSO FIDELMA | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Kujawa Rebecca J | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Olinger Thomas S | director | Award / grant | 241 | 241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | MORANDI BRANDI GALVIN | officer | Gift | 112 | 9,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | LEONETTI OLIVIER | officer | Award / grant | 5,422 | 5,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | LEONETTI OLIVIER | officer | Award / grant | 3,578 | 3,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Abdel Raouf | officer | Option exercise | 584 | 8,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | TAYLOR KEITH D | director | Option exercise | 760 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | TAYLOR KEITH D | director | Award / grant | 760 | 760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | TAYLOR KEITH D | director | Option exercise | 760 | 27,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lin Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 635 | 11,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Miller Simon | officer | Option exercise | 287 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Miller Simon | officer | Award / grant | 287 | 287 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-05 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-17 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-23 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-12-08 | 2025-11-10 | $1–15K |
| Julie Johnson | House | sale | 2025-10-07 | 2025-09-25 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-10-03 | 2025-09-05 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-10-03 | 2025-09-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Ritchie John Torres | House | sale | 2025-08-20 | 2025-07-11 | $1–15K |
| Ritchie John Torres | House | purchase | 2025-08-20 | 2024-09-26 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.