EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.21 · now $49.21 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EQBK has typically landed between $43.73 and $56.16 — a range of −11.1% to +14.1% from the issuance price $49.21.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,705 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.21) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EQBK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.21 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.73worst · -11.1%$56.16best · +14.1%
  • now $49.21 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.54 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.14–$51.93
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.73–$56.16
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,705 windows spanning 2015-11-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−47.0%−47.0%+1.4%
2020-02-13−43.8%−43.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−42.3%−47.7%+0.0%
3 best
2016-11-08+41.6%+0.0%+41.6%
2020-09-23+35.6%−0.2%+35.6%
2016-11-04+35.4%+0.0%+35.4%

2,705 overlapping windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
36%
−3.5%
n=11
Feb
36%
+1.0%
n=11
Mar
45%
−5.1%
n=11
Apr
27%
−0.8%
n=11
May
64%
+1.0%
n=11
Jun
73%
+1.5%
n=11
Jul
55%
+2.6%
n=11
Aug
55%
+1.7%
n=11
Sep
55%
+0.8%
n=11
Oct
70%
+3.5%
n=10
Nov
90%
+6.7%
n=10
Dec
64%
+2.9%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$52$382026-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Rogerson Donald Scott2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $8K — Pass David2026-07-31: 1 insider purchase, $101K — Rogerson Donald Scott2026-07-30: 1 insider sale, $21K — Elliott Brad S2026-07-29: 2 insider sales, $325K — Elliott Brad S, Huber Julie A2026-07-28: 3 insider sales, $897K — Elliott Brad S, Huber Julie A …2026-07-28: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Schlehuber Lisa Ann2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $81K — Reber Brett A2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $5K — Reber Brett A2026-04-29: 1 insider purchase, $92K — Rogerson Donald Scott2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $20K — Knutson Ann2026-02-23: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Sems Richard M2025-11-10: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Borck Leon2025-10-17: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Borck Leon2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $6K — Pass David2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $6K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $10K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $10K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $5K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $20K2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $92K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $5K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $81K2026-07: 2 open-market purchases, $151K2026-07: 6 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $8K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rogerson Donald Scott — Purchase on 2026-08-21, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Pass David — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed same daydirector Rogerson Donald Scott — Purchase on 2026-07-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Elliott Brad S — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Elliott Brad S — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Huber Julie A — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed same daydirector Elliott Brad S — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Elliott Brad S — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Huber Julie A — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schlehuber Lisa Ann — Purchase on 2026-07-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reber Brett A — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed same dayofficer Reber Brett A — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rogerson Donald Scott — Purchase on 2026-04-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Knutson Ann — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sems Richard M — Purchase on 2026-02-23, filed same daydirector Borck Leon — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed same daydirector Borck Leon — Purchase on 2025-10-17, filed 6 days after the tradeofficer Pass David — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Rogerson Donald ScottdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $50.00$100K+24.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,103Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-17Pass DavidofficerSale147 @ $51.31$8K−1.7% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open8,491Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-31Rogerson Donald ScottdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $50.25$101K+32.8% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open8,103Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-30Elliott Brad SdirectorSale416 @ $51.02$21K−0.7% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open55,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-29Elliott Brad SdirectorSale4,165 @ $51.12$213K−7.0% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open55,313Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-29Huber Julie AofficerSale2,197 @ $51.12$112K−3.4% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open62,009Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorSale6,913 @ $51.01$353K−10.2% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open60,672Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorSale5,359 @ $51.06$274K−8.8% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open55,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Huber Julie AofficerSale5,303 @ $51.05$271K−7.9% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open62,009Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Schlehuber Lisa AnndirectorPurchase989 @ $50.98$50K+89.7% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open2,092Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11Reber Brett AofficerSale1,686 @ $47.85$81K−4.7% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open34,495Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-06Reber Brett AofficerSale100 @ $46.55$5K−0.3% of holding+1.1%not yet — horizon still open36,181Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-29Rogerson Donald ScottdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $45.93$92K+66.7% of holding−4.5%not yet — horizon still open5,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-19Knutson AnnofficerSale450 @ $43.93$20K−5.1% of holding−3.4%not yet — horizon still open8,364Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-23Sems Richard MofficerPurchase110 @ $45.13$5K+0.4% of holding+1.1%−1.1%26,508Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-10Borck LeondirectorPurchase250 @ $41.57$10K+2.6% of holding+10.5%−0.9%9,905Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-17Borck LeondirectorPurchase250 @ $40.32$10K+2.7% of holding+1.7%+6.7%9,655Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-08-15Pass DavidofficerSale145 @ $39.21$6K−2.1% of holding+0.7%+11.2%6,852Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-06Huber Julie AofficerSale4,000 @ $39.10$156K−6.5% of holding−7.3%−16.4%57,688Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27Huber Julie AofficerSale1,024 @ $42.80$44K−1.6% of holding−2.0%−14.8%61,688Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27Reber Brett AofficerSale907 @ $42.80$39K−2.7% of holding−2.0%−14.8%32,917Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-18Navratil Chris MofficerSale40 @ $43.44$2K−0.2% of holding−0.0%−13.4%22,264Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-18Slupkowski KrzysztofofficerSale17 @ $43.44$738−0.1% of holding−0.0%−13.4%12,067Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-31Sems Richard MofficerSale611 @ $43.03$26K−3.1% of holding−2.5%−20.0%19,082Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Huber Julie AofficerSale288 @ $43.03$12K−0.5% of holding−2.5%−20.0%61,196Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Reber Brett AofficerSale285 @ $43.03$12K−0.9% of holding−2.5%−20.0%32,437Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Pass DavidofficerSale154 @ $43.03$7K−2.2% of holding−2.5%−20.0%6,778Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Knutson AnnofficerSale140 @ $43.03$6K−2.2% of holding−2.5%−20.0%6,232Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Slupkowski KrzysztofofficerSale112 @ $43.03$5K−0.9% of holding−2.5%−20.0%12,084Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30Huber Julie AofficerSale317 @ $43.54$14K−0.6% of holding+0.5%−19.4%56,720Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Reber Brett AofficerSale307 @ $43.54$13K−1.0% of holding+0.5%−19.4%29,088Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Slupkowski KrzysztofofficerSale64 @ $43.54$3K−0.6% of holding+0.5%−19.4%10,406Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-29Slupkowski KrzysztofofficerSale83 @ $44.26$4K−0.8% of holding−1.2%−19.7%10,470Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-28Huber Julie AofficerSale278 @ $43.86$12K−0.5% of holding−1.0%−20.2%57,037Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28Reber Brett AofficerSale202 @ $43.86$9K−0.7% of holding−1.0%−20.2%29,395Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28Slupkowski KrzysztofofficerSale49 @ $43.86$2K−0.5% of holding−1.0%−20.2%10,553Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-04Borck LeondirectorPurchase5,600 @ $44.50$249K+46.9% of holding−11.7%−16.4%17,541Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04Loving James SdirectorPurchase4,500 @ $44.50$200K+40.1% of holding−11.7%−16.4%15,708Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04Sems Richard MofficerPurchase1,100 @ $44.50$49K+10.1% of holding−11.7%−16.4%12,009Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04Koger Randee RdirectorPurchase500 @ $44.50$22K+0.8% of holding−11.7%−16.4%61,101Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

132 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-30Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise41655,729Form 4
2026-07-30Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise4160Form 4
2026-07-29Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise4,16559,478Form 4
2026-07-29Huber Julie AofficerOption exercise2,19764,206Form 4
2026-07-29Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise4,165416Form 4
2026-07-29Huber Julie AofficerOption exercise2,1970Form 4
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise6,91367,585Form 4
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise5,35960,672Form 4
2026-07-28Huber Julie AofficerOption exercise5,30367,312Form 4
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise6,9134,581Form 4
2026-07-28Huber Julie AofficerOption exercise5,3032,197Form 4
2026-07-28Elliott Brad SdirectorOption exercise5,3590Form 4
2026-07-23Maland Jerry PdirectorGift3,800109,228Form 4
2026-06-11Maland Jerry PdirectorGift2,22817,863Form 4
2026-06-09Borck LeondirectorGift1,0359,239Form 4
2026-06-09Borck LeondirectorGift1,03595,940Form 4
2026-05-18Cook Kevin EarldirectorGift1,03523,978Form 4
2026-05-18Cook Kevin EarldirectorGift1,0351,103Form 4
2026-05-01Maland Jerry PdirectorAward / grant1,10320,091Form 4
2026-05-01Everett Junetta MdirectorAward / grant1,10314,141Form 4
2026-05-01Hutton Benjamen MdirectorAward / grant1,1035,943Form 4
2026-05-01Borck LeondirectorAward / grant1,10310,274Form 4
2026-05-01Rogerson Donald ScottdirectorAward / grant1,1036,103Form 4
2026-05-01Schlehuber Lisa AnndirectorAward / grant1,1031,103Form 4
2026-05-01Fergeson Clint KendricdirectorAward / grant1,1032,005Form 4
2026-05-01Cook Kevin EarldirectorAward / grant1,1032,138Form 4
2026-05-01PENNER SHAWN DAVIDdirectorAward / grant1,103139,081Form 4
2026-05-01Loving James SdirectorAward / grant1,10317,329Form 4
2026-05-01Gaeddert Gregory LdirectorAward / grant3,7263,726Form 4
2026-03-02Elliott Brad SdirectorWithheld for tax5,51755,648Form 4
2026-03-02Huber Julie AofficerWithheld for tax1,10762,009Form 4
2026-03-02Reber Brett AofficerWithheld for tax1,07036,281Form 4
2026-03-02Elliott Brad SdirectorWithheld for tax33555,313Form 4
2026-02-25Reber Brett AofficerAward / grant1,25937,483Form 4
2026-02-25Elliott Brad SdirectorAward / grant4,29561,612Form 4
2026-02-25Huber Julie AofficerAward / grant1,30263,253Form 4
2026-02-25Navratil Chris MofficerAward / grant54728,374Form 4
2026-02-24Borck LeondirectorGift85,00094,905Form 4
2026-02-09Kossover Gregory HdirectorAward / grant2,10668,281Form 4
2026-02-09Kossover Gregory HdirectorAward / grant2,10670,387Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.