Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.78 · now $26.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EPC has typically landed between $22.96 and $30.54 — a range of −14.3% to +14.1% from the issuance price $26.78.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EPC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $26.78 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.68 (-0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.31–$28.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.96–$30.54
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −47.9% | −47.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-14 | −44.9% | −44.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-22 | −44.6% | −44.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-28 | +60.5% | +0.0% | +60.5% |
| 2008-11-20 | +57.7% | +0.0% | +57.7% |
| 2026-05-27 | +57.0% | −2.0% | +57.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | DUNHAM JOHN M | officer | Sale | 333 @ $17.21 | $6K | −100.0% of holding | −3.5% | −11.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-09 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Sale | 4,402 | — | −10.2% of holding | −11.4% | −32.8% | 38,895 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Sale | 4,402 | — | −10.2% of holding | −11.4% | −32.8% | 38,895 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | SACHDEV RAKESH | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Corbin George | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Sit Swan | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | HUNTER JOHN C III | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Hendra Carla C | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Waring Gary | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Black Robert William | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Stahl Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 7,817 | 7,817 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Withheld for tax | 798 | 29,034 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 2,296 | 4,590 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 2,296 | 29,832 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | Langley LaTanya | officer | Award / grant | 24,270 | 24,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Award / grant | 103,420 | 103,420 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Award / grant | 26,476 | 26,476 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | SPENCE JESSICA | officer | Award / grant | 26,476 | 26,476 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | DUNHAM JOHN M | officer | Award / grant | 3,586 | 3,586 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-14 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Award / grant | 15,445 | 15,445 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Withheld for tax | 27,167 | 365,818 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Langley LaTanya | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,873 | 19,667 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 2,754 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,676 | 46,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,924 | 48,565 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Withheld for tax | 958 | 27,536 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Option exercise | 58,612 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Option exercise | 5,773 | 49,016 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Option exercise | 4,149 | 50,489 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Option exercise | 5,773 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Option exercise | 4,149 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Option exercise | 58,612 | 392,985 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Langley LaTanya | officer | Option exercise | 5,773 | 22,540 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Langley LaTanya | officer | Option exercise | 5,773 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 2,754 | 28,494 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Withheld for tax | 5,830 | 334,373 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Langley LaTanya | officer | Withheld for tax | 814 | 16,767 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Hibbert Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 758 | 43,243 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Withheld for tax | 272 | 25,740 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 780 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Option exercise | 5,830 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Option exercise | 12,578 | 340,203 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | WEISSMAN FRANCESCA | officer | Option exercise | 780 | 26,012 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.