Issued 2026-09-16 at $117.17 · now $117.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EPAM has typically landed between $89.93 and $141.87 — a range of −23.2% to +21.1% from the issuance price $117.17.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,639 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-02-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($117.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where EPAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $117.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $117.17 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $114.84 (-2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $103.97–$125.7
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $89.93–$141.87
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-03 | −60.6% | −60.6% | +7.9% |
| 2022-02-04 | −58.8% | −61.5% | +5.5% |
| 2022-02-08 | −58.6% | −61.7% | +4.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-03-10 | +63.5% | +0.0% | +63.5% |
| 2022-03-07 | +61.6% | +0.0% | +75.7% |
| 2012-02-27 | +54.5% | +0.0% | +54.5% |
3,639 overlapping windows · 2012-02-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Abrahams Gary C | officer | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +2.1% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,784 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,385 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Rockwell Edward | officer | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +0.5% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,123 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,237 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Fejes Balazs | director | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,692 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Purchase | 78 @ $96.71 | $7K | +0.3% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,312 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Shnayder Boris | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $207.00 | $1.0M | −24.2% of holding | −1.4% | −63.4% | 15,645 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Abrahams Gary C | officer | Sale | 600 @ $179.29 | $108K | −18.1% of holding | +14.1% | −53.3% | 2,720 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Sale | 2,465 @ $181.80 | $448K | −6.1% of holding | +16.3% | −54.9% | 38,124 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Sale | 35 @ $181.72 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | +16.3% | −54.9% | 40,589 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-31 | Rockwell Edward | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.6% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 9,674 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Abrahams Gary C | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +1.7% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 3,320 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 31,431 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Fejes Balazs | director | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 24,863 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Shnayder Boris | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.4% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 15,645 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.3% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 20,445 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $134.69 | $7K | +0.5% of holding | +18.1% | −39.7% | 12,311 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-21 | Yezhkov Sergey | officer | Sale | 1,511 @ $150.27 | $227K | −91.2% of holding | +18.0% | −28.3% | 146 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Yezhkov Sergey | officer | Sale | 10,079 @ $150.86 | $1.5M | −61.3% of holding | +5.1% | −9.3% | 6,352 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Shnayder Boris | officer | Sale | 10,500 @ $183.97 | $1.9M | −40.3% of holding | −8.7% | −13.7% | 15,534 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-30 | Abrahams Gary C | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +1.8% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 3,265 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 31,376 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Fejes Balazs | director | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.2% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 24,808 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.5% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 12,256 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Rockwell Edward | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.6% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 9,619 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.3% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 20,390 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Shnayder Boris | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.4% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 15,590 | Form 4 · filed 194 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Yezhkov Sergey | officer | Purchase | 56 @ $133.37 | $7K | +0.3% of holding | +4.9% | −20.9% | 17,609 | Form 4 · filed 125 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Yezhkov Sergey | officer | Sale | 18,000 @ $199.07 | $3.6M | −56.3% of holding | −14.6% | −28.0% | 13,949 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Fejes Balazs | director | Sale | 5,400 @ $200.00 | $1.1M | −31.8% of holding | −12.8% | −24.4% | 11,572 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Sale | 1,078 @ $257.00 | $277K | −4.4% of holding | −14.6% | −39.8% | 23,382 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Sale | 6,689 @ $256.53 | $1.7M | −34.0% of holding | −6.5% | −31.6% | 13,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Sale | 464 @ $257.00 | $119K | −1.9% of holding | −6.5% | −31.6% | 24,372 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Sale | 69 @ $256.69 | $18K | −0.3% of holding | −6.5% | −31.6% | 19,689 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
141 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fejes Balazs | director | Withheld for tax | 412 | 48,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Roman Eugene | director | Withheld for tax | 673 | 3,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Segert Robert E. | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 9,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Smart Jill | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 11,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Robb Karl | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 9,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Shan Helen L. | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 8,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Aguirre DeAnne | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 5,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Roman Eugene | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 4,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vargo Ronald P | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 13,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Mayoras Richard Michael | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 12,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | McMahon Chandra | director | Award / grant | 2,132 | 5,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Award / grant | 21,695 | 44,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Withheld for tax | 30,082 | 1,333,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Option exercise | 41,026 | 1,363,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Option exercise | 41,026 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Withheld for tax | 2,413 | 1,307,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,168 | 27,689 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Withheld for tax | 1,135 | 1,310,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Withheld for tax | 1,129 | 1,309,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fejes Balazs | director | Withheld for tax | 1,074 | 22,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,037 | 29,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dobkin Arkadiy | director | Withheld for tax | 883 | 1,311,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Withheld for tax | 667 | 18,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 549 | 29,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 546 | 28,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Withheld for tax | 510 | 11,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fejes Balazs | director | Withheld for tax | 505 | 23,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fejes Balazs | director | Withheld for tax | 502 | 23,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Peterson Jason D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 442 | 30,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fejes Balazs | director | Withheld for tax | 406 | 24,457 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shekhter Elaina | officer | Withheld for tax | 327 | 12,920 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Withheld for tax | 314 | 19,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Withheld for tax | 312 | 19,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Solomon Lawrence F | officer | Withheld for tax | 288 | 20,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Rockwell Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 255 | 9,098 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Withheld for tax | 240 | 11,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Withheld for tax | 239 | 11,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dvorkin Viktar | officer | Withheld for tax | 228 | 12,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shekhter Elaina | officer | Withheld for tax | 154 | 13,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shekhter Elaina | officer | Withheld for tax | 153 | 13,247 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-05-08 | 2026-04-14 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-24 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-10-03 | 2025-09-29 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-09-12 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-08-13 | 2025-07-22 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-07-09 | 2025-06-23 | $1–15K |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | sale | 2025-06-22 | 2025-05-12 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.