EOGEOG Resources, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $144.93 · now $144.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, EOG has typically landed between $128.75 and $167.27 — a range of −11.2% to +15.4% from the issuance price $144.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($144.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where EOG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $144.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$128.75worst · -11.2%$167.27best · +15.4%
  • now $144.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $146.34 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $138.04–$154.64
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $128.75–$167.27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−60.1%−60.1%+3.7%
2020-02-13−58.9%−58.9%+2.1%
2020-02-14−58.8%−58.8%+3.1%
3 best
2020-10-28+58.2%+0.0%+67.4%
2020-10-26+55.8%−6.9%+55.8%
2020-10-27+53.3%−6.0%+57.4%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$78.0B
market cap
$10.16
EPS (TTM)
14.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$22.6B
'20'25
Net income$5.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr22.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr16.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.28
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $144.93$109.30$307.96
  • DCF (intrinsic)$294.26
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$205.96
  • Analyst target · range $123.00–$196.00$156.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$144.93

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
72%
+3.6%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.4%
n=19
Mar
84%
+2.3%
n=19
Apr
63%
+4.9%
n=19
May
32%
−0.5%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Aug
47%
−1.3%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Oct
50%
+2.5%
n=18
Nov
61%
+3.4%
n=18
Dec
50%
−1.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$154$992026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Donaldson Michael P2026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $5.5M — Yacob Ezra Y2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $257K — CRISP CHARLES R2026-03-31: 1 insider sale, $857K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $583K — Janssen Ann D.2026-03-12: 2 insider sales, $349K — Janssen Ann D. …2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $260K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $225K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $250K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2025-12-31: 1 insider sale, $211K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $212K — Leitzell Jeffrey R.2025-08-15: 3 insider sales, $191K — CRISP CHARLES R …2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $191K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $212K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $211K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $250K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $257K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $5.5M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Donaldson Michael P — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Yacob Ezra Y — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CRISP CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed same dayofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2026-03-31, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Janssen Ann D. — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Janssen Ann D. — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Janssen Ann D. — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Leitzell Jeffrey R. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CRISP CHARLES R — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CRISP CHARLES R — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CRISP CHARLES R — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Donaldson Michael PofficerSale7,336 @ $148.00$1.1M−6.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open100,558Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-24Yacob Ezra YdirectorSale35,942 @ $152.10$5.5M−12.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open242,451Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28CRISP CHARLES RdirectorSale1,887 @ $136.17$257K−2.9% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open63,160Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-31Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale5,698 @ $150.32$857K−6.1% of holding−12.5%not yet — horizon still open88,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-19Janssen Ann D.officerSale4,161 @ $140.04$583K−4.0% of holding−13.9%not yet — horizon still open100,246Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12Janssen Ann D.officerSale1,422 @ $133.76$190K−1.4% of holding−0.3%−2.9%100,246Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12Janssen Ann D.officerSale1,175 @ $134.99$159K−1.2% of holding−0.3%−2.9%100,246Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-03Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale2,000 @ $130.00$260K−2.2% of holding+13.1%+5.1%88,045Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale1,774 @ $126.57$225K−1.9% of holding+17.4%+2.0%90,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-19Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale2,000 @ $125.00$250K−3.2% of holding+17.0%+12.7%61,481Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-31Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale2,000 @ $105.68$211K−3.5% of holding+2.2%+14.6%54,979Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-30Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale1,889 @ $112.05$212K−3.2% of holding−7.7%+28.7%56,966Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-15CRISP CHARLES RdirectorSale902 @ $119.98$108K−1.4% of holding−1.0%−4.2%63,142Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-15CRISP CHARLES RdirectorSale598 @ $119.99$72K−0.9% of holding−1.0%−4.2%62,544Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-15CRISP CHARLES RdirectorSale89 @ $120.02$11K−0.1% of holding−1.0%−4.2%62,455Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-01Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale1 @ $119.65$120−0.0% of holding−2.5%−23.1%45,738Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale3,951 @ $119.65$473K−8.0% of holding−0.5%−22.9%45,739Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerPurchase4 @ $107.97$432+0.0% of holding−1.1%−22.3%56,973Form 4 · filed 173 days after the trade
2025-04-14Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerPurchase3 @ $107.64$323+0.0% of holding−0.6%−20.4%56,969Form 4 · filed 196 days after the trade
2025-04-01Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale4,000 @ $127.76$511K−7.7% of holding−12.4%−32.3%47,732Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-01Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale37 @ $127.89$5K−0.1% of holding−12.4%−32.3%51,732Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-31Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerSale4,000 @ $120.89$484K−8.6% of holding+1.9%−7.4%42,703Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

177 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Distefano Laura B.officerWithheld for tax97423,271Form 4
2026-07-31DANIELS ROBERT PdirectorAward / grant44635,199Form 4
2026-07-31Kerr Michael T.directorAward / grant36523,296Form 4
2026-07-31CLARK JANET FdirectorAward / grant31449,555Form 4
2026-07-31CRISP CHARLES RdirectorAward / grant28363,443Form 4
2026-07-31Donaldson Michael PofficerAward / grant148107,894Form 4
2026-07-31GAUT C CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant14323,063Form 4
2026-07-31Dugle Lynn AdirectorAward / grant427,696Form 4
2026-07-31Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerAward / grant488,054Form 4
2026-07-31Yacob Ezra YdirectorAward / grant2278,393Form 4
2026-06-30Donaldson Michael PofficerAward / grant233107,746Form 4
2026-06-30Janssen Ann D.officerAward / grant233100,479Form 4
2026-06-30Yacob Ezra YdirectorAward / grant163278,390Form 4
2026-05-27Dugle Lynn AdirectorAward / grant577,654Form 4
2026-05-27Kerr Michael T.directorAward / grant5722,931Form 4
2026-05-27DANIELS ROBERT PdirectorAward / grant5734,752Form 4
2026-05-26CRISP CHARLES RdirectorAward / grant1,54165,047Form 4
2026-05-26CHANDLER JOHN DdirectorAward / grant1,5412,367Form 4
2026-05-26CLARK JANET FdirectorAward / grant1,54149,241Form 4
2026-05-26DANIELS ROBERT PdirectorAward / grant1,54134,695Form 4
2026-05-26Dugle Lynn AdirectorAward / grant1,5417,597Form 4
2026-05-26Kerr Michael T.directorAward / grant1,54122,874Form 4
2026-05-26GAUT C CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant1,54122,919Form 4
2026-05-26ROBERTSON JULIE JdirectorAward / grant1,54117,150Form 4
2026-04-30DANIELS ROBERT PdirectorAward / grant45533,155Form 4
2026-04-30Kerr Michael T.directorAward / grant37021,334Form 4
2026-04-30CLARK JANET FdirectorAward / grant33047,701Form 4
2026-04-30CRISP CHARLES RdirectorAward / grant29763,507Form 4
2026-04-30Donaldson Michael PofficerAward / grant155107,514Form 4
2026-04-30GAUT C CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant13721,379Form 4
2026-04-30Dugle Lynn AdirectorAward / grant306,057Form 4
2026-04-30Leitzell Jeffrey R.officerAward / grant488,050Form 4
2026-04-30Yacob Ezra YdirectorAward / grant3278,227Form 4
2026-04-30CLARK JANET FdirectorDisposition147,700Form 4
2026-04-30Kerr Michael T.directorDisposition121,333Form 4
2026-04-30Dugle Lynn AdirectorDisposition16,056Form 4
2026-04-30CRISP CHARLES RdirectorDisposition163,506Form 4
2026-04-30DANIELS ROBERT PdirectorDisposition133,154Form 4
2026-04-30GAUT C CHRISTOPHERdirectorDisposition121,378Form 4
2026-04-30Donaldson Michael PofficerDisposition0107,513Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-10$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Katie BrittSenatepurchase2026-01-262025-04-14$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-01-152025-12-18$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-12-112025-11-13$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-09-112025-08-14$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-04-282025-04-08$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-03-272025-02-25$1–15K
John JamesHousesale2024-09-062024-09-04$1–15K
John JamesHousepurchase2024-09-022023-11-10$1–15K
Carol Devine MillerHousepurchase2023-12-072023-11-03$15–50K
Robert J. WittmanHousesale2023-10-192023-09-28$1–15K
Rick LarsenHousesale2023-05-262021-07-01$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-01-242022-01-14$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.