Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.92 · now $2.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ENVX has typically landed between $1.91 and $4.39 — a range of −34.5% to +50.4% from the issuance price $2.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,410 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-01-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ENVX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.78 (-4.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.17–$3.39
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.91–$4.39
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-12-28 | −48.6% | −48.6% | +2.5% |
| 2022-10-04 | −48.4% | −48.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-05 | −45.9% | −47.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-15 | +150.1% | +0.0% | +150.1% |
| 2022-07-26 | +141.7% | +0.0% | +145.2% |
| 2022-07-18 | +139.8% | −2.2% | +139.8% |
1,410 overlapping windows · 2021-01-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Truong Kristina | officer | Sale | 2,296 @ $7.31 | $17K | −1.2% of holding | −8.3% | −33.9% | 196,748 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-08 | Marathe Ajay | officer | Sale | 18,614 @ $13.00 | $242K | −1.8% of holding | −28.3% | −53.4% | 1,002,684 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Marathe Ajay | officer | Sale | 120,000 @ $12.01 | $1.4M | −10.5% of holding | +1.0% | −49.7% | 1,027,259 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Rodgers Thurman J | director | Sale | 1,259,211 @ $0.60 | $756K | −100.0% of holding | +0.1% | −53.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Rodgers Thurman J | director | Sale | 655,255 @ $1.27 | $832K | −34.2% of holding | −2.2% | −51.5% | 1,259,211 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Truong Kristina | officer | Sale | 4,358 @ $1.62 | $7K | −100.0% of holding | −2.2% | −51.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | ATKINS BETSY S | director | Sale | 3,309 @ $1.60 | $5K | −100.0% of holding | −10.9% | −48.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Malchow Joseph Ian | director | Sale | 58,437 @ $1.70 | $99K | −100.0% of holding | −15.4% | −48.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Sale | 30,187 @ $1.68 | $51K | −100.0% of holding | −15.4% | −48.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | ATKINS BETSY S | director | Sale | 10,904 @ $1.51 | $16K | −76.7% of holding | −15.4% | −48.8% | 3,309 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Malchow Joseph Ian | director | Sale | 628 @ $1.70 | $1K | −100.0% of holding | −15.4% | −48.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Malchow Joseph Ian | director | Sale | 185 @ $1.70 | $315 | −100.0% of holding | −15.4% | −48.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Reichow Gregory | director | Sale | 8,129 @ $6.57 | $53K | −100.0% of holding | +19.7% | +67.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Sale | 300,000 @ $9.35 | $2.8M | −12.8% of holding | −12.5% | −1.7% | 2,045,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
286 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,014 | 307,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 253 | 308,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 936 | 589,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Benton Ryan A | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,093 | 903,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,821 | 590,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,626 | 308,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Truong Kristina | officer | Award / grant | 12,512 | 315,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Award / grant | 18,546 | 599,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Benton Ryan A | officer | Award / grant | 19,060 | 913,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,221 | 581,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,015 | 302,881 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 253 | 303,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 4,300 | 2,958,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 936 | 583,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Vyvoda Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,579 | 942,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Vyvoda Michael | officer | Award / grant | 23,310 | 955,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Vyvoda Michael | officer | Award / grant | 932,400 | 932,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,221 | 584,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 17,651 | 2,962,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Benton Ryan A | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,824 | 894,556 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,015 | 304,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 253 | 305,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 13,658 | 2,984,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 4,301 | 2,980,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,359 | 586,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,680 | 305,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 936 | 590,051 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 638 | 307,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 30,765 | 2,998,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 15,568 | 3,029,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Benton Ryan A | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,988 | 914,380 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,032 | 590,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,395 | 307,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,336 | 598,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,224 | 312,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chakravarthy Arthi | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,221 | 601,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Withheld for tax | 17,650 | 3,044,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Truong Kristina | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,015 | 314,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Rodgers Thurman J | director | Award / grant | 29,104 | 34,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | GUTMANN BERNARD | director | Award / grant | 29,104 | 99,063 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.