Issued 2026-09-16 at $177.85 · now $177.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ENSG has typically landed between $161.59 and $201.53 — a range of −9.1% to +13.3% from the issuance price $177.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,720 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-11-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($177.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ENSG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $177.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $177.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $179.5 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $170.63–$188.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $161.59–$201.53
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,720 windows spanning 2007-11-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −52.9% | −52.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-14 | −46.5% | −52.0% | +0.4% |
| 2020-02-18 | −44.4% | −52.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-07-15 | +46.7% | +0.0% | +46.7% |
| 2008-07-14 | +43.8% | +0.0% | +43.8% |
| 2008-07-16 | +43.6% | −0.7% | +44.0% |
4,720 overlapping windows · 2007-11-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Feb
53%
+3.0%
n=19
Mar
74%
+4.1%
n=19
Apr
37%
−2.5%
n=19
May
68%
+3.9%
n=19
Jun
63%
+3.5%
n=19
Jul
79%
+4.5%
n=19
Aug
53%
+1.4%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.1%
n=19
Oct
61%
+2.0%
n=18
Nov
72%
+5.1%
n=18
Dec
58%
+1.6%
n=19
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Sale | 200 @ $185.00 | $37K | −0.8% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Sale | 175 @ $181.88 | $32K | −0.7% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,877 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Agwunobi John O | director | Sale | 392 @ $171.06 | $67K | −4.0% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Parkinson Mark Vincent | director | Sale | 100 @ $168.12 | $17K | −2.5% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $164.28 | $115K | −3.2% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,352 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $182.21 | $128K | −3.1% of holding | −13.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,052 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Agwunobi John O | director | Sale | 392 @ $199.97 | $78K | −4.0% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,295 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Parkinson Mark Vincent | director | Sale | 100 @ $196.60 | $20K | −2.9% of holding | −15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $196.65 | $138K | −3.1% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,152 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $213.02 | $149K | −3.0% of holding | −1.6% | −32.5% | 22,852 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | Uychiat Pison Marivic | director | Sale | 67 @ $204.92 | $14K | −0.5% of holding | +0.8% | −26.4% | 14,340 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-19 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 500 @ $210.23 | $105K | −1.5% of holding | +2.7% | −24.1% | 32,779 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Uychiat Pison Marivic | director | Sale | 83 @ $211.02 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | +2.7% | −24.1% | 14,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Shaw Daren | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $213.43 | $213K | −4.0% of holding | −0.4% | −27.0% | 23,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Sale | 375 @ $198.00 | $74K | −1.6% of holding | +8.1% | −21.1% | 22,852 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-09 | Parkinson Mark Vincent | director | Sale | 100 @ $198.00 | $20K | −3.3% of holding | +8.1% | −21.1% | 2,900 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 2,268 @ $196.11 | $445K | −0.8% of holding | +7.9% | −19.5% | 272,989 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 2,205 @ $196.07 | $432K | −0.8% of holding | +7.9% | −19.5% | 275,257 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 100 @ $197.21 | $20K | −0.0% of holding | +7.9% | −19.5% | 272,889 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 2,072 @ $196.01 | $406K | −0.7% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 279,784 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 1,742 @ $194.96 | $340K | −0.6% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 281,856 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 1,595 @ $196.87 | $314K | −0.6% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 278,189 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 727 @ $197.68 | $144K | −0.3% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 277,462 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 728 @ $185.22 | $135K | −0.3% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 284,992 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 644 @ $193.52 | $125K | −0.2% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 283,598 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 550 @ $192.09 | $106K | −0.2% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 284,242 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 200 @ $187.28 | $37K | −0.1% of holding | +6.4% | −21.8% | 284,792 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $171.54 | $120K | −2.9% of holding | +24.4% | −9.4% | 23,552 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Agwunobi John O | director | Sale | 146 @ $178.31 | $26K | −1.6% of holding | +17.8% | −14.0% | 9,087 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Agwunobi John O | director | Sale | 246 @ $179.82 | $44K | −2.6% of holding | +14.4% | −15.5% | 9,233 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $173.59 | $122K | −2.9% of holding | −1.1% | −11.7% | 23,652 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $180.00 | $360K | −5.8% of holding | −4.7% | −17.8% | 32,779 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 5,846 @ $175.52 | $1.0M | −14.5% of holding | −0.4% | −21.3% | 34,333 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 1,554 @ $176.21 | $274K | −4.5% of holding | −0.4% | −21.3% | 32,779 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $174.11 | $174K | −2.4% of holding | −0.4% | −21.3% | 40,179 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $184.27 | $129K | −2.8% of holding | −5.6% | −20.7% | 24,352 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Burton Spencer | officer | Sale | 3,690 @ $180.00 | $664K | −6.7% of holding | −5.4% | −19.5% | 51,165 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Burton Spencer | officer | Sale | 2,209 @ $180.00 | $398K | −4.1% of holding | −3.4% | −16.9% | 51,165 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Shaw Daren | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $178.57 | $179K | −4.0% of holding | −3.4% | −16.9% | 24,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Burton Spencer | officer | Sale | 5,899 @ $177.30 | $1.0M | −10.3% of holding | −1.4% | −11.5% | 51,165 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 11,911 @ $180.10 | $2.1M | −14.4% of holding | −2.1% | −9.9% | 70,899 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 9,918 @ $181.02 | $1.8M | −14.0% of holding | −2.1% | −9.9% | 60,981 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 4,100 @ $182.11 | $747K | −6.7% of holding | −2.1% | −9.9% | 56,881 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 1,986 @ $179.44 | $356K | −2.3% of holding | −2.1% | −9.9% | 82,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 400 @ $182.95 | $73K | −0.7% of holding | −2.1% | −9.9% | 56,481 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Uychiat Pison Marivic | director | Sale | 73 @ $182.08 | $13K | −0.5% of holding | −5.0% | −12.8% | 14,490 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-06 | Agwunobi John O | director | Sale | 246 @ $188.87 | $46K | −2.7% of holding | −6.1% | −18.2% | 8,879 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $180.64 | $126K | −2.7% of holding | −2.7% | −12.3% | 25,052 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $172.00 | $120K | −2.7% of holding | +1.7% | +14.1% | 25,152 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $172.06 | $120K | −2.5% of holding | −3.5% | +15.4% | 27,052 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Shaw Daren | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $166.17 | $166K | −3.9% of holding | −3.7% | +21.2% | 24,526 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Port Barry | director | Sale | 2,399 @ $160.00 | $384K | −4.0% of holding | +3.5% | +14.6% | 57,030 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $150.00 | $105K | −2.5% of holding | +10.7% | +1.3% | 27,752 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Sale | 425 @ $149.23 | $63K | −1.9% of holding | +12.5% | +4.4% | 22,027 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 5,579 @ $147.79 | $825K | −2.0% of holding | +5.8% | +8.3% | 272,492 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $148.90 | $372K | −0.9% of holding | +5.8% | +8.3% | 269,992 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Sale | 300 @ $150.07 | $45K | −0.1% of holding | +5.8% | +8.3% | 269,692 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-01 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $153.48 | $107K | −2.5% of holding | −2.9% | +5.4% | 27,852 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Sale | 4,719 @ $155.00 | $731K | −10.9% of holding | −17.7% | −0.0% | 38,679 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Sale | 700 @ $146.51 | $103K | −2.4% of holding | −4.4% | +8.7% | 28,552 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
166 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Uychiat Pison Marivic | director | Gift | 580 | 13,678 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Burton Spencer | officer | Gift | 2,500 | 65,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Agwunobi John O | director | Award / grant | 600 | 9,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Abbott Swati Bargotra | director | Award / grant | 600 | 20,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Award / grant | 600 | 24,052 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Award / grant | 600 | 21,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Shaw Daren | director | Award / grant | 600 | 24,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Parkinson Mark Vincent | director | Award / grant | 600 | 4,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Port Barry | director | Withheld for tax | 509 | 80,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Withheld for tax | 458 | 292,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Keetch Chad | officer | Withheld for tax | 306 | 109,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Burton Spencer | officer | Withheld for tax | 264 | 68,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 102 | 33,135 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Port Barry | director | Withheld for tax | 509 | 81,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Withheld for tax | 458 | 292,925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Keetch Chad | officer | Withheld for tax | 326 | 110,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Burton Spencer | officer | Withheld for tax | 281 | 68,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 123 | 33,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Port Barry | director | Withheld for tax | 550 | 81,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Withheld for tax | 489 | 293,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Keetch Chad | officer | Withheld for tax | 387 | 110,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Burton Spencer | officer | Withheld for tax | 351 | 69,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 102 | 33,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 102 | 33,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Uychiat Pison Marivic | director | Withheld for tax | 82 | 14,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 102 | 33,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | SMITH BARRY M | director | Award / grant | 600 | 22,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Abbott Swati Bargotra | director | Award / grant | 600 | 20,232 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Parkinson Mark Vincent | director | Award / grant | 600 | 3,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Shaw Daren | director | Award / grant | 600 | 24,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Blouin Ann Scott | director | Award / grant | 600 | 23,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Agwunobi John O | director | Award / grant | 600 | 9,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Keetch Chad | officer | Award / grant | 8,000 | 110,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Burton Spencer | officer | Award / grant | 8,500 | 69,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Burton Spencer | officer | Award / grant | 21,250 | 21,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Award / grant | 1,000 | 33,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Wittekind Beverly B. | officer | Award / grant | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Port Barry | director | Award / grant | 12,000 | 82,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Port Barry | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Snapper Suzanne D. | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 293,872 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.