ENSEnerSysIndustrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $171.87 · now $171.87 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ENS has typically landed between $149.77 and $201.55 — a range of −12.9% to +17.3% from the issuance price $171.87.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($171.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ENS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $171.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$149.77worst · -12.9%$201.55best · +17.3%
  • now $171.87 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $174.26 (+1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $162.33–$186.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $149.77–$201.55
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-17−51.2%−51.2%+0.0%
2008-10-22−49.8%−49.8%+12.4%
2008-10-21−49.6%−49.6%+1.6%
3 best
2008-11-20+70.9%+0.0%+70.9%
2009-03-05+55.6%−3.4%+59.3%
2008-12-01+55.3%+0.0%+55.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+0.1%
n=20
Feb
55%
+3.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
+1.4%
n=20
Apr
55%
+3.4%
n=20
May
60%
+3.5%
n=20
Jun
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Jul
50%
+1.0%
n=20
Aug
35%
−4.3%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Oct
65%
+1.9%
n=20
Nov
65%
+4.4%
n=20
Dec
60%
+3.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$243$972026-05-29: 1 insider purchase, $25K — Funk Andrea J.2025-12-10: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — Uplinger Chad C …2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.0M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $25K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Funk Andrea J. — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Uplinger Chad C — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Uplinger Chad C — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-29Funk Andrea J.directorPurchase108 @ $228.47$25K+0.2% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open56,396Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-10Uplinger Chad CofficerSale4,859 @ $151.46$736K−17.0% of holding+5.8%+40.6%23,713Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10Uplinger Chad CofficerSale1,843 @ $151.46$279K−6.1% of holding+5.8%+40.6%28,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

297 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14O'Connell Shawn M.directorAward / grant17,207101,212Form 4
2026-08-14HOFFEN HOWARD IdirectorAward / grant98248,706Form 4
2026-08-14Funk Andrea J.directorAward / grant6,39159,080Form 4
2026-08-14Funk Andrea J.directorAward / grant6,39165,471Form 4
2026-08-14FLUDDER STEVEN MdirectorAward / grant98221,562Form 4
2026-08-14Fisher Keith D.officerAward / grant3,19628,514Form 4
2026-08-14Uplinger Chad CofficerAward / grant3,19625,078Form 4
2026-08-14Matthews Mark E.officerAward / grant3,19625,411Form 4
2026-08-14Fisher Keith D.officerAward / grant3,19625,318Form 4
2026-08-14Vargo Ronald PdirectorAward / grant98236,511Form 4
2026-08-14Knausenberger LaurendirectorAward / grant9826,614Form 4
2026-08-14Chan CarolinedirectorAward / grant98216,694Form 4
2026-08-14Matthews Mark E.officerAward / grant3,19622,215Form 4
2026-08-14TUFANO PAUL JdirectorAward / grant1,42852,216Form 4
2026-08-14Habiger David CdirectorAward / grant9827,251Form 4
2026-08-14Wynter Rudolph W.directorAward / grant98216,017Form 4
2026-08-14Morytko TamaradirectorAward / grant98211,315Form 4
2026-08-14O'Connell Shawn M.directorAward / grant17,20784,005Form 4
2026-08-14Uplinger Chad CofficerAward / grant3,19628,274Form 4
2026-08-12Funk Andrea J.directorWithheld for tax99652,689Form 4
2026-08-12O'Connell Shawn M.directorWithheld for tax79566,798Form 4
2026-08-12Matthews Mark E.officerWithheld for tax53119,019Form 4
2026-08-12Uplinger Chad CofficerWithheld for tax43721,882Form 4
2026-08-11Funk Andrea J.directorWithheld for tax73953,685Form 4
2026-08-11O'Connell Shawn M.directorWithheld for tax59067,593Form 4
2026-08-11Matthews Mark E.officerWithheld for tax41119,550Form 4
2026-08-11Uplinger Chad CofficerWithheld for tax28922,319Form 4
2026-08-09Funk Andrea J.directorWithheld for tax84154,424Form 4
2026-08-09O'Connell Shawn M.directorWithheld for tax82268,183Form 4
2026-08-09Uplinger Chad CofficerWithheld for tax58722,608Form 4
2026-08-09Matthews Mark E.officerWithheld for tax46019,961Form 4
2026-08-08O'Connell Shawn M.directorWithheld for tax2,57769,005Form 4
2026-08-08Funk Andrea J.directorWithheld for tax1,17255,265Form 4
2026-08-08Matthews Mark E.officerWithheld for tax59820,421Form 4
2026-08-08Uplinger Chad CofficerWithheld for tax57323,195Form 4
2026-08-08Fisher Keith D.officerWithheld for tax57322,122Form 4
2026-07-16TUFANO PAUL JdirectorAward / grant22450,744Form 4
2026-07-16Wynter Rudolph W.directorAward / grant16515,002Form 4
2026-07-16Habiger David CdirectorAward / grant1436,241Form 4
2026-07-16Morytko TamaradirectorAward / grant14310,305Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.